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Thursday Night Football Picks: Washington Commanders vs New York Giants Best Bets

by Ryan Cobbett - 11/11/2026

Thursday Night Football picks Washington Commanders vs New York Giants Jayden Daniels

This week’s Thursday Night Football matchup features two division foes on opposite sides of the standings. The New York Giants sit atop the weakened NFC East division with a 5-2-1 record, while the Washington Commanders rank just ahead of the last place Philadelphia Eagles with a 2-5-1 record. Both teams have also had opposite momentum swings since their October 11th tie. New York has won two of their last three games, while Washington has managed just one win in their last three contests. One of the biggest storylines to follow in this one is that the Commanders have yet to pick up a win on the road this season, and the Giants are 3-1 on their home turf. It is also worth paying attention to the injury concerns around the Giants. New York has some concerns surrounding quarterback J.J. McCarthy and running back Cam Skattebo, though both look like they are going to play.  

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Thursday Night Football Washington Commanders vs New York Giants Game Odds:

Washington Commanders: +1.5 / Moneyline: +105

New York Giants: -1.5/ Moneyline: -125

Over/Under: 40.5

Thursday Night Football Washington Commanders Game Preview

Washington is coming off a tough home loss against the Los Angeles Rams, as the Rams were able to own the fourth quarter and sneak away with a 20-13 win. Washington put up a good effort in this one, matching the Rams in most of the key box score statistics. They were only outgained by 30 yards on offense; they forced two turnovers and only accrued 39 penalty yards compared to the Rams 70. Los Angeles did control the time of possession battle, and they were able to rattle Jayden Daniels a bit with four sacks. Daniels had a decent outing as he completed 24 of his 35 passes for 274 yards and a touchdown. The ground game was not a factor as they combined to average just 3.2 YPC and only 60 yards. Frankie Luvu had a great game on defense. He led the way with 15 tackles, one sack, and two TFLs. Washington’s offense ranks in the bottom half of the league in YPG (325.4) and PPG (21.5). Defensively, they rank about the same as the offense. They are allowing over 342 YPG and 25.3 PPG.

The biggest factor for Washington is to control the Giants pass rush and protect Daniels. Daniels was sacked four times last week, and now he has to face a New York defense that got to the quarterback seven times in their last game against the Eagles. Washington is already hurting enough on offense that they need to give Daniels as much time and comfort as they can in the pocket, so he can make a difference here. With that, Daniels will need to extend and create plays with his legs. He needs to have a quick clock and then find some green grass to take off into. On defense, the Commanders need to limit the explosive plays. If they fall behind early, their offense isn’t capable of catching back up.

Washington Commanders 3 Keys to Victory

  1. Protect Jayden Daniels
  2. Get Daniels’ Legs Going
  3. Limit the Giants Explosive Plays

Washington Commanders Injuries

WR Treylon Burks – Out

TE Chig Okonkwo – Questionable

DT Shy Tuttle – Questionable

TE Colson Yankoff – Questionable

G Lucas Patrick – Questionable

WR Dyami Brown – IR

Thursday Night Football New York Giants Game Preview

The New York Giants are coming off a big division win against division foe Philadelphia. The Giants used a solid second-half to mount a comeback and win 19-11. While the Eagles are severely injured, the Giants did struggle to get any offensive momentum going. The Giants finished the game with just 243 total yards. They did, however, play great defense and kept the Eagles offense limited. The Giants controlled the time of possession, keeping the ball in their offense’s hands for nearly 35 minutes. They kept the Eagles to just 220 total yards and 128 passing yards. So far this season, the Giants offense has been somewhat limited due to injuries. They are averaging 333.1 YPG and 22.8 PPG. Defensively, they have allowed just over 300 YPG and 21.5.

If the Giants want to win this one, they need to contain Daniels and force him to beat them in the air. The defense is going to win this game. Another key in this one would be to establish Skattebo and keep the ball in their hands. Limiting turnovers and keeping Daniels off the field is a great recipe for success in this one. If the run game does struggle, the Giants will need McCarthy to open things up in the air. They need to do this with high percentage looks and not by chasing the big play time and time again.

New York Giants 3 Keys to Victory

  1. Contain Daniels
  2. Let Cam Skattebo Have a Big Day
  3. JJ Needs to Open Up the Offense

New York Giants Injuries

WR Darnell Mooney – Questionable

RB Cam Skattebo – Questionable

WR Charlie Jones – Questionable

LB Malik Harrison – Questionable

LB Abdul Carter – Questionable

QB J.J. McCarthy – Questionable

Thursday Night Football Game Predictions

I like the Giants to cover and win this with the defense. This game will not be close, nor high scoring. Washington doesn’t have a strong run defense, and Skattebo should be able to get plenty of production here. This will be a game with little excitement, but it is pretty much free money if you take the Giants. Not much else to say here, Washington is not good and the Giants have an elite defense.

My Pick: New York Giants, -1.5 / Under 40.5

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