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Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction, 10/2/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 4

by Josh Schonwald - 9/27/2022

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Game: Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Date: Sunday, October 2, 2022

Location: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Buccaneers (+1.5)

Total/Over-Under: 48

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1) welcome the Kansas City Chiefs (2-1) at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday. Kansas City opens this game as 1.5-point favorites. The total comes in at 48.

The Kansas City Chiefs head into this game 2-1 for this season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Chiefs took on the Colts and ended up losing by a score of 20-17. Patrick Mahomes finished 20/35 with 262 yards passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rate of 78.5 and ended the contest with 1 interception. JuJu Smith-Schuster had an average of 17.8 yards per reception by accumulating 89 yds on 5 receptions. Patrick Mahomes was the best rusher for the Chiefs with 4 totes for 26 yards (6.5 yds per carry). In the game, they had 60 plays for 315 yards. The Kansas City Chiefs ran the football 23 times and amassed 58 yards, earning them an average of 2.5 yards per tote. Against the run, the Chiefs gave up 82 yds on 27 attempts, which averages out to 3.0 yds per run allowed. Kansas City gave up 27 completions on 37 tries for 177 yards, and a completion rate of 73.0%.

The Chiefs have earned 1,122 total yards over the course of this year. Kansas City has recorded 45 1st downs as an offense, and they have been called for 15 infractions for 124 yards. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Kansas City has earned 8 passing touchdowns and 2 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the football over 3 different times (1 interception and 2 fumbles). Offensively they average 93.0 yards via the ground game which is 22nd in the league. When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Kansas City Chiefs hold an average of 29.3 PPG.

When it comes to passing yardage, the Chiefs have conceded 682 yards which has them sitting in 15th in football. They have surrendered 227.3 yards per outing via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 68.3%. For the season, they are granting 314.0 yards per contest which ranks them 10th in the league. They have yielded 7 touchdowns by air in addition to 1 touchdown on the ground. They are giving up an average of 3.6 yards per rush on the ground and 86.7 rushing yards per game over the course of this year. Overall, they have conceded 260 yards via the ground game in 3 games. The Chiefs sit in 17th in the NFL concerning their opponents scoring, giving up 21.7 points per game.

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The Buccaneers come into this matchup with a record of 2-1 for this season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Buccaneers took a defeat with a final score of 14-12 against the Packers. Tom Brady (1 TD) walked away from the contest with 271 yards on 31/42 passing while his QB rate was 98.4. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his average yds per pass attempt was 6.5 yards. Leonard Fournette carried the rock 12 times for 35 yds, finishing the game with 2.9 yards per attempt for Tampa Bay. Russell Gage was one of the featured targets for the Buccaneers, catching 12 balls for 87 yds (7.3 yds per reception). Tampa Bay ran the ball for 2.4 yards per attempt, finishing with 34 yards on 14 carries. The Buccaneers finished the contest with a total of 285 yds on 59 plays (4.8 yards per play). The Buccaneers passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 77.1%, relinquishing 248 yards on 27 for 35 through the air. Tampa Bay conceded 25 running attempts for 67 yards (2.7 yds per carry).

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In terms of their scoring prowess, the Buccaneers are ranking 22nd out of all teams in the NFL averaging 17.0 points per contest. For the season thus far, the Buccaneers have thrown for a total of 634 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 211.3 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 22nd in the league. They are averaging 86.0 yards per game on the ground and have run for 258 yards for the season. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers average 297.3 yards per outing which is good for 27th in the league. The Tampa Bay offense has compiled 166 penalty yards on 19 violations, which ranks them 13th in the league in terms of making mistakes. They have thrown 1 interception while surrendering 3 fumbles and they have been able to earn 32 1st downs.

The Buccaneers are giving up 9.0 PPG, which has them sitting 1st of all teams in the league. They have conceded 3 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 209.7 yards/outing, which puts them in 12th in the NFL. This season, they have conceded 27 total points. Tampa Bay has yielded a total of 238 yards on the ground (79.3 yards/game) and 0 touchdowns by ground for the year. The Buccaneers defense has been on the field for 191 plays, which is good for 16th in the NFL. Their defense has 8 takeaways (3 fumbles and 5 interceptions) for the season.

Who will win tonight's Chiefs/Buccaneers NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Chiefs -1.5

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