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New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction, 12/19/2021 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 15

by Josh Schonwald - 12/13/2021

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Game: New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Date: Sunday, December 19, 2021

Location: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Buccaneers (-11.5)

Total/Over-Under: 47

Raymond James Stadium is where the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-3) will compete against the New Orleans Saints (6-7) on Sunday. Tampa Bay opens this matchup as 11.5-point favorites. The betting total is set at 47.

The New Orleans Saints come into this game with a record of 6-7 for this year. In their last game, the Saints stepped onto the field against the Jets and notched a win by a score of 30-9. Alvin Kamara led the offense in rushing for the Saints with 27 carries for 120 yds (4.4 yards per attempt). Nick Vannett left with an average of 14.7 yards per catch by earning 44 yds on 3 catches. Taysom Hill finished 15/21 with 175 yds through the air. He had a QB rating of 96.3 and finished the game without throwing an interception. Against the run, the Saints gave up 78 yards on 17 tries, which calculates to 4.6 yards per rush surrendered. New Orleans gave up 19 completions on 42 tries for 178 yards, and a completion rate of 45.2%. In the game, they ran 68 plays which gave them a total of 344 yds. The New Orleans Saints ran the football 44 times and amassed 203 yds, which is an average of 4.6 yards per tote.

When it comes to scoring, the New Orleans Saints are averaging 23.4 points per contest. As a unit they're averaging 121.5 yards on the ground ranking this team at 14th in the league. The Saints have tallied 4,152 total yards for the year. New Orleans has accounted for 136 first downs as a unit, and they have been called for 76 infractions for 635 yards. They have surrendered the football 16 times (11 interceptions and 5 fumbles). When it comes to getting in the endzone, New Orleans has earned 25 touchdowns via the pass and 12 rushing touchdowns.

Concerning yards through the air, the Saints have given up 3,179 yards which puts them in 19th in the National Football League. They have conceded 244.5 yards per outing through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 62.5%. For the season, they are giving up 339.5 yards per outing putting them 12th in the league. They have surrendered 18 touchdowns through the air and 10 touchdowns running the ball. They are giving up 3.7 yards per rushing attempt and 95.0 rushing yards per contest this season. Overall, they have conceded 1,235 rushing yards through 13 contests. The Saints are ranked 11th in the National Football League in terms of team defense, conceding 21.9 PPG.

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The Buccaneers head into this game 10-3 for this season. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Buccaneers got the win with a final of 33-27 against the Bills. Leonard Fournette carried the ball 19 times for 113 yds, ending the game with 5.9 yds per carry for Tampa Bay. Chris Godwin had the best day in terms of receiving for the Buccaneers, catching 10 throws for 105 yds (10.5 yds per reception). Tom Brady (2 touchdowns) finished the contest with 363 yards on 31/46 through the air while his QB rating was 105.6. He didn't throw any interceptions and his avg yards per attempt was 7.89 yards. Tampa Bay conceded 19 run attempts for 173 yards (9.1 yds per rush). The Buccaneers pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 66.7%, surrendering 293 yds on 36 for 54 through the air. The Buccaneers finished with 488 yds on 77 plays (6.3 yds per play). Tampa Bay ran for 4.7 yds per carry, finishing with a total of 137 yards on 29 attempts.

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Regarding the points being put on the board, the Buccaneers are ranked 1st in the NFL holding an average of 31.5 PPG. During this campaign thus far, the Buccaneers have thrown for 4,084 passing yards in addition to holding an average of 314.2 passing yards per outing, which has them ranked 1st in the league. They hold an average of 96.0 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 1,248 yards in total. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers hold an average of 410.2 yards/game ranking them 1st out of all teams in the NFL. The Tampa Bay offense has totaled 745 yds of penalties on 82 violations, which is good for 17th in the NFL in terms of hurting your team. They have thrown 10 interceptions while losing 6 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 212 first downs.

The Buccaneers are relinquishing 22.8 points per game, which has them ranked 19th of all teams in the league. Tampa Bay has conceded a total of 1,185 yards via the ground game (91.2 yards per contest) in addition to 9 touchdowns via the rush for the year. They have given up 23 touchdowns from the passing game and 251.8 yards per game, which has them in 24th in the league. The Buccaneers defense has been on the field for 835 plays, which is good for 22nd in the league. Over the course of the season, they have surrendered 297 total points. They have compiled 25 takeaways (10 fumbles recovered and 15 interceptions) so far this season.

Who will win tonight's Saints/Buccaneers NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Saints +11.5

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