Free NFL Picks: Seahawks at Cardinals Week 7 Odds and Predictions
by Alan Matthews - 10/15/2013
I know it will never happen, but in my opinion the NFL should dump the Thursday night NFL Network game and give that channel a late night Sunday game like we saw a couple of weeks ago between the Chargers and Raiders. The Thursday games have not been well-played most times since the debut of these weekly matchups because the players are just too banged up with just three days off following Sunday (they don't even really practice, just walk throughs). That Sunday night late start was awesome, although the problem obviously being that realistically only teams on the West Coast could host that. Plus, the Thursday games are getting strong ratings, so we are probably stuck with them. I'm just saying I won't be watching this Thursday's Seahawks-Cardinals game most likely, but I would it if kicked off Sunday night at 11:30 p.m. ET.
This would seem to be a blowout for the Seahawks, but here are some interesting numbers from ESPN: Seattle for some reason struggles in domes. It is 1-1 this year, winning in overtime at Houston (in a game it should have lost) and losing 34-28 a week later at Indianapolis. That makes the Seahawks just 5-14 in domes since the 2009 season. They are just 1-6 since at Arizona since University of Phoenix Stadium opened. Seattle second-year QB Russell Wilson is unbeaten at home but 2-5 in domes. If you are wondering, the Seahawks still have two dome games left this year: at St. Louis and Atlanta plus perhaps a matchup in New Orleans in the playoffs.
Seahawks at Cardinals Betting Story Lines
Arizona thought trading for Carson Palmer this offseason would solve the QB problems it has had since Kurt Warner retired, but Palmer simply isn't all that great any longer (if he ever was). He is ranked 31st in rating this season, completing only 59.3 percent with seven touchdowns and 11 interceptions. He had two picks, both of which led to points, in Sunday's 32-20 loss at San Francisco. It was Palmer's fourth straight game with at least two. The Cards rank 25th in points at 18.5 per game, and they still can't run the ball much.
I feel bad for Larry Fitzgerald. He may have gone down as one of the NFL's greatest receivers, but he has been hamstrung by lousy QBs much of his Arizona career. He also now is dealing with hamstring issues in both legs. He gutted it out Sunday, but it's not impossible that Fitzgerald sits on Thursday. He had his first 100-yard game of the season against the Niners, catching six balls for 117 yards and a TD. I thought Michael Floyd might have a big season opposite Fitzgerald, but the former Notre Dame star has just been mediocre with 26 catches for 345 yards and a score.
Seattle bounced back from the Colts loss with a closer-than-expected 20-13 home win over Tennessee on Sunday. The Seahawks held the Titans to 223 yards, but they played sloppily. Russell Wilson passed for 257 yards and rushed for 61 but wasn't responsible for a touchdown. Marshawn Lynch had both of Seattle's TDs.
The big injury to watch here other than to Fitzgerald is to one of Arizona's best defensive players, Calais Campbell. The end suffered a bruised spine in Sunday's loss and was carted off on a stretcher in the fourth quarter. I can't see how he plays as early as Thursday, yet he hopes to. Campbell has 18 tackles, 3.5 sacks and a forced fumble. Seahawks end Chris Clemons, who led the team in sacks last year, is doubtful to play with an elbow issue.
The teams split two meetings last year. Arizona won 20-16 at home in Week 1 on the way to a 4-0 start that was a mirage. Seattle's Wilson looked a bit shaky in his NFL debut. The rematch on Dec. 9 at CenturyLink Field was a 58-0 Seattle laugher. The Seahawks forced eight turnovers in the fourth-largest shutout in the NFL since 1940. How bad was it? Matt Flynn actually got some snaps for Seattle.
Seahawks at Cardinals NFL Week 7 Betting Odds and Trends
At WagerWeb, the Seahawks opened at -6.5 with a total of 40. Seattle is 4-2 ATS (2-1 on road) and 3-3 “over/under” (2-1 on road). Arizona is 4-2 ATS (2-0 at home) and 2-4 O/U (0-2 at home). The Seahawks are 6-1 ATS in their past seven after a win. They are 5-1 ATS in their past six after an ATS loss. The Cardinals have covered four straight after a loss. They are 2-9-1 in their past 12 October games. The under is 5-2 in Seattle's past seven against the NFC West. The over is 5-0 in Arizona's past five against the NFC West. The home team has covered the past four meetings. The over is 8-1 in the past nine in Arizona.
Free NFL Picks: Seahawks at Cardinals Week 7 Betting Predictions
The Cards have stunk in their past two Thursday night games. In 2008 they lost 48-20 at Philadelphia on Thanksgiving night, and last year they lost 17-3 at St. Louis to start a 1-11 conclusion to the season. Seattle lost 13-6 at San Francisco in their Thursday night game last year, managing only 251 total yards.
I'm holding off on this one. If it stays under seven, I would lean Seattle. If it gets over, I like the Cardinals. I expect another mistake-filled Thursday game (prediction: at least four turnovers and 12 combined penalties), so take the under.
It’s another football season, and Doc’s Sports want to help you make it a winner. Take $60 worth of free, no obligation picks from us. See what we’re about and what we can offer. Absolutely nothing to lose. Plenty to gain. Sign up today!
Read more articles by Alan Matthews
Get all of this Weeks NFL picks
Get all of this Weeks Guaranteed Expert NFL Picks