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Tennessee Titans vs Green Bay Packers Prediction, 11/17/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 11

by Tony Sink - 11/14/2022

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Game: Tennessee Titans vs Green Bay Packers

Date: Thursday, November 17, 2022

Location: Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI

TV: Prime Video

Odds/Point Spread: Packers (-1)

Total/Over-Under: 41

The Tennessee Titans (6-3) are on their way to Lambeau Field on Thursday where they will take on the Green Bay Packers (4-6). Green Bay opens as 1-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under has been set at 41.

The Tennessee Titans come into this game with a record of 6-3 for this season. In their last game, the Titans faced the Broncos and walked away with a win by a score of 17-10. Ryan Tannehill connected on 19/36 with 255 yards passing and 2 TDs. He had a QB rating of 94.1 and ended the contest without throwing an interception. Derrick Henry was the rushing leader for the Titans with 19 totes for 53 yds (2.8 yds per carry). Austin Hooper had an average of 8.2 yds per catch by tallying 41 yds on 5 catches. The Tennessee Titans ran the rock 23 times and had 63 yards, which earned them an average of 2.7 yards per carry. In all, they tallied 60 plays which converted into 307 yards. Tennessee relinquished 21 pass completions on 42 attempts for 248 yards, and a completion rate of 50.0%. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Titans gave up 65 yds on 25 tries, which calculates to 2.6 yds per rush surrendered.

When talking about scoring, the Tennessee Titans are averaging 18.4 PPG. As a unit they're maintaining an average of 133.4 yards in the run game ranking them 9th in the National Football League. The Titans have tallied 2,535 yards in total over the course of this season. Tennessee has amassed 70 1st downs, and they have been flagged for 62 penalties for 492 yards. They have turned the football over 10 times (4 picks and 6 fumbles). When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Tennessee has compiled 8 passing touchdowns and 10 rushing touchdowns.

Concerning passing yardage, the Titans have surrendered 2,453 yards which has them sitting in 29th in the league. They have yielded 272.6 yards per game through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 64.7%. Overall, they are allowing 357.7 yards/contest ranking them 23rd in the NFL. They have conceded 16 touchdowns by air in addition to 2 touchdowns on the ground. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.9 yards per rush on the ground and 85.1 yards on the ground per game this season. In total, they have given up 766 yards via the ground game in 9 games. The Titans rank 8th in the NFL in terms of team defense, allowing 18.7 points per game.

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The Packers head into this matchup 4-6 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Packers walked away with a victory by a final of 31-28 when they played the Cowboys. Aaron Jones ran the football 24 times for 138 yds, finishing the game with 5.8 yds per carry for Green Bay. Christian Watson was the top contributor in the passing game for the Packers, bringing in 4 passes for 107 yds (26.8 yards per catch). Aaron Rodgers (3 touchdowns) ended the game with 224 yds on 14/20 through the air while his QB rate was 146.7. He didn't toss any interceptions and his avg yards per attempt was 11.2 yds. Green Bay relinquished 31 running attempts for 159 yds (5.1 yds per rush). The Packers pass defense conceded a completion rate of 58.7%, relinquishing 262 yards on 27 out of 46 passing. The Packers finished the game with 415 yds while they ran 61 plays (6.8 yards per play). Green Bay ran the ball for 5.3 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 207 yards on 39 attempts.

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The Green Bay Packers have an average of 352.3 yards/contest which has them sitting 13th out of all teams in the league. They hold an average of 129.3 yards per game via the rush and have run for 1,293 yards for this season. The Green Bay offense has accrued 467 penalty yards on 62 infractions, which ranks them 7th in the league in terms of making mistakes. They have tossed 7 picks while losing 8 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 107 first downs. During the season so far, the Packers have thrown for a total of 2,230 yards through the air not to mention holding an average of 223.0 throwing yards per game, putting them at 16th in football. Regarding their scoring prowess, the Packers sit 24th in football maintaining an average of 18.5 points per outing.

The Packers are conceding 21.6 points per game, ranking them 16th of all teams in the NFL. They have given up 13 touchdowns through the air in addition to 179.7 yards/outing, which has them sitting 3rd in football. This season, they have surrendered 216 points in total. Green Bay has given up a total of 1,406 yards rushing (140.6 yards/game) and 9 touchdowns by way of the ground game this season. The Packers defense taken the field for 593 plays, which has them sitting 21st in football. Their defense has earned 10 turnovers (3 fumbles recovered and 7 interceptions) this year.

Who will win tonight's Titans/Packers NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Titans +1

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