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2021 First Touchdown Scored Super Bowl Props Odds and Expert Betting Predictions

by Chris Vasile - 1/29/2021

Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Mecole Hardman

The Super Bowl may be one of the greatest sporting events to wager on if you are a casual fan of the game of football. There are so many great ways to wager on not only the game itself but what will happen before and after the game ends. For the professional bettors, they tend to shy away from most of the window dressings that the Super Bowl brings and focus in on just sides and totals. For some, that’s entertaining enough. But for most, they’d rather have a bunch of obscure bets in place to make the night and game more fun. There is one bet that’s taken the betting industry by storm over the last handful of years, and that’s betting on which player is going to score the first touchdown. This year’s Super Bowl combatants boast several highly-skilled playmakers, and any one of them can find the back of the endzone first. I’ll be here to break down which guys I think are worth taking a shot on. And given the fact that both teams score plenty of points, the odds we’ve been given are tremendous.

First Touchdown Scorer Odds:

Travis Kelce +650: It’s the obvious pick if you are taking the Chiefs to score the first touchdown of the game, but Kelce only has one “first touchdown” on the season. The Bucs defensively don’t give up much to the TE position, but Kelce is elusive enough to create his own space. Nonetheless, the odds are lower than I would have liked to see.

Tyreek Hill +650: Hill has been the main man in terms of scoring first for the Chiefs. He’s opened the scoring in three of the Chiefs’ nine games where they scored a touchdown first and did so in the first meeting against the Bucs. I’m sure the Bucs will have a much better game plan for him this time around. Therefore, at these odds I have to pass.

Chris Godwin +1000: In the seven regular-season games that the Buccaneers have scored the first touchdown in, the distribution has been even. Godwin leads the way with two, while everyone else mentioned below has one. He’s yet to score first in the playoffs, though. However, with the Chiefs likely focusing in on Evans, Godwin has the speed to create something in the open field.

Leonard Fournette +1000: Fournette has been the lead back for the Bucs this postseason thanks to an injury to Ronald Jones. He’s looked solid in his running and has found the end zone twice in three playoff games. Could be worth a look, but I think the Bucs will want to throw the ball a bunch against a weak Chiefs secondary.

Mike Evans +1000: Through three playoff games, Mike Evans has opened the scoring twice. It’s hard to imagine the Chiefs letting Evans beat them, so I expect a coverage shift towards Evans’ side given his size advantage over most corners. At the same price as Godwin, I’d lean Godwin over Evans.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire +1100: The health of Edwards-Helaire is a concern coming into this one, so at 11/1 it’s a pass for me. He has found the endzone to open the scoring once, but the Bucs run defense is the No. 1 unit in the league for a reason. We don’t see the Chiefs grabbing a rushing touchdown in this one unless it’s from Mahomes.

Patrick Mahomes +1600: Mahomes is a likely candidate to find the end zone first, and at 16/1 it would be dumb not to throw down a few bucks on him. Over the 16-game regular season, he’s found the end zone first in two of the Chiefs’ nine games in which they scored the first touchdown. He also found the end zone first against Cleveland in the Divisional Round. I can definitely see Mahomes using his scrambling ability deep in the red zone to get KC on the board first.

Mecole Hardman +2000: It’s hard for me to back Hardman when you have guys like Hill, Kelce, Edward-Helaire and Mahomes in front of you. Hardman is a receiver with speed to burn. And unless he breaks one open for a massive chunk play like Hill did in the first meeting against the Bucs, I don’t see him being the go-to weapon in or near the red zone.

Cameron Brate +2500: Tom Brady loves working the ball in the middle of the field to his tight ends. Cameron Brate had himself a solid season and opened the scoring one time this year. If the Chiefs commit bodies to protect the outside receivers, Brate could be in for a big day down the middle and could very well find pay-dirt first.

Tom Brady +2800: Right off the bat, I’m going to eliminate Tom Brady from scoring the first touchdown. I simply cannot see Brady sneaking it in from anywhere other than the one-yard line, and I don’t think a one-yard score is going to be the length of the first touchdown scored. Even at 28/1, it’s still not enticing enough, especially when you factor in the other players that all have much better chances to get in the end zone first.

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