New England Patriots vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction, 11/24/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 12

by Josh Schonwald - 11/21/2022

nfl picks Kirk Cousins minnesota vikings predictions best bet odds

Game: New England Patriots vs Minnesota Vikings

Date: Thursday, November 24, 2022

Location: U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Vikings (-3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 43.5

The Minnesota Vikings (8-2) are hosting the New England Patriots (6-4) at U.S. Bank Stadium on Thursday. Minnesota opens this game as 3.5-point favorites. The betting total is set at 43.5.

The New England Patriots step onto the field holding a record of 6-4 this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Patriots faced off with the Jets and went home with a win by a final score of 10-3. Mac Jones went 23/27 with 246 yds passing. He had a QB rate of 104.6 and ended the contest without throwing an interception. Damien Harris was the best rusher for the Patriots with 8 carries for 65 yds (8.1 yards per attempt). Rhamondre Stevenson held an average of 9.3 yards per catch by earning 56 yds on 6 receptions. The New England Patriots ended up running the ball 26 different times and accumulated 99 yards, which had them averaging 3.8 yards per attempt. For the game, they had 59 plays which gave them 297 yards. New England gave up 9 completions on 22 tries for a total of 44 yds, and a completion rate of 40.9%. When it came to stopping the run, the Patriots gave up 59 yards on 23 attempts, which averages out to 2.6 yds per run surrendered.

The Patriots have earned 3,176 total yards for the year. New England has amassed 95 first downs as a team, and they have committed 60 penalties for 473 yards. When it comes to getting in the endzone, New England has compiled 9 passing touchdowns and 9 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the football 17 times (10 picks and 7 fumbles lost). As a team they're averaging 115.4 yards on the ground ranking them 17th in the league. When it comes to putting the ball in the endzone, the New England Patriots hold an average of 21.3 PPG.

When it comes to yards through the air, the Patriots have conceded 1,883 yards which has them sitting in 5th in football. They are allowing 188.3 yards per contest through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 55.7%. During this campaign, they have surrendered 302.8 yards per outing which puts them 4th in the league. They have granted 12 touchdowns by air as well as 4 touchdowns on the ground. The opposition is running for 4.5 yards per rushing attempt and 114.5 yards on the ground per game for the year. Over the course of this year, they have given up 1,145 yards via the ground game in 10 games. The Patriots are ranked 2nd in the NFL in terms of their opponents scoring, allowing 16.9 points per game.

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The Vikings come into this matchup with a record of 8-2 for this year. In their last contest, the Vikings took a loss by a score of 40-3 when they played the Cowboys. Kirk Cousins finished the game with 105 yards on 12/23 through the air while his quarterback rating was 64.6. He didn't toss any picks and his Y/A was 4.6 yards. T.J. Hockenson was a featured target for the Vikings, catching 5 passes for 34 yards (6.8 yards per catch). Dalvin Cook ran the ball 11 times for 72 yards, finishing the contest with 6.5 yds per attempt for Minnesota. The Vikings ended up finishing with 183 yards while running 54 plays (3.4 yards per play). Minnesota rushed for 4.3 yards per tote, finishing with 73 yds on 17 carries. Minnesota gave up 40 rush attempts for 151 yds (3.8 yards per rush). The Vikings secondary allowed a completion percentage of 86.7%, relinquishing 307 yds on 26 out of 30 through the air.

The Minnesota Vikings average 338.5 yards per game which has them ranked 18th out of all teams in the league. They average 103.6 yards via the ground game and have run for 1,036 yards for the year. The Minnesota offense has racked up 436 yards of penalties on 54 infractions, which has them sitting 26th in football in terms of hurting your team. They have given away 8 picks while letting opponents recover 3 fumbles and they have been able to tally 131 1st downs. For the year so far, the Vikings have compiled 2,349 yards through the air in addition to holding an average of 234.9 passing yards per contest, giving them a rank of 10th in the league. Regarding the points being put on the board, the Vikings are sitting 13th in the NFL maintaining an average of 22.9 points per contest.

They have surrendered 14 touchdowns via the pass and 267.3 yards per outing, which puts them in 31st in the league. Minnesota has given up a total of 1,216 rushing yards (121.6 yards/game) as well as 12 touchdowns by ground this year. They have 18 takeaways (8 fumbles and 10 picks) this season. The Vikings defense taken the field for 655 plays, which has them ranked 25th in football. Over the course of the season, they have conceded 231 total points. The Vikings are giving up 23.1 points per game, which has them in 19th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Patriots/Vikings NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Patriots +3.5

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New England Patriots vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction, 11/24/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 12

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