Free College Football Picks: Louisiana Tech at Hawaii Betting Odds and Predictions
by Alan Matthews - 10/2/2010
So why are we offering free college football picks for a seemingly meaningless Western Athletic Conference game between Louisiana Tech and Hawaii, two teams who aren’t even WAC contenders, here at Doc’s Sports? Any sportsbook will tell you that Hawaii home games get an inordinate number of bets considering the quality of the team (post-June Junes especially) because it’s the last game of the night on the board. So there you go.
Louisiana Tech might be one of the 10 worst teams in the FBS as the Bulldogs enter at 1-3, with that one win coming over FCS school Grambling. Tech is near the bottom of Division I in rushing (100.5 yards per game) and scoring (17.8, with a high of 23 this season). It enters off a 13-12 loss to Southern Miss.
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Hawaii (2-2) is as usual a high-scoring, pass-happy team. The Warriors lead the nation in passing at 405.5 yards per game and are in the Top 30 in scoring at 36.5 points a game. However, Hawaii has flunked its two main tests so far, losing to Southern Cal (no fault of the offense) and Colorado. The Warriors do enter off a 66-7 beat down of Charleston Southern in which Bryant Moniz threw for 395 yards and six touchdowns – all six in the first half, tying a school record for a half set by Colt Brennan and current offensive coordinator Nick Rolovich.
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The Bulldogs will start their fourth quarterback of the season (sort of) on Saturday night as Tarik Hakmi gets the nod. The transfer relieved Colby Cameron last week against Southern Miss; Cameron got the hook after just four plays, the last of which was a pick. Prior to Cameron, Ross Jenkins started the opener. But actually Steven Ensminger was named the starter back in August but then somehow lost the job the week prior to the season opener – partly because he got a stomach bug.
Hakmi was 22-of-38 for 233 yards and a touchdown in last week’s loss. He also threw a crucial interception in Southern Miss territory with less than three minutes left, one of two fourth-quarter picks. He was Tech's leading rusher against the Golden Eagles, totaling 26 yards on 12 carries.
“I don't know if anybody has ever had a situation like this," Louisiana Tech coach Sonny Dykes said of having four starters already. "This is may be unique to the history of football."
Clearly Hawaii has no quarterback issues with Moniz. He actually had four touchdown passes against Charleston Southern before the Warriors even faced a third down. He also ran for a score. That 66-7 victory was the first time Hawaii broke the 60-point barrier since 2007.
These two teams have met eight previous times with the Warriors holding a 6-2 advantage, including a 5-2 edge in WAC games. In Honolulu, UH has won all four meetings, including a 24-14 victory in 2008. However, Louisiana Tech won 27-6 last year. Only five of the 11 Tech defensive players who started against Hawaii are still on the team this season. Ironically, that defense got Moniz his job as he replaced then-starting QB Greg Alexander after he was knocked out of the ’09 game with what would prove to be a season-ending injury.
Louisiana Tech at Hawaii betting odds
Hawaii is an eight-point favorite as of press time with the total at 62.5. There’s a huge lean on Hawaii right now, nearly 80 percent. That no doubt correlates to the fact the line has dropped from an open of 10. The total has risen about two points from its open at most books.
Louisiana Tech at Hawaii betting trends
The home team is 6-0 ATS in the past six meetings
The favorite is 6-1 ATS in the past seven
The ‘over’ is 4-0 in Louisiana Tech’s past four WAC games
The ‘over’ is 4-1 in Hawaii’s past five games
Louisiana Tech at Hawaii Betting Predictions and College Football Picks
I’ll admit, I thought Oklahoma State was easy money over Texas A&M on Thursday night, but the Cowboys only managed to ‘push’ (and were a bit lucky to do that). But if there’s a sure thing in college football this week it is Hawaii giving only eight points. The Warriors went up and down the field at home against Southern Cal and could have won that game. What do you think they will do to Louisiana Tech? I’d also go with the ‘over’ because I expect at least 42 from Hawaii and its defense isn’t good enough to hold Louisiana Tech under 20.
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