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Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Prediction, 12/12/2021 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 14

by Tony Sink - 12/7/2021

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Game: Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Date: Sunday, December 12, 2021

Location: Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Packers (-12.5)

Total/Over-Under: 43.5

The Chicago Bears (4-8) are headed to Lambeau Field on Tuesday where they will attempt to beat the Green Bay Packers (9-3). Green Bay is 12.5-point favorites. The total has been set at 43.5.

The Chicago Bears head into this matchup 4-8 for this season. In their last game, the Bears faced the Cardinals and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 33-22. David Montgomery led the offense in rushing for the Bears with 21 attempts for 90 yards (4.3 yards per carry). Jakeem Grant had an average of 12.4 yds per catch by totaling 62 yds on 5 receptions. Andy Dalton finished 26/41 with 229 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 54.9 and walked away from the contest with 4 picks. In the running game, the Bears gave up 137 yds on 35 tries, which is an average of 3.9 yds per run allowed. Chicago allowed 11 pass completions on 15 attempts for 120 yds, and a completion rate of 73.3%. For the game, they ran 71 plays which gave them a total of 329 yds. The Chicago Bears ran the football 27 different times and amassed 112 yards, which earned them an average of 4.1 yards per carry.

The Bears have earned 3,586 total yards over the course of this year. Chicago has compiled 119 1st downs as a unit, and they have been flagged for 75 penalties for 664 yds. With reference to notching touchdowns, Chicago has compiled 10 passing touchdowns and 10 rushing touchdowns. They have given the ball to the opposition 19 different times (14 interceptions and 5 fumbles lost). Offensively they are averaging 125.1 yards in the run game ranking them 8th in the league. When talking about putting points on the board, the Chicago Bears are averaging 16.8 points per contest.

Concerning yards through the air, the Bears have conceded 2,494 yards which puts them in 5th in the league. They are conceding 207.8 yards per game via the pass as well as conceding a completion percentage of 67.1%. In total, they have relinquished 327.9 yards/outing ranking them 9th in the league. They have allowed 20 touchdowns via the pass as well as 12 touchdowns pounding the rock. The opposition is running for 4.2 yards per rush on the ground and 120.1 rushing yards per game this season. For the season, they have conceded 1,441 yards via the ground game in 12 games. The Bears are ranked 22nd in the NFL in terms of the opposition scoring, giving up 23.9 points per contest.

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The Packers head into this matchup 9-3 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Packers walked away with a victory by a final of 36-28 when they played the Rams. Aaron Rodgers (2 TDs) ended the game with 307 yards on 28/45 passing while his quarterback rate was 97.2. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.82 yds. Davante Adams was one of the featured targets for the Packers, hauling in 8 footballs for 104 yards (13.0 yds per reception). AJ Dillon ran the ball 20 times for 69 yards, finishing the contest with 3.5 yards per attempt for Green Bay. The Packers finished the game with a total of 399 yards and they ran 78 plays (5.1 yds per play). Green Bay ended up running for 2.9 yds per carry, finishing with 92 yds on 32 attempts. Green Bay conceded 20 running attempts for 68 yds (3.4 yds per rush). The Packers pass defense gave up a completion rate of 53.8%, surrendering 285 yards on 21 out of 39 through the air.

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Concerning putting points on the board, the Packers are sitting 15th in the league scoring 23.6 points per contest. For the season to this point, the Packers have thrown for a total of 2,980 passing yards together with an average of 248.3 passing yards per game, which has them sitting 9th in football. They average 106.7 yards per game via the rush and have toted the ball for 1,280 yards for the season. The Green Bay Packers hold an average of 355.0 yards/game which ranks them 15th out of all teams in the league. The Green Bay offense has accrued 538 yds of penalties on 54 violations, which is good for 31st in the NFL in terms of making mistakes. They have given away 5 picks while allowing opponents to recover 5 fumbles and they have obtained 154 1st downs.

Green Bay has given up a total of 1,230 yards on the ground (102.5 yards per game) and 9 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the season. They have conceded 21 touchdowns through the air and 219.2 yards/game, which has them sitting 9th in football. They have 19 turnovers (7 fumbles and 12 interceptions) over the course of the season. In total, they have relinquished 242 points in total. The Packers defense has been on the field for 735 plays, which is good for 11th in the league. The Packers are relinquishing 20.2 points per game, which puts them in 5th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Bears/Packers NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Bears +12.5

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