NCAA Football Predictions: Week 9 Report, Best Bets and Picks
Let’s quickly review the previous week of college football. This was the first time in six years that the top six teams in the AP25 held their ranking after either winning or not playing a game. That’s impressive as we have seen how volatile these rankings can be. There weren’t many surprises this weekend. The weekend’s biggest upset had to be LSU dominating Ole Miss, 45 -20.
Doc’s Sports offers college football picks for every game on our college football predictions page.
Furthermore, our Week 8 predictions didn’t go as planned, as we only hit on one of the games. Ohio State completely dominated Iowa, and this game was awful to watch. Iowa gave up 59 points, which is the most points given up by Iowa in the past 23 years. The game started out in our favor, but the Iowa offense turned the ball over way too many times. TCU didn’t disappoint as they covered their spread. Then lastly, Pitt had a hard time handling Louisville and couldn’t make it out with the win.
We head into Week 9 with some high expectations for some of these programs. Down below we will speak on some can't-miss opportunities for this upcoming weekend. Without further notice, let’s get started:
Game 1: TCU vs West Virginia
Opening line: TCU -8 O/U 70
TCU is on an absolute tear this season, as they remain one of the only undefeated teams in college football. This team has been one of the most profitable ATS teams to bet on this season. We are going to back them here as they will run into a mediocre WVU team. In the past couple of years, WVU has dominated this matchup, as they have won the last four meetings. Well, I’m here to tell you that it’s time to turn a new leaf. This TCU team is built to win, and that is what they will do in this game. WVU has an efficient offense that can put scores up in a heartbeat. However, they have an awful defense. TCU will exploit that weakness and score a lot. The team that makes the most defensive stops in this game is going to cover that spread, and from their recent play that seems to be TCU.
Pick: TCU -8 or better
Game 2: Ole Miss vs Texas A&M
Opening Line: Ole Miss -2.5 O/U
Texas A&M is eliminated from playoff contention. Jimbo Fisher has lost the way to lead this team, and it shows. They have dropped three games in a row. I won't be surprised if he loses his job after this season. On the other hand, Ole Miss has been doing well. They hold a 7-1 record, but they lost to LSU last week in a complete shocker. This game opened up with A&M being favored by -9 points. TA&M is now an underdog, and we need to take advantage of this line ASAP. The only reason this line isn’t over a touchdown is because Ole Miss got smacked by LSU. We don't need to analyze much as Ole Miss has been better on both sides of the ball thus far. This is usually a defensive game between these two programs. So, getting this line at just under a field goal is an elite value.
Pick: Ole Miss -2.5 or better
Game 3: USC vs Arizona
Opening Line: USC -15.5 O/U 76
Both of these programs are coming off a bye week. They both dropped their last contest before heading into the bye week. USC lost to Utah in a game in which they were 3.5-point underdogs. However, they did cover the spread, as they lost 42-43. Arizona has dropped its previous two matchups, covering the spread in only one of those games. This season Arizona has a 3-3 record as an underdog and has been the favorite in only one game. Arizona is at the mid-level as a football program. USC is a great football team and will cover this spread, and they hold a 4-2 ATS record as favorites. Their offense is going to cause some hell in this matchup. Arizona covers every other game as the underdog. They covered their last game. Therefore, going off play patterns, they won’t cover this game. Analytics, patterns, and the public have USC covering this game.
Pick: USC -15.5 or better
Game 4: Missouri vs South Carolina
Opening Lines: SC -5 O/U 47.5
Missouri has been playing subpar this season. Granted, they play in the SEC, the toughest division of college football. SC got off to a rough start at the beginning of the season, and since then they have gotten their game in order. They have won the last four games, leaving them with a 4-2 record. SC is going to win this game as they have been playing good football this past month. This spread seems rather low in this game. Missouri is 0-3 on the road, while SC is 4-1 at home. This spread should be way larger than this. We are getting really good value on this SEC matchup right here. I expect SC to dominate in this game as they have a better team now than in recent history. The past couple years Missouri has been the team to win and cover in this matchup. This is the first year since 2016 that SC is a favorite. The favorite has won three and covered the last three matchups.
Pick: South Carolina -5 or better
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