2022 Oregon Ducks Football Predictions and Betting Odds
Oregon has been a top Pac-12 team since 1994, at least the majority of the time. With two National Championship appearances in 12 years, and having 43 players in the NFL since 2014, this program is doing something right. Their fancy jerseys, state of the art locker room, media coverage, and equipment are all top tier. So, what’s missing for Oregon to win the National Championship and be more dominant than ever? First, they must stop losing to weaker competition. Since 2015, Oregon has had one loss to a team that finished with a losing record in every year but 2019. They play down to teams that are worse and play unbelievable when they are considered underdogs. If consistency can become a part of the Ducks resume, this program can truly flourish and be in the ranks of Georgia and Alabama… no problem.
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Offense / Defense
A solid team on third down, balanced, and with “big-play” potential each snap, the 2021 Oregon offense was good. Some think they were inconsistent due to their games vs Utah at the end of last season. However, generally speaking, this offense was fine. Leading yardage receiver Devon Williams is off to the NFL, but Oregon has a lot of parts coming in from the transfer portal – like Chase Cota from UCLA and Caleb Chapman from Texas A&M. Sophomores Troy Franklin, Seven McGee, and Donte Thornton are all explosive downfield threats and look to take this offense up a notch in 2022. The offensive line has solid talent and should be good again in keeping teams out of the backfield in 2022.
With new Head Coach Dan Lanning taking over, it should be a no-brainier that the ex-Georgia defensive coordinator will make the Ducks better on the other side of the ball. Also, with Former Alabama defensive coordinator and NFL assistant Tosh Lupoi on Oregon’s side, the staff is top tier. The Ducks should have the best 1-2 linebackers in the country between Justin Flowe and Noah Sewell. The corners are solid, but the safeties could use some work. I believe the defense this year will take a step forward regardless of talent, due to its premier coaching and experience. Note, the talent is there, too.
Keys to the 2022 Season
QB Bo Nix will need to utilize his receivers speed and big play ability. The pass protection will be there, and the running game will do a ton of work, so the opportunities for mid-long-range connections will be plentiful. He couldn’t do it at Auburn, so here’s to hoping the new look will get him in gear. Last season, the Ducks averaged 7.9 yards per pass, the lowest since 2009. For his career, Nix averages 6.9 yards per attempt. Hence, this is the biggest offensive key to success this season. It sounds contradicting having such solid linebackers, but Oregon’s pass rush needs to be better this season. Oregon was among the worst teams in America on third down stops, and it averaged a mere 1.64 sacks per game – the lowest in well over a decade. If this defense can create more pressure and be better on third downs, look out.
Key 2021 Stats
– 4th Down Conversions: Opponents 24-of-35 (69%) – Oregon 9-of-19 (47%)
– 2nd Half Scoring: Oregon 251 – Opponents 172
– Oregon Yards: Passing 3,098, Rushing 3,043 (2,833 net)
2022 Betting Odds and Trends
The Oregon Ducks Over/Under this season is at 9.5 wins. Their odds to win the 2023 College Football championship are at +9000. Their odds to win the PAC-12 are +280. They are 17-point underdogs against the Georgia Bulldogs on September 3, 2022. The Over/Under total is 51.0 points.
With such an amazing schedule, minus the Georgia game to start the year, anything short of a PAC-12 Championship visit will be a lost season. The talent this coaching staff receives is amazing. The faciality and money within the program is at the top of the country. They should be favored in 11 games after returning home from Atlanta, meaning the Ducks have a solid chance at a double-digit win season.
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