Ismail Naurdiev vs JunYong Park Pick, 06/21/2025 Predictions UFC Baku Odds

Ismail Naurdiev vs JunYong Park

UFC Baku

Baku Crystal Hall in Baku, Azerbaijan

Saturday, June 21, 2025

Ismail Naurdiev will face off against JunYong Park at UFC Baku on Saturday, June 21, 2025. The opening odds have Naurdiev at +164 while Park is priced at -198.

Ismail Naurdiev has a career mark of 24-7-0. The 28-year-old is weighing in at 185 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 74". JunYong "The Iron Turtle" Park stands in at 5'10" and will fight at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 18-6-0. The 34-year-old extends his reach 73". In terms of significant strikes, Ismail Naurdiev is connecting on 3.41 per minute while JunYong Park lands 4.77 significant strikes per minute. Naurdiev connects on 53% of the significant strikes he tries while Park is connecting on 51%. Concerning the fighter's defense, Naurdiev takes 1.52 significant strikes per minute and "The Iron Turtle" allows 3.42. Naurdiev also stops 66% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Park is able to deflect 54% of the strikes thrown his way.

Concerning takedowns, Ismail Naurdiev is the lesser skilled wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 1.60 times per 3 rounds. Naurdiev is scoring a takedown on 40% of his tries and thwarting 72% of all takedown tries against him. Park is finishing his takedown attempts on 47% of his takedown tries and stopping 57% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding sub attempts, Naurdiev is less likely to go for the finish by attempting 0.2 submissions per 15 min while Park looks to get 0.9 submissions per 15 min.

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In his last bout, Ismail Naurdiev faced Bruno Silva and wound up getting the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Silva ended up landing 38 of 100 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Naurdiev walked away from this fight having landed 107 of 166 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Silva landed 36 of 97, which gave him a percentage of 37%. He landed 28 of 83 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Naurdiev landed 56% of his significant strikes by connecting on 66 of 116. Out of those significant strikes, he was 42 of 87 pointed at the head. 83% of the significant strikes connected on by Silva and 77% of them landed by Naurdiev were done at a distance.

In the last bout for JunYong Park, he went up against Brad Tavares and got a win for the night by split decision in round 3. Tavares ended up landing 95% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Park landed 91% of his significant strikes at distance. Park landed 55% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 99 of 177. He connected on 76 of 151 significant strikes directed at the head. Tavares connected on 65 of 149 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 55 of 136 aimed at the head. In regard to total strikes thrown, Tavares ended up connecting on 73 of 159 and Park ended up landing 124 of 210 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Tagir Ulanbekov squares up against Azat Maksum. Ulanbekov looks to add a win to his career record of 16-2-0. The 33-year-old is weighing in at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter stretches 70". Maksum stands 5'7" and will fight at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter has a mark of 15-1-0. The 30-year-old reaches 70". Regarding grappling, Tagir Ulanbekov gets a takedown 3.56 times per 15 minutes and Azat Maksum takes his opponents to the canvas 2.00 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Ulanbekov connects on 3.13 strikes/min and connecting on 47% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Azat Maksum, who is connecting on 23% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 2.80 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Mohammed Usman is set to square up in the Octagon against Hamdy Abdelwahab. Abdelwahab holds a record of 6-0-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old is weighing in at 264 lbs and stands 6'2". The southpaw fighter stretches 72". Usman comes in at 6'2" and tips the scales at 239 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 11-4-0. The 36-year-old has an arm span of 79". In terms of grappling, Hamdy Abdelwahab is able to curb 100% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents down on 100% of his tries. Usman is taking his opponents down on 17% of the tries he takes and curbs 60% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Abdelwahab absorbs 3.87 strikes/minute while he is landing 3.40 per minute. Usman, at the same time, takes 4.41 strikes per minute and deals 3.41 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Ismail Naurdiev (+164)

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