Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Prediction, 12/11/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 14

by Josh Schonwald - 12/5/2022

nfl picks Greg Dulcich denver broncos predictions best bet odds

Game: Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos

Date: Sunday, December 11, 2022

Location: Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Broncos (+9)

Total/Over-Under: 43

The Kansas City Chiefs (9-3) are hitting the road to Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday where they will take on the Denver Broncos (3-9). Kansas City opens this matchup as 9-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is 43.

The Kansas City Chiefs step onto the field holding a record of 9-3 this season. In their last contest, the Chiefs faced the Bengals and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 27-24. Patrick Mahomes connected on 16/27 with 223 yards passing and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rate of 98.2 and finished the game without throwing a pick. Marquez Valdes-Scantling held an average of 35.5 yards per reception by tallying 71 yards on 2 catches. Isiah Pacheco was the best rusher for the Chiefs with 14 attempts for 66 yds (4.7 yds per carry). In all, they ran 54 plays which totaled 349 yds. The Kansas City Chiefs ran the ball a total of 25 times and amassed 138 yards, which had them averaging 5.5 yds per attempt. On the ground, the Chiefs conceded 152 yards on 34 tries, which averages out to 4.5 yards per run surrendered. Kansas City relinquished 25 pass completions on 31 tries for a total of 279 yds, and a completion rate of 80.6%.

The Chiefs currently have 5,079 yards in total for this campaign. Kansas City has tallied 201 1st downs, and they have been hurt by 58 infractions for 553 yards. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Kansas City has compiled 30 touchdowns via the pass and 11 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 16 different times (8 picks and 8 fumbles lost). Offensively they maintain an average of 116.8 yards on the ground which has them sitting 17th in the league. Concerning scoring points, the Kansas City Chiefs hold an average of 29.2 points per contest.

When it comes to passing yards, the Chiefs have conceded 2,847 yards which has them sitting in 23rd in the National Football League. They have relinquished 237.3 yards per contest through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 68.1%. For the season, they are conceding 343.4 yards/outing ranking them 16th in the league. They have granted 24 touchdowns via the pass as well as 7 touchdowns pounding the rock. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.4 yards per rush and 106.2 rushing yards per contest for the season. For the season, they have given up 1,274 yards via the running game in 12 outings. The Chiefs rank 15th in the National Football League concerning team defense, conceding 22.5 points per game.

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The Broncos come into this game with a record of 3-9 for this season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Broncos went home defeated by a final of 10-9 against the Ravens. Russell Wilson walked away from the game with 189 yds on 17/22 passing while his QB rating was 102.3. He didn't throw any picks and his average yds per pass attempt was 8.6 yds. Greg Dulcich was the leading receiver for the Broncos, catching 6 footballs for 85 yards (14.2 yds per catch). Latavius Murray carried the football 17 times for 47 yards, walking away from the game with 2.8 yds per carry for Denver. The Broncos ended up finishing with 272 yds on 52 plays (5.2 yds per play). Denver rushed for 3.1 yards per carry, totaling 88 yds on 28 attempts. Denver relinquished 28 running attempts for 103 yards (3.7 yds per rush). The Broncos passing defense allowed a completion rate of 81.1%, relinquishing 182 yds on 30 for 37 through the air.

When discussing how much they score, the Broncos are ranking 32nd in football with an average of 13.8 points per game. For the season thus far, the Broncos have thrown for a total of 2,547 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 212.3 throwing yards per contest, which ranks 21st in the league. They are averaging 102.9 yards per game on the ground and have toted the ball for 1,235 yards for the season. The Denver Broncos hold an average of 315.2 yards per contest which is good for 27th out of all teams in the NFL. The Denver offense has totaled 787 yds of penalties on 91 violations, which ranks 1st in football in terms of helping out the opposition. They have thrown 6 picks while letting opponents recover 6 fumbles and they have been able to earn 115 1st downs.

The Broncos are surrendering 17.0 points per game, which has them sitting 2nd in the league. They have given up 9 touchdowns via the pass and 184.5 yards per outing, which has them sitting 3rd in football. Overall, they have relinquished 204 total points. Denver has yielded a total of 1,441 yards on the ground (120.1 yards per outing) in addition to 7 touchdowns by ground this season. The Broncos defense has been on the field for 764 plays, which ranks 17th in the NFL. They have compiled 13 turnovers (5 fumbles recovered and 8 interceptions) for the year.

Who will win tonight's Chiefs/Broncos NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Broncos +9

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Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Prediction, 12/11/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 14

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