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2023 First Touchdown Scored Super Bowl Props Odds and Expert Betting Predictions

by Sean Barnard - 2/9/2023

Super Bowl first touchdown prop predictions AJ Brown Philadelphia Eagles

The countdown to the Super Bowl continues to tick away, and the wagers are rapidly flying. With one of the most celebrated gambling holidays of the year having nearly arrived, there are now more ways and options to bet than ever before there is plenty to be excited about. There is no better way to kick things off than with a hot start to the game, and with that comes the first touchdown prop bet. This has become increasingly popular and is an awesome way to make the game exciting right off the opening kickoff. Here is a look at the most popular odds, the stats on the season, and the best pick for the Eagles vs Chiefs showdown (odds via DraftKings).

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Chiefs:

Travis Kelce: (+700)

Isiah Pacheco: (+900)

Jerick McKinnon: (+1200)

Kadarius Toney: (+1600)

Marquez Valdes-Scantling: (+1800)

JuJu Smith-Schuster: (+1900)

Patrick Mahomes: (+2200)

Clyde Edwards-Helaire: (+3000)

Andy Reid and the Chiefs have become known for their offense and have scored the game’s first touchdown in 12 of their 19 games so far, including striking first in each of their last five games. When looking at the Chiefs’ first touchdown in each game this season, only five of the first scores have come via a wide receiver. Travis Kelce has racked up eight of Kansas City’s first touchdowns, while Jerick McKinnon broke into the end-zone first five times this season. Kadarius Toney (2), Mecole Hardman (2), Isaiah Pacheco (1), and JuJu Smith-Schuster (1) round out the rest of these efforts.

Eagles:

Jalen Hurts: (+650)

Miles Sanders: (+700)

AJ Brown: (+1000)

Dallas Goedert: (+1100)

DeVonta Smith: (+1200)

Kenneth Gainwell: (+1800)

Boston Scott: (+2500)

Eagles Defense/Special Teams: (+3000)

The Eagles have also made it a habit to strike first and have scored the game’s first touchdown in 13 of their 19 outings this season, including seven of their last nine. They have seen a different player get in the end zone first in each of the last six games. Jalen Hurts leads the team in overall touchdowns and has cracked the end zone first on five occasions. Miles Sanders is right behind him and has scored the team’s first touchdown on four occasions this year. AJ Brown (2), Dallas Goedert (2), DeVonta Smith (1), Kenneth Gainwell (1), Boston Scott (1), Defense/Special Teams (1), Gardner Minshew (1), and Quez Watkins (1) round out the rest of these attempts.

The Pick:

AJ Brown (+1000)

The amount of red zone weapons the Eagles possess is a huge part of what makes them dangerous. However, AJ Brown is the matchup to watch in this one. The Chiefs' secondary is their weakest position on defense, and the cornerback duo of L’Jarius Sneed and Trent McDuffie has struggled with more physically imposing receivers this season. Brown fits this category and has earned the trust of Jalen Hurts throughout this season.

The former Tennessee Titans’ standout broke the Eagles' receiving record in his first year in Philadelphia with 1,496 yards which ranked fourth in the NFL this year. His 11 touchdowns led the team through the air, although this has not translated in the playoffs. Through the first two games in the postseason, Brown has been held to just seven receptions for 50 yards and has failed to reach the end zone.

During the regular season, the Eagles have made it a point to rotate targets by the week and ensure each guy gets his shine. A down week was oftentimes followed by an impressive performance for Brown, as well as guys like DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert. It also should be noted that Philadelphia holding firm control in both playoff matchups limited the opportunity through the air.

With an advantage in the matchup, and Brown being due for a bounce-back game, look for him to deliver a monster game and kick it off with the opening touchdown. Jumping out to an early lead would be more impactful for the Eagles than the Chiefs, as they can lean on their run-heavy and defensive style of play if this is the case. Expect them to have a full focus on this and lean on Brown as the driving force to get them there.

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