Joel Alvarez vs Drakkar Klose Pick, 12/14/2024 Predictions UFC Tampa Odds

by Tony Sink - 12/10/2024

Joel Alvarez vs Drakkar Klose

UFC Tampa

Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

Saturday, December 14, 2024

Joel Alvarez will battle Drakkar Klose at UFC Tampa on Saturday, December 14, 2024. The line has Alvarez priced at -395 while Klose is coming in at +310.

Joel "El Fenomeno" Alvarez steps into the cage with a mark of 21-3-0. The 31-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 77". Drakkar Klose stands 5'9" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 15-2-1. The 36-year-old extends his reach 70". Regarding significant strikes, Joel Alvarez connects on 4.39 per min and Drakkar Klose is landing 4.37 significant strikes per minute. Alvarez connects on 52% of the significant strikes he attempts and Klose lands 55%. When it comes to defending themselves, "El Fenomeno" takes 3.36 significant strikes per min and Klose absorbs 3.46. Alvarez also curbs 51% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Klose curbs 51% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Joel Alvarez ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Tampa	Joel Alvarez	Drakkar Klose
Opening Odds	-395	+310
Record	21-3-0	15-2-1
Average Fight Time	7:36	12:07
Height	6'3"	5'9"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	77"	70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.39	4.37
Striking Accuracy	52%	55%

When it comes to grappling, Joel Alvarez is not as effective of a wrestler as he scores a takedown 0.40 times per 3 rounds. Alvarez is scoring a takedown on 15% of his tries and stopping 42% of all takedowns attempted on him. Klose is finishing his takedowns on 26% of the takedowns he tries and is stopping 69% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to submission attempts, Alvarez is the more skilled of the two fighters by trying 1.2 submissions per 15 min while Klose tries 0.6 submissions per 3 rds.

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In his last fight, Joel Alvarez squared up with Elves Brener and wound up taking home the win via knees to the head in round 3. Brener landed 45 of 98 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Alvarez ended the night having landed 114 of 164 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Brener ended up landing 45 of 97, which gave him a rate of 46%. He landed 17 of 58 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Alvarez landed 67% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 95 of 141. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 67 of 111 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Brener and 74% of them landed by Alvarez were thrown at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Drakkar Klose, he squared up with Joaquim Silva and got a win for the night by unanimous decision in round 3. Silva landed 55% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Klose ended up landing 62% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Klose ended up landing 56% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 70 of 123. He connected on 40 of 82 significant strikes directed at the head. Silva ended up landing 59 of 93 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 25 of 53 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go in that fight, Silva connected on 143 of 179 while Klose ended up landing 96 of 151 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Sean Woodson enters the Octagon with Fernando Padilla. Woodson will be looking to add a win to his career record of 12-1-1. The 32-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and measures in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 78". Padilla measures in at 6'1" and will fight at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 16-5-0. The 27-year-old extends his reach 76". When it comes to grappling, Sean Woodson gets his opposition to the mat 0.66 times per 3 rds and Fernando Padilla takes his opponents to the canvas 0.70 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Woodson is landing 5.58 strikes/minute and connecting on 46% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Fernando Padilla, who is connecting on 42% of the strikes that he throws and lands 6.48 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Felipe Lima is set to encounter Miles Johns. Johns walks into the Octagon with a record of 15-2-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 66". Lima stands 5'6" and weighs 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 13-1-0. The 26-year-old reaches 68". Concerning wrestling, Miles Johns is stopping 85% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is scoring a takedown on 20% of the times he tries. Lima is taking his opponents down on 50% of his tries and is able to thwart 80% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Johns is taking 2.54 strikes per min while he dishes out 3.28 per min. Lima, notwithstanding, takes 2.67 strikes/min and lands 3.29 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Drakkar Klose (+310)

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Joel Alvarez vs Drakkar Klose Pick, 12/14/2024 Predictions UFC Tampa Odds

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