NFL Survivor Pool Picks Week 11: Advice and Predictions

by Sean Barnard - 11/16/2022

NFL survivor pool picks Week 11 Lamar Jackson Baltimore Ravens

There were some notable changes in Week 10, as there are no longer any undefeated teams in the NFL following the Philadelphia Eagles’ loss at the hands of the Washington Commanders. A flurry of injuries also has hit the NFL with the season now past its halfway point. Favorites went 6-8 outright but 5-9 against the spread last week. Looking ahead at the Week 11 slate, the Jaguars, Dolphins, Seahawks, and Buccaneers will each be taking their turn on the bye week. Here is a look at the teams that will play with the best survivor pool picks ranked from strongest to weakest.

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Baltimore Ravens (-12) over Carolina Panthers

The Ravens have remained one of the NFL’s most underrated teams for the duration of the season. They enter this matchup 6-3 and rank 4th in the NFL in in points per game at 26.1. The Panthers hold a record of 3-7 and rank last in the NFL in first downs, 30th in yards, and 23rd in points scored. They also are rank 24th in points allowed and 25th in yards allowed. Baker Mayfield is getting the start with the hope this will provide a spark. The Ravens are the better team on both sides of the ball and can be counted on to cruise to a blowout victory.

Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5) over Indianapolis Colts

The Eagles are no longer undefeated as they suffered a strange loss at the hands of the Commanders on Monday Night Football. Washington dominated the time of possession by more than 20 minutes and forced four turnovers, but Philadelphia still had a chance to win up until the last play. In contrast, the Colts picked up a surprising win over the Raiders in Jeff Saturday’s debut as head coach. While Saturday clearly changed the optimism of the Colts organization, Philadelphia is the better team on both sides of the ball and will be looking for redemption. Expect the Eagles to get back on the right track and secure a convincing victory.

Buffalo Bills (-8.5) over Cleveland Browns

For the first time all season, the Buffalo Bills have faced some uncertainty. They have now lost back-to-back matchups, including an improbable loss to the Vikings to fall to 6-3 on the season. The results may not even be the most concerning as Josh Allen and the Bills have not looked like their dominant selves. They have an excellent chance to begin turning things around against the 3-6 Browns, who are a bottom-10 team against the run and pass. Cleveland is 1-7 straight up in their last eight road games, while Buffalo is 4-1-1 against the spread in their last six matchups against the Browns. Expect Buffalo to get back in the win column and produce a convincing victory.

Cincinnati Bengals (-5) over Pittsburgh Steelers

The Bengals have woken up after their slow start to the season and have improved to 5-4 on the season while ranking 6th in the NFL in points and 8th in yards. Cincinnati’s defense has also been impressive, allowing the second-fewest pass touchdowns and ranking 10th in overall yards allowed. They will be facing off against the 3-6 Steelers, who are coming off a 20-10 upset victory over the Saints. It was a positive result for the Steelers last week, but they will have a more difficult matchup against the Bengals. Expect Cincinnati to produce a convincing victory and continue their journey toward being considered legitimate contenders.

New York Giants (-3) over Detroit Lions

The 7-2 Giants continue to find ways to win and have a terrific chance to build on this against a 3-6 Lions team. Detroit ranks dead last in first downs, points, and yards allowed on the season. They will have an especially difficult time matching up against Saquon Barkley, who is coming off a 35-carry and 152-yard performance. While Detroit has shown some signs of life, expect the Giants to lean heavily on Barkley and find their way in the win column once again.

Chicago Bears (+3) over Atlanta Falcons

The 3-7 Chicago Bears will travel to Atlanta to face off with the 4-6 Falcons, with both teams showing signs of life lately. The Bears have not won a game since October 24, but the offense has taken some drastic strides forward and averaged 30.3 points per game in its last three outings. The Bears are 11-4 straight up in their last 15 matchups, while Atlanta is 3-9 against the spread in their last 12 home games. Take the Bears to pull off the upset win on the road and pick up a long overdue victory.

Washington Commanders (+3) over Houston Texans

The Commanders have been playing some impressive football of late with Taylor Heinicke injecting some life into the franchise. Washington is 3-1 in the last four matchups, with Heinicke tallying 840 yards and five touchdowns over his last four starts. They have a terrific chance to improve to 6-5 on the season against the 1-7-1 Texans. Houston ranks 20th in points allowed and 30th in yards allowed while coming in last in rushing yards and attempts. Count on the Commanders to continue their improved play and pick up another victory.

Minnesota Vikings (+1) over Dallas Cowboys

It is somewhat surprising to see the 8-1 Vikings coming in as an underdog in this matchup. They will be coming off the momentum of an improbable victory over the Bills, while the Cowboys are coming off a frustrating loss to the Packers. Dallas blew a 14-point lead in the sloppy game and will have a tougher task against the Vikings. The Cowboys rank 29th in the NFL in rushing defense and have especially struggled of late. They will be tested against Dalvin Cook, and this may be a deficit that is impossible to overcome. Expect the Vikings to lean on this and come out in the win column.

Monday Night: San Francisco 49ers (-8) over Arizona Cardinals

This Monday Night matchup is set to take off in Mexico City, with the 49ers having another chance to show why they are ready to be elevated to the true contending category. The Cardinals will enter the matchup 4-6 on the year and most recently lost to the Rams despite neither team having their starting quarterback. The Arizona defense has been impressive and ranks first in yards and first downs allowed as well as fourth in scoring. Kyler Murray’s status is also unclear after missing last week. With or without Murray, expect the 49ers to come into the matchup prepared and be ready to pick up the victory.

Thursday Night: Tennessee Titans (+3) over Green Bay Packers

The Packers picked up a necessary victory over the Cowboys to move to 4-6 on the season. This ended a five-game losing skid despite tensions still seeming to be high. Tennessee has won six of their last seven games and will continue to lean on their rushing game as their driving force. The Titans are averaging 133.4 yards on the ground, and the Packers have the 26th ranked rushing defense in the NFL. Expect the Titans defense to bring pressure to neutralize Aaron Rodgers and for Henry’s rushing attack to be too much for Green Bay to handle. It may be an ugly matchup, but count on the Titans to get the win.

New England Patriots (-3) over New York Jets

These two teams faced off on October 30, with the Patriots pulling out a 22-17 victory. New England enters the matchup with an impressive 6-3 record on the season and will be coming off the bye week. The Jets will also be coming off their bye week, with their win over the Bills the most recent result. Under Bill Belichick, the Patriots have a .736 win percentage coming off the bye. Expect this to be a low-scoring matchup but for New England to pick up the victory in front of their home crowd as they look to make their playoff push.

Denver Broncos (-2.5) over Las Vegas Raiders

Neither of these teams has lived up to their expectations they had to start the season. They most recently faced off on October 2, with the Raiders picking up a 32-23 victory. Denver has won two games since this time and holds a record of 3-6 on the season. The Raiders remain just 2-7 and suffered a frustrating 25-20 loss to the Colts last week. The Las Vegas defense has struggled greatly and ranks 28th in points and yards allowed while being dead last in turnovers forced. Don’t expect it to be a pretty win, but the Broncos have shown some signs of improvement in recent weeks. Count on them to pick up the victory in this AFC West matchup and get closer to .500.

Sunday Night: Kansas City Chiefs (-6.5) over Los Angeles Chargers

The 7-2 Chiefs will travel to Los Angeles to face off with the 5-4 Chargers, with both teams still eyeing a postseason trip. These two teams faced off in Week 2, with Kansas City coming out on top by a score of 27-24. The Chiefs have returned to the offensive powerhouse they have been known to be and lead the NFL in points, first downs, passing yards, and passing touchdowns. The Chargers also rank 29th in points allowed, and the defense clearly has not clicked in the way it was hoped. Expect this to remain closer than some expect but for Los Angeles to be unable to keep up with Kansas City’s scoring.

New Orleans Saints (-4) over Los Angeles Rams

The Los Angeles Rams continue to struggle on the season and were without Matt Stafford last week. The team generated 256 total yards of offense in his absence and lost Cooper Kupp due to an ugly high ankle sprain. The Saints have also struggled this season and have a 3-7 record on the year, with their most recent loss coming at the hands of the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Rams are 2-8-1 against the spread in their last 11 matchups against New Orleans. Stafford’s injury status will be a storyline to watch, but expect the Saints to pick up a victory in this matchup.

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