Minnesota Vikings vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, 10/16/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 6

Game: Minnesota Vikings vs Miami Dolphins

Date: Sunday, October 16, 2022

Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Dolphins (+3)

Total/Over-Under: 46.5

The Miami Dolphins (3-2) welcome the Minnesota Vikings (4-1) at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday. Miami is 3-point dogs. The over/under comes in at 46.5.

The Minnesota Vikings step onto the field holding a record of 4-1 for this season. When they last stepped on the football field, the Vikings faced the Bears and walked away with a win by a score of 29-22. Kirk Cousins finished 32/41 with 296 yards through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rate of 94.7 and ended the contest with 1 interception. Dalvin Cook was the rushing leader for the Vikings with 18 carries for 94 yards (5.2 yds per attempt). Justin Jefferson held an average of 12.8 yds per catch by tallying 154 yds on 12 receptions. The Minnesota Vikings ran the rock 31 different times and accumulated 117 yards, which earned them an average of 3.8 yards per tote. In all, they had 74 plays which gave them 429 yds. Minnesota conceded 15 completions on 21 tries for a total of 193 yds, and a completion rate of 71.4%. Against the run, the Vikings gave up 78 yds on 24 attempts, which averages out to 3.3 yards per run allowed.

In terms of getting in the endzone, the Minnesota Vikings have an average of 23.0 points per contest. As a unit they're maintaining an average of 101.8 yards in the run game giving them a rank of 21st in the National Football League. The Vikings have earned 1,805 yards in total over the course of this year. Minnesota has compiled 77 first downs, and they have been called for 23 infractions for 165 yds. They have surrendered the football 6 different times (5 picks and 1 fumble). When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Minnesota has compiled 7 passing touchdowns and 6 touchdowns via the ground.

The Vikings are ranked 14th in the NFL regarding the opposition scoring, conceding 20.4 points per game. They are giving up 4.4 yards per run and 120.4 rushing yards per contest for the season. In total, they have conceded 602 yards via the ground game in 5 games. In terms of yards via the pass, the Vikings have given up 1,247 yards which ranks them 23rd in the NFL. They have surrendered 249.4 yards per game through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 70.0%. Over the course of this season, they are conceding 369.8 yards per contest which ranks them 24th in the NFL. They have given up 4 touchdowns by air in addition to 8 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Dolphins head into this game 3-2 for this season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Dolphins took a defeat with a final score of 40-17 against the Jets. Raheem Mostert carried the football 18 times for 113 yards, finishing the contest with 6.3 yards per carry for Miami. Tyreek Hill was featured in the passing game for the Dolphins, catching 7 passes for 47 yards (6.7 yards per catch). Skylar Thompson finished the contest with 166 yds on 19/33 passing while his QB rating was 58.4. He tossed 1 pick and his avg yards per attempt was 5.0 yards. Miami surrendered 33 attempts on the ground for 135 yards (4.1 yards per rush). The Dolphins secondary gave up a completion percentage of 66.7%, relinquishing 187 yards on 14 out of 21 passing. The Dolphins finished the game with 295 yds and they ran 62 plays (4.8 yards per play). Miami ran the football for 5.3 yards per tote, finishing with 137 yds on 26 carries.

The Miami Dolphins maintain an average of 347.8 yards per contest which has them sitting 16th out of all teams in the NFL. They have an average of 82.8 yards per game via the ground game and have run for 414 yards for this season. The Miami offense has 234 yards of penalties on 33 violations, which has them ranked 7th in football in terms of giving up free yards. They have tossed 5 picks while losing 1 fumble and they have been able to earn 64 1st downs. For the season so far, the Dolphins have compiled 1,325 yards through the air not to mention an average of 265.0 passing yards per game, which is ranked 5th in football. Regarding how much they score, the Dolphins currently sit 14th out of all teams in the NFL by tallying 23.0 PPG.

The Dolphins are allowing 26.2 PPG, which has them ranked 29th in the NFL. They have given up 8 touchdowns through the air and 276.8 yards/contest, ranking them 28th out of all teams. Over the course of the season, they have relinquished 131 points in total. Miami has allowed a total of 550 yards on the ground (110.0 yards per game) and 7 touchdowns rushing this year. The Dolphins defense has been on the field for 317 plays, which has them ranked 20th in football. Their defense has totaled 4 takeaways (3 fumbles recovered and 1 interception) for the year.

Who will win tonight's Vikings/Dolphins NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Dolphins +3

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