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Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers Prediction, 1/8/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 18

by Guy Bruhn - 1/3/2023

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Game: Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

Date: Sunday, January 8, 2023

Location: Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Packers (-3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 49

Lambeau Field is the site where the Green Bay Packers (8-8) will play the Detroit Lions (8-8) on Sunday. Detroit opens as 3.5-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 49.

The Detroit Lions come into this game with a record of 8-8 for this season. When they last stepped on the football field, the Lions played the Bears and walked away with a win by a score of 41-10. Jared Goff went 21/29 with 255 yards passing and 3 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 133.5 and walked away from the game without throwing a pick. Jamaal Williams was the leader on the ground for the Lions with 22 totes for 144 yards (6.5 yards per attempt). Amon-Ra St. Brown left with an average of 15.5 yards per reception by accounting for 62 yds on 4 receptions. The Detroit Lions ran the ball 39 times and totaled 265 yards, which came out to an average of 6.8 yards per carry. At the end of the game, they had 70 plays which gave them a total of 504 yds. Detroit relinquished 7 pass completions on 21 attempts for 30 yards, and a completion percentage of 33.3%. Against the rush, the Lions conceded 200 yds on 22 tries, which is 9.1 yards per rush surrendered.

Regarding scoring points, the Detroit Lions have an average of 27.1 PPG. As a team they hold an average of 129.7 yards in the run game which has them sitting 11th in the National Football League. The Lions have tallied 6,137 total yards this season. Detroit has amassed 216 1st downs as an offense, and they have been called for 85 penalties for 698 yds. They have turned the football over 15 different times (7 picks and 8 fumbles). In terms of getting in the endzone, Detroit has totaled 29 passing touchdowns and 21 touchdowns via the ground.

The Lions rank 30th in the league regarding team defense, allowing 25.7 points per contest. The opposition is running for an average of 5.3 yards per rush and 149.3 rushing yards per game over the course of this season. Overall, they have allowed 2,388 yards via the ground game in 16 games. In terms of yards through the air, the Lions have conceded 3,991 yards which ranks them 30th in football. They are allowing 249.4 yards per outing via the pass in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 63.0%. Overall, they have surrendered 398.7 yards per outing which has them sitting 32nd in the league. They have allowed 25 touchdowns by air and 22 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Packers head into this game 8-8 this season. In their last game, the Packers got the win with a final of 41-17 when they faced the Vikings. Aaron Rodgers (1 TD) finished the contest with 159 yds on 15/24 through the air while his QB rating was 95.7. He didn't throw any interceptions and his avg yards per attempt was 6.6 yds. Aaron Jones carried the rock 14 times for 111 yards, finishing the contest with 7.9 yds per carry for Green Bay. Allen Lazard was one of the featured targets for the Packers, bringing in 5 throws for 59 yards (11.8 yards per catch). Green Bay ran the ball for 4.9 yards per carry, finishing with a total of 163 yds on 33 attempts. The Packers finished the game with 315 yards while running 61 plays (5.2 yds per play). The Packers pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 62.9%, relinquishing 244 yds on 22 for 35 through the air. Green Bay allowed 20 run attempts for 102 yds (5.1 yards per rush).

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The Green Bay Packers maintain an average of 340.9 yards/game which has them sitting 16th in the NFL. They maintain an average of 125.6 yards per game via the rush and have toted the ball for 2,010 yards for this season. The Green Bay offense has totaled 712 penalty yds on 85 violations, which is good for 22nd in the NFL in terms of hurting your team. They have given away 11 picks while surrendering 9 fumbles and they have recorded 177 first downs. During this campaign so far, the Packers have compiled 3,444 yards through the air together with an average of 215.3 passing yards per outing, which has them sitting 17th in football. Regarding how much they score, the Packers sit 14th in football holding an average of 22.1 points per outing.

They have yielded 22 touchdowns through the air and 195.6 yards per outing, ranking them 4th in the league. Green Bay has surrendered a total of 2,268 yards rushing (141.8 yards per outing) and 16 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the season. They have 24 turnovers (7 fumbles and 17 interceptions) over the course of the season. The Packers defense has taken part in 931 plays, which is good for 2nd in football. This year, they have relinquished 351 total points. The Packers are relinquishing 21.9 PPG, which has them in 17th in football.

Who will win tonight's Lions/Packers NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Lions +3.5

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