Free NBA Picks Saturday, January 4 and Opening Line Report
There's no more college football on Saturday and there's only a couple of
NFL Playoff games. Basketball is about to take over Saturdays between
college and the NBA. The NBA slate has 11 games with some pretty intriguing
The Nets are favorites against the Raptors
at home, while the
Pacers are single-digit favorites
on the road against the Hawks. Here's the early lean for the 11 games on
Grizzlies @ Clippers (TBD,TBD)
The Clippers have won their last two games against the Kings and Pistons.
They've gone 6-4 in their last 10 games, while Memphis is busy trading wins
for losses as of late. If the trading were to continue, the Grizzlies
should pull off the upset win on the road. The Grizzlies defense has been
terrible, and they'll go up against one of the best offenses in the league.
The Clippers will blow the Grizzlies out at home.
Key trends: Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Raptors @ Nets (-1, 216.5)
The Nets have lost four straight games and have now fallen below .500. Two crucial signings in Durant and Irving have made no impact for the team, and the Nets are really struggling right now. The Raptors are 6-4 in their last 10 games and most recently took a lopsided loss to the Heat on the road while only scoring 76 points. The Nets have allowed 122+ points in their last two games. The Raptors will get their offense back on track and win on the road against the Nets.
Key trends: Raptors are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Early lean: Raptors, Over
Jazz @ Magic (TBD, TBD)
Utah is 22-12. Did you realize? The Jazz might be the most underrated team in the NBA right now after winning four straight and nine of their last 10 games. The Magic will have a back-to-back with the Heat before this one, while the Jazz get extra rest and another day to prepare. With the way the Jazz are playing as of late, Utah should be a step quicker in this one. Take the Jazz at all costs.
Key trends: Jazz are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Early lean: Jazz, Under
Thunder @ Cavaliers (-4.5, 212.5)
After my comment about the Jazz being the most underrated team, some of you
probably wondered where I had the Thunder ranked. They're also underrated
and have played really good basketball as of late with a four-game winning
streak and have won eight of their last 10. The Thunder will have a chance
to win five straight against a Cavs team that will be seeing moving pieces
pretty soon, like Kevin Love. The Cavs last two wins came against the
Timberwolves and the Hawks. Two really poor teams. The Thunder are a
quality team and will handle the Cavs in this one.
Key trends: Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.
Pacers @ Hawks (+5.5, 221.5)
The Pacers have lost three of their last four against solid opponents,
while the Hawks finally got a win against the Magic after losing 10
straight. The Hawks will face the Celtics before this game. Any game
against the Celtics will tire you out for a second game back-to-back. For a
Hawks team that relies on scoring enough points to win, the second game of
the back-to-back won't help. Take the Pacers with the extra day of rest on
Key trends: Pacers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Early lean: Pacers, Under
Celtics @ Bulls (TBD, TBD)
The Celtics have turned it on recently, winning seven of their last 10
games and four of their last five, while the Bulls have now lost three of
their last four. Just like I said about the Hawks, the tempo will be fast
and tiring. The Celtics will also have to play a back-to-back against the
Bulls after this while the Bulls get some rest. Take the Bulls as an
underdog at home.
Key trends: Bulls are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
Nuggets @ Wizards (TBD, TBD)
The Nuggets were mostly known for their defense in the last couple of
seasons. But offense in Nuggets games have been unmatched. In each game, a
team has scored at least 112 points in the last five games. The Wizards
don't have much defense, either. This will be a high-scoring game, but the
Nuggets will come on top as they've won eight of their last 10 and the
Wizards have went just 3-7 in their last 10. The Nuggets will blow them
Key trends: Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5.
Pistons @ Warriors (TBD, TBD)
The Pistons are currently struggling with four losses in their last five
and going 2-8 in their last 10 games. The Warriors were surging for a
little bit at the end of 2019 but have since lost three straight games.
Both teams have quite the injury list. I think the Warriors bounce back at
home with the Pistons traveling all the way to the Bay area.
Key trends: Warriors are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.
Spurs @ Bucks (-11.5, 227.5)
The Bucks are literally 31-5 on the year. We knew the Bucks were going to
be good, but this good? The Bucks are on a four-game winning streak and
completely dominate at home where they'll take on the Spurs. The Spurs have
their way with these games, though. They just haven't closed or sealed the
deal. I think the Bucks win, but the Spurs cover. In their last five games,
the Spurs have either won straight up or lost by single digits.
Key trends: Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Hornets @ Mavericks (-12.5, 215.5)
The Hornets had lost four straight games before defeating the Cavaliers,
while Dallas stopped a two-game losing streak in a win against the Nets.
Dallas is just 5-5 in their last 10 games. For a team as good as the
Mavericks, that's going to change. The Mavericks hit their bad stretch and
will now start to win some games again. The Hornets were losing games by
large margins before their win against the Cavs, and I expect another large
margin loss in this one.
Key trends: Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Pelicans @ Kings (TBD, TBD)
Are the Pelicans for real? The Pelicans have won four straight games and
will be looking for their fifth straight win against a Kings team that has
lost eight of their last 10 games. The Kings lone win in their last five
was against the Grizzlies. The Pelicans have compiled wins against the
Nuggets, Pacers, and Rockets. If they continue to play this well, they'll
be no match for the Kings.
Key trends: Pelicans are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
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