Sunday, September 11, 2016

The Georgia Dome

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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers take on the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday, September 11, 2016 at The Georgia Dome. The opening line for this game has Atlanta as 3 point favorites and the over/under was set at 47.5. Last season the Buccaneers were 7-9-0 against the spread and their over/under record was 9-7-0. The Falcons had an over/under record of 2-13-1 and they were 6-10-0 against the spread.

Tampa Bay scored 21 points per game on offense last season, which ranked 20th in the NFL. In the passing department, they averaged 20 passes on 33 attempts for a 61% percent completion percentage last season. They threw for a total of 241 yards per game through the air as well, which ranked them 17th in the league. The Buccaneers ran for an average of 135 yards per game on 28 attempts for an average of 4.8 yards per carry. That ranked them 5th in the NFL. They also ran 64 plays per contest and averaged 5.9 yards per play for an average of 376 yards per game, ranking their offense 5th overall last season. The Buccaneers averaged 21 first downs per game which ranked them 13th in the league. They accumulated 74.7 penalty yards per game via 8.9 penalties, which ranked 3rd in the NFL.

Tampa Bay allowed 240 passing yards per game, ranking 16th in the league, and they allowed 26 points per contest on defense, which ranked 26th. They gave up 24 completions on 34 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 71%. The Buccaneers allowed 100 rushing yards per game on 29 carries for a 3.4 average per play, which ranked their rush defense 11th in the NFL. Tampa Bay allowed 340 total yards per game including 5.2 yards per play, which ranked their overall defense 10th in terms of yards per game. They forced 1.4 turnovers per contest and got flagged for 6.5 penalties for 53.9 yards per game, ranking them 20th among all teams in the league.

Atlanta averaged 21 points per game last season on offense, which ranked them 21st in the NFL. In the passing department, they completed 26 passes per game on 39 attempts for a 67% percent completion percentage. They threw for 274 yards through the air per game last year, ranking them 6th. The Falcons ran for an average of 100 yards per game on 26 attempts for an average of 3.8 yards per carry last season, which ranked them 19th on the ground. They also ran 67 plays per game and averaged 5.6 yards per play for a total of 374 yards per game, ranking them 7th in the league on offense. The Falcons got an average of 22 first downs per game, which ranked 5th. They averaged 60.6 penalty yards per game via 6.2 penalties, ranking them 30th in the NFL.

Atlanta allowed an average of 243 passing yards yards per game, which ranked 18th in the league. Their defense overall allowed 22 points per contest, which had them ranked 14th. They gave up 23 completions on 35 attempts for a completion percentage of 66% per game. The Falcons allowed 105 rushing yards per contest on 26 carries for a 4 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 13th in the NFL. Atlanta allowed 348 total yards per game for an average of 5.6 yards per play, which ranked 16th in the league. They forced 1.4 turnovers per contest and 5.9 penalties for 45.5 yards in each contest, ranking 4th.

Jameis Winston finished his last game of last season with 325 yards through the air for Tampa Bay. He completed 29 passes out of 47 attempts for a 62% completion percentage. The Buccaneers were led in rushing by Doug Martin, who finished with 48 yards on 15 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 3 yards per carry. Mike Evans led the team in receiving. He had a total of 99 yards on 4 receptions for an average of 25 yards per catch in the game. As a team in that game Tampa Bay totaled 386 yards by way of 71 plays. They rushed the ball 22 times for a total of 77 yards on the game and the Buccaneers totaled 21 first downs by getting 4 rushing, 16 passing and 1 by penalty.

Matt Ryan finished his last game of last season with 334 yards through the air for Atlanta. He completed 24 passes out of 36 attempts for a 67% completion percentage. The Falcons were led in rushing by Devonta Freeman, who finished with 81 yards on 24 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 3 yards per carry. Julio Jones led the team in receiving. He had a total of 149 yards on 9 receptions for an average of 17 yards per catch in the game. Atlanta totaled 419 yards by way of 63 plays. They rushed the ball 26 times for a total of 92 yards on the game and the Falcons totaled 25 first downs by getting 5 rushing, 18 passing and 2 by penalty.

Tampa Bay Betting Trends

Tampa Bay was 9-7-0 against the over/under last season

Tampa Bay had an ATS record of 7-9-0 last season

Atlanta Betting Trends

Atlanta was 2-13-1 against the over/under last season

Atlanta had an ATS record of 6-10-0 last season

Injuries to Watch

Tampa Bay

09/07/16 LB Daryl Smith Undisclosed probable Sunday vs. Atlanta
08/31/16 G J.R. Sweezy Back PUP
08/31/16 WR Louis Murphy Knee PUP
08/11/16 DE George Johnson Hip out for season

Atlanta

09/07/16 DE Adrian Clayborn Shoulder "?" Sunday vs. Tampa Bay
09/07/16 S Kemal Ishmael Shoulder "?" Sunday vs. Tampa Bay
09/07/16 RB Terron Ward Ankle "?" Sunday vs. Tampa Bay
09/06/16 WR Julio Jones Ankle probable Sunday vs. Tampa Bay
09/02/16 WR Devin Fuller Shoulder IR
08/31/16 S Keanu Neal Knee expected to miss 3-4 weeks
08/11/16 CB Jalen Collins Suspension expected to miss first 4 games

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Tampa Bay

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