NFL Survivor Pool Picks and Advice: Week 14
And then there were none.
Week 13 saw the last undefeated team – the Pittsburgh Steelers – fall at home to the only team without a real name – the Washington Football Team. From what I saw, read and talked about prior to the game, there was a ton of love for Washington to be the team to knock off the Steelers. After falling behind 14-0, it seemed like Washington turned it up a notch while the Steelers ran out of gas. The loss not only ends the unbeaten season but puts them back in a neck-and-neck race with the Chiefs for top-spot in the AFC. Washington’s win was also huge for them as they are tied for first in the NFC East despite their 5-7 record. As for the survivor pool, we were able to hit four of our top five plays and will be looking to try and go perfect this week.
Seattle Seahawks over New York Jets: Just when you thought the Jets’ tank job couldn’t get any more obvious, they went out and lost to the Raiders in head-scratching fashion. That led to them firing their defensive coordinator, but I don’t think that’ll make a difference this week. The Seahawks laid an egg at home last week, but now is a chance to redeem themselves and beat up on a bad team. Seahawks win this game with ease.
New Orleans Saints over Philadelphia Eagles: At this point in time, the Eagles would be better off starting Pete Wentz from Fallout Boy over Carson Wentz from North Dakota State. He stinks. He needs a trade out of Philly, and the Eagles need to re-evaluate their roster. The Saints have gone 3-0 with Taysom Hill under center, and we see no reason why they can’t win this game against a bad Eagles team.
Green Bay Packers over Detroit Lions: The Packers were in control of their game against the Eagles the entire way, despite the close scoreline. The Lions needed to score 14 points in the last 2:18 to beat a bad Bears team, who still managed to put up 30 points on them. The Packers will put up similar numbers, but they can actually play defense. Packers win this game and move closer to a division title.
Los Angeles Rams over New England Patriots: I was off the Rams train last week and they won, I’m back on it this week and they’ll probably lose. In all seriousness, the Rams’ defense should be the difference in this one as the Patriots walked into their game against the Chargers already up 14-0 given how big a mess that organization is. The Rams have plenty to play for, and we believe they’ll take care of business at home in prime time.
Tennessee Titans over Jacksonville Jaguars: The Titans were in a classic letdown spot against the Browns as they came off a dominating win over a division rival in what was a revenge game. They should be focused for this one after laying an egg against the Browns. The Jags had their chance to win their second game of the season but blew it. We don’t trust them at all.
Carolina Panthers over Denver Broncos: The Broncos played well against the Chiefs, but I don’t think that’ll carry over against the Panthers, who had their bye week and will be rested coming into this one. They may also get Christian McCaffrey back for this one, and we think that makes the difference in this contest.
Dallas Cowboys over Cincinnati Bengals: Trusting the Cowboys on the road is a terrible idea but it’s the lesser of two evils. I mean, have you seen the Bengals play lately? Dallas is coming off a loss against the Ravens on Tuesday, but they should have enough in the tank to handle Brandon Allen and the listless Bengals.
Kansas City Chiefs over Miami Dolphins: If the Chiefs were ever going to have a let down spot and sleepwalk through a game, it would be this one. They are coming off three straight emotional games that came down to the last few minutes (all wins), and now they go on the road to face a Miami team that’s won four of their last five games and are fighting for their playoff life. I’m not predicting a Miami win, but it wouldn’t surprise me to see Miami keep this game closer than most people think.
New York Giants over Arizona Cardinals: This game is currently without a line, but we’ll take the Giants at home over the Cardinals. The Giants’ defense showed up in a big way on Sunday, holding the Seahawks to just 12 points, while the Cards fell to the Rams. The Giants are currently in first place in the NFC East and can ill afford any slip-ups the rest of the way.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers over Minnesota Vikings: The Bucs will be ready to go in this one as they come off their bye week. I’m banking that they’ve worked out some issues offensively and will be ready to take advantage of a weak Vikings defense. The Vikings will have a hard time running the football in this game against the Bucs top-ranked run defense.
Las Vegas Raiders over Indianapolis Colts: I was on the Colts last week, and they did well to win. The Raiders needed a last-second miracle to beat the Jets, but I think they’ll be ready for this game at home, with their playoff life on the lines. The Raiders have too many weapons for the Colts to handle.
Atlanta Falcons over Los Angeles Chargers: I don’t know why, but the Falcons can’t score touchdowns against the Saints. They should have no trouble putting up points against a defeated Chargers squad who are simply playing out the string with a lame-duck coach.
Washington over San Francisco: Why wouldn’t we trust the Redskins in this spot? They have momentum, a great defense, and a confident offense. The Niners stink, and we don’t see them putting up more than 20 in this spot. Washington wins this one and keeps pace in the NFC East.
Buffalo Bills over Pittsburgh Steelers: One of my favorite spots to play on is fading a team who is coming off their first loss of the season. The theory is that they’ll be a little looser with their attitude now that they don’t have that extra chip on their shoulder. Buffalo has a solid offense. And with Pittsburgh playing their third game in 13 days, we’ll take Buffalo to outlast them.
Cleveland Browns over Baltimore Ravens: This spread is essentially a pick’em, and we’ll take the home side in this one. The Ravens haven’t looked like their usual self at all this season. And with the Browns in a good revenge spot (lost 38-6 in Week 1), we think they get the job done behind a solid performance from Baker Mayfield.
Houston Texans over Chicago Bears: This is a weird game that I do not recommend betting. The Bears’ offense sprung to life against the Lions, but the defense was missing in action. The Texans did well to compete with the Colts and should have won the game, but a costly fumble was their undoing. I’d take Watson over Trubisky any day of the week, but Watson’s offensive weapons leave a lot to be desired.
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