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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Arizona Cardinals Prediction, 12/25/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 16

by Josh Schonwald - 12/19/2022

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Game: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Arizona Cardinals

Date: Sunday, December 25, 2022

Location: State Farm Stadium in Glendale, AZ

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Cardinals (+4)

Total/Over-Under: 40

The Arizona Cardinals (4-10) host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-8) at State Farm Stadium on Sunday. Tampa Bay opens as 4-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 40.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers head into this game 6-8 this season. In their last contest, the Buccaneers went up against the Bengals and took a loss by a final of 34-23. Tom Brady went 30/44 with 312 yds passing and 3 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 92.2 and ended the contest with 2 interceptions. Mike Evans had an average of 16.6 yds per reception by totaling 83 yds on 5 catches. Leonard Fournette led the offense in rushing for the Buccaneers with 10 totes for 44 yds (4.4 yards per attempt). In all, they ran 70 plays for 396 yards. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ended up running the ball 25 times and had 92 yds, which is an average of 3.7 yards per attempt. On the ground, the Buccaneers conceded 53 yards on 21 attempts, which is an average of 2.5 yards per run surrendered. Tampa Bay gave up 27 completions on 39 tries for 184 yds, and a completion rate of 69.2%.

When it comes to putting the ball in the endzone, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have an average of 17.6 points per game. As a team they have an average of 74.3 yards rushing which is 32nd in the NFL. The Buccaneers have tallied 4,798 total yards this season. Tampa Bay has 200 first downs, and they have been called for 83 infractions for 682 yards. They have turned the ball over 18 times (8 interceptions and 10 fumbles lost). In terms of getting in the endzone, Tampa Bay has earned 20 passing touchdowns and 4 touchdowns on the ground.

In terms of passing yards, the Buccaneers have allowed 2,723 yards which ranks them 6th in the league. They have relinquished 194.5 yards per contest through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 65.0%. For the year, they are granting 314.7 yards per contest which puts them 7th in football. They have allowed 24 touchdowns by air as well as 10 touchdowns pounding the rock. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.5 yards per attempt on the ground and 120.2 yards on the ground per contest over the course of this season. In total, they have allowed 1,683 yards via the ground game in 14 games. The Buccaneers are ranked 10th in the NFL in terms of team defense, allowing 20.6 PPG.

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The Cardinals head into this game 4-10 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Cardinals took a defeat with a final score of 24-15 when they played the Broncos. Trace McSorley ended the game with 95 yards on 7/15 through the air while his quarterback rating was 27.8. He tossed 2 picks and his avg yards per attempt was 6.3 yds. DeAndre Hopkins was a featured target for the Cardinals, bringing in 7 balls for 60 yds (8.6 yards per reception). James Conner carried the rock 16 times for 63 yds, finishing the game with 3.9 yds per carry for Arizona. The Cardinals finished the game with 240 yds while running 59 plays (4.1 yards per play). Arizona rushed the ball for 3.7 yards per carry, totaling 73 yards on 20 carries. Arizona surrendered 34 rush attempts for 168 yds (4.9 yards per rush). The Cardinals pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 80.8%, relinquishing 156 yds on 21 out of 26 passing.

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When it comes to the points being put on the board, the Cardinals are 18th in the NFL holding an average of 20.9 PPG. During this campaign so far, the Cardinals have a total of 3,015 yards through the air in addition to holding an average of 215.4 passing yards per contest, giving them a rank of 18th in the NFL. They maintain an average of 111.8 rushing yards per game and have run for 1,565 yards for this season. The Arizona Cardinals hold an average of 327.1 yards per outing which ranks them 21st out of all teams in the NFL. The Arizona offense has totaled 742 yds of penalties on 97 infractions, which is good for 3rd in the NFL in terms of making mistakes. They have thrown 13 interceptions while letting opponents recover 5 fumbles and they have been able to earn 162 first downs.

They have conceded 25 touchdowns through the air as well as 237.6 yards per game, which puts them in 23rd in football. Arizona has conceded a total of 1,600 rushing yards (114.3 yards per game) and 17 touchdowns via the rush this year. They have compiled 17 turnovers (8 fumbles recovered and 9 interceptions) this year. The Cardinals defense has been on the field for 875 plays, which ranks them 14th in the league. Over the course of the season, they have given up 372 points in total. The Cardinals are conceding 26.6 points per contest, which has them sitting 32nd in the league.

Who will win tonight's Buccaneers/Cardinals NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Buccaneers -4

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