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Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos Prediction, 10/6/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 5

by Tony Sink - 10/4/2022

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Game: Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos

Date: Thursday, October 6, 2022

Location: Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO

TV: Prime Video

Odds/Point Spread: Broncos (-2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 43

Empower Field at Mile High is the location where the Denver Broncos (2-2) will take on the Indianapolis Colts (1-2-1) on Thursday. Denver opens as 2.5-point favorites. The over/under is 43.

The Indianapolis Colts come into this matchup with a record of 1-2-1 this season. In their last contest, the Colts played the Titans and took a loss by a final of 24-17. Matt Ryan connected on 27/37 with 356 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 109.7 and ended the game with 1 interception. Mo Alie-Cox had an average of 14.2 yards per catch by accumulating 85 yds on 6 receptions. Jonathan Taylor was the rushing leader for the Colts with 20 totes for 42 yards (2.1 yards per attempt). Once the final whistle blew, they tallied 63 plays which converted into 365 yds. The Indianapolis Colts ran the football 23 different times and compiled 38 yds, which came out to an average of 1.7 yds per carry. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Colts gave up 127 yards on 28 attempts, which is an average of 4.5 yards per run surrendered. Indianapolis gave up 17 completions on 21 attempts for a total of 116 yards, and a completion percentage of 81.0%.

In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the Indianapolis Colts hold an average of 14.3 PPG. As a unit they're averaging 87.8 yards via the ground game ranking this team at 27th in the league. The Colts have earned 1,359 total yards for this campaign. Indianapolis has compiled 55 first downs offensively, and they have been hurt by 23 penalties for 203 yds. They have surrendered the football 9 times (5 interceptions and 4 fumbles lost). When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Indianapolis has earned 5 touchdowns via the pass and 1 touchdown on the ground.

When talking about yards through the air, the Colts have given up 830 yards which ranks them 10th in the National Football League. They have yielded 207.5 yards per game via the pass in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 68.5%. Over the course of this year, they have given up 297.0 yards per contest which ranks them 6th in football. They have yielded 7 touchdowns by air as well as 3 touchdowns on the ground. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.1 yards per rushing attempt and 89.5 yards on the ground per contest this season. During the season, they have conceded 358 rushing yards through 4 games. The Colts rank 14th in the National Football League concerning team defense, giving up 21.3 points per contest.

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The Broncos come into this matchup with a record of 2-2 for this season. In their last contest, the Broncos went home defeated by a final of 32-23 when they played the Raiders. Russell Wilson (2 TDs) finished the game with 237 yds on 17/25 passing while his QB rate was 124.9. He didn't throw any picks and his Y/A was 9.5 yds. Javonte Williams ran the football 10 times for 28 yards, ending the contest with 2.8 yards per carry for Denver. Courtland Sutton was one of the featured targets for the Broncos, bringing in 5 balls for 52 yds (10.4 yards per reception). Denver ran the ball for 4.3 yards per carry, finishing the contest with 85 yards on 20 attempts. The Broncos finished the game with 299 yds and they ran 48 plays (6.2 yds per play). The Broncos passing defense gave up a completion rate of 61.8%, relinquishing 173 yards on 21 out of 34 passing. Denver surrendered 38 rush attempts for 212 yards (5.6 yards per rush).

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Regarding their scoring prowess, the Broncos sit 30th in the NFL averaging 16.5 points per game. During the season so far, the Broncos have a total of 905 passing yards in addition to holding an average of 226.3 passing yards per outing, which has them sitting 19th in football. They are averaging 109.5 yards per game on the ground and have toted the ball for 438 yards for the season. The Denver Broncos hold an average of 335.8 yards per contest which has them sitting 21st in the NFL. The Denver offense has accrued 286 yds of penalties on 37 violations, which ranks 1st in the NFL in terms of helping out the other team. They have given away 1 interception while allowing opponents to recover 3 fumbles and they have recorded 39 first downs.

They have surrendered 3 touchdowns via the pass and 170.8 yards/outing, which puts them in 5th in football. Denver has conceded a total of 456 yards rushing (114.0 yards/game) in addition to 2 touchdowns by way of the ground game this season. They have 4 takeaways (3 fumbles recovered and 1 pick) on the year. The Broncos defense has taken part in 234 plays, which ranks 5th in the NFL. Overall, they have conceded 68 points in total. The Broncos are surrendering 17.0 points per contest, which puts them in 6th of all teams in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Colts/Broncos NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Colts +2.5

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