Jacksonville Jaguars at New England Patriots AFC Championship NFL Picks & Predictions 1/21/2018
Sunday, January 21, 2018
Get todays NFL Odds & Lines on this game
The Jacksonville Jaguars head to Gillette Stadium to play the New England Patriots on Sunday, January 21, 2018 in the AFC Championship game. The opening line for this matchup has New England as 9.5 point favorites. The total has been set at 46. The Jaguars are 10-8-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 9-9-0. The Patriots are 12-5-0 against the spread and their over/under mark is 8-9-0.
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Valuable Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Trends
The Jacksonville Jaguars are 9-9-0 against the over/under
The Jacksonville Jaguars are 10-8-0 against the spread
Important New England Patriots Betting Trends
The New England Patriots are 8-9-0 against the over/under
The New England Patriots are 12-5-0 against the spread
Key Jacksonville Jaguars Injuries
12/24/17 WR Jaelen Strong ACL IR
11/23/17 WR Arrelious Benn Knee IR
09/21/17 S Calvin Pryor Ankle IR
09/20/17 DT Michael Bennett Pectoral IR
09/11/17 WR Allen Robinson ACL IR
09/05/17 TE Mychal Rivera Wrist IR
09/05/17 WR Rashad Greene Sr. Undisclosed IR
01/14/18 WR Jaydon Mickens Hamstring is "?" Sunday vs New England
01/14/18 DE Dante Fowler Jr. Shoulder injured last game, is "?" Sunday vs New England
01/14/18 S Tashaun Gipson Foot injured last game, is "?" Sunday vs New England
Key New England Patriots Injuries
12/14/17 OL Marcus Cannon Ankle IR
11/27/17 TE Martellus Bennett Hamstring IR
11/27/17 DB Nate Ebner Knee IR
10/26/17 LB Dont'a Hightower Pectoral IR
09/22/17 DT Vincent Valentine Knee IR
09/06/17 WR Malcolm Mitchell Knee IR
09/05/17 WR Julian Edelman ACL IR
09/04/17 LB Shea McClellin Undisclosed IR
09/01/17 CB Cyrus Jones ACL IR
01/14/18 DL Alan Branch Knee is "?" Sunday vs Jacksonville
01/14/18 OL LaAdrian Waddle Knee left last game, is "?" Sunday vs Jacksonville
01/14/18 RB Mike Gillislee Knee is "?" Sunday vs Jacksonville
01/14/18 RB Rex Burkhead Knee is "?" Sunday vs Jacksonville
Useful Offensive Statistics
The Jacksonville Jaguars are 5th in the National Football League in points scored with 417. They have run 1,078 plays this year for 5,855 yards, which ranks them 6th in the NFL in total offense. The Jaguars average 5.4 yards per play, which is 11th in the league. As a team they have accumulated a total of 332 1st downs this season, ranking them 7th overall as an offensive unit. On the ground Jacksonville has run for 2,262 yards as a unit, which ranks 1st in the league. They've run 527 times, averaging 4.3 yards per rush as a unit. The Jaguars have been penalized on offense 112 times for 936 yards so far this year, which has them 11th in the NFL in penalties. Blake Bortles has passed for 3,687 yards this year. He's completed 315 throws while attempting 523 passes for a completion percentage of 60.2%. His quarterback rating this season is 84.7. He averages 11.7 yards per completion and 7 yards per pass attempt.
Jacksonville is 2nd in the NFL in points surrendered on defense with 268. They have given up a total of 4,578 yards on D, which is 2nd in the league. The Jaguars are 1st in yards per play allowed with 4.6. Their pass defense has allowed 4.8 net yards per pass attempt, ranking them 1st in the National Football League. Opponent offenses have completed 289 throws on 509 attempts against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this season, ranking them 1st and 4th in the league. The Jacksonville pass defense has also surrendered a total of 2,718 yards in the air, which is 1st overall in total pass defense. Their rushing defense has given up 429 attempts for 1,860 yards this season, putting them in 21st place in the NFL against the run. The Jaguars have had 112 penalties for 1050 yards on defense this year. That places them 29th in the league. They've allowed a score on 23.9% of possessions on defense, which is 1st in the NFL.
Special Teams Stats
Jacksonville is 14th in the NFL in punt returns with 35. They've totaled 325 punt return yards and are averaging 9.3 yards per return, which is 8th in the league. Their longest punt return this season is 72 yards. They have returned 25 kicks for 551 yards on special teams, placing them 29th in kick return yardage. The Jaguars average 22 yards per kick return and have a long of 68 yards this season. They are 9th in the National Football League in all-purpose yards with 6,854. The Jacksonville Jaguars have tried 35 field goals this season and made 30, which is 12th in the league. Their kickers have a FG percentage of 85.7%. Jacksonville Jaguars kickers have made 90% of their extra points, going 37 for 41 this season. Their punters have accumulated 3,835 yards on 88 punts, averaging 43.6 yards per punt. That ranks them 26th in the NFL in punting average.
Useful Offensive Statistics
The New England Patriots have run for 1,889 yards as a team, which ranks 10th in the NFL. They've run 448 times, averaging 4.2 yards per carry as a rushing unit. The Patriots have been penalized on offense 95 times for 835 yards so far this season, which has them 26th in the league in penalties. They are 2nd in the NFL in points scored with 458. They have run 1,070 plays this season for 6,307 yards, which ranks them 1st in the league in total offense. The Patriots average 5.9 yards per play, which is 3rd in the National Football League. As a team they have accumulated a total of 389 1st downs this year, placing them 1st overall as an offensive unit. Tom Brady averages 7.9 yards per pass attempt and 11.9 yards per completion. He has completed 385 passes on 581 attempts for a completion percentage of 66.3%. His quarterback rating is 102.8. He has thrown for 4,577 yards this season.
The Patriots rush defense has allowed 390 attempts for 1,836 yards this year, putting them in 20th place in the league against the run. New England has committed 111 penalties for 1035 yards on the defensive side of the ball this season. That ranks them 27th in the NFL. They've given up a score on 30.2% of possessions on defense, which is 6th in the league. They are 5th in the league in points allowed on defense with 296. They have surrendered a total of 5,856 yards on D, which is 29th in the NFL. The New England Patriots are ranked 28th in yards per play allowed with 5.7. Their pass defense has given up 6.4 net yards per pass attempt, placing them 20th in the league as a unit. Opposing offenses have completed 367 passes on 590 attempts against the New England defense this season, placing them 28th and 30th in the National Football League. The Patriots pass defense has also given up a total of 4,020 yards through the air, which is 30th overall in total pass defense.
Special Teams Stats
The New England Patriots have attempted 40 field goals this season and made 37, which is 4th in the National Football League. Their kickers have a field goal percentage of 92.5%. New England kickers have made 96% of their extra points, going 45 for 47 this year. Their punters have totaled 2,515 yards on 58 punts, averaging 43.4 yards per punt. That places them 27th in the NFL in punting average. New England is ranked 18th in the league in punt returns with 32. They've accumulated 263 punt return yards and average 8.2 yards per return, which is 17th in the NFL. Their longest punt return so far this year is 40 yards. They have returned 28 kicks for 622 yards on special teams, ranking 19th in kick return yardage. The Patriots average 22.2 yards per kick return and have a long of 103 yards this year. They are 4th in the league in all-purpose yards with 7,393.
Who will win tonight's Jaguars/Patriots NFL game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Patriots -9.5
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