New Orleans Saints at Miami Dolphins Week 4 NFL Picks & Predictions 10/1/2017
Sunday, October 1, 2017
Get todays NFL Odds & Lines on this game
The New Orleans Saints head to Wembley Stadium to play the Miami Dolphins on Sunday, October 1, 2017. The opening line for this matchup has New Orleans as 1.5 point favorites. The total has been set at 50. The Saints are 1-2-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 3-0-0. The Dolphins are 1-1-0 against the spread and their over/under mark is 0-2-0.
Free $60 in Member NFL Picks No Obligation Click Here
Valuable New Orleans Saints Betting Trends
The New Orleans Saints are 3-0-0 against the over/under
The New Orleans Saints are 1-2-0 against the spread
Important Miami Dolphins Betting Trends
The Miami Dolphins are 0-2-0 against the over/under
The Miami Dolphins are 1-1-0 against the spread
Key New Orleans Saints Injuries
09/24/17 CB Marshon Lattimore Concussion "?" Sunday vs. Miami
09/24/17 DE Mitchell Loewen Ankle "?" Sunday vs. Miami
09/24/17 T Terron Armstead Shoulder "?" Sunday vs. Miami
09/24/17 WR Willie Snead IV Suspension Served probable Sunday vs. Miami
09/20/17 CB Sterling Moore Pectoral out indefinitely
09/12/17 T Zach Strief Knee expected to miss 2-3 weeks
09/08/17 LS Jon Dorenbos Illness out indefinitely
09/05/17 CB Delvin Breaux Fibula IR
Key Miami Dolphins Injuries
09/24/17 DT Jordan Phillips Ankle "?" Sunday vs. New Orleans
09/24/17 S Nate Allen Rest left last game, "?" Sunday vs. New Orleans
09/24/17 LB Rey Maualuga Hamstring "?" Sunday vs. New Orleans
09/18/17 LB Lawrence Timmons Suspension out indefinitely
09/05/17 LB Raekwon McMillan ACL IR
09/05/17 QB Ryan Tannehill ACL IR
09/04/17 C Ted Larsen Bicep IR
08/15/17 CB Tony Lippett Achilles IR
08/06/17 S T.J. McDonald Suspension 8-game suspension (eligible to return 11/05 vs Oakland)
Useful Offensive Statistics
The New Orleans Saints are 11th in the National Football League in points scored with 73. They have run 179 plays this year for 1,135 yards, which ranks them 6th in the NFL in total offense. The Saints average 6.3 yards per play, which is 5th in the league. As a team they have accumulated a total of 60 1st downs this season, ranking them 13th overall as an offensive unit. On the ground New Orleans has run for 290 yards as a unit, which ranks 18th in the league. They've run 65 times, averaging 4.5 yards per rush as a unit. The Saints have been penalized on offense 12 times for 97 yards so far this year, which has them 30th in the NFL in penalties. Drew Brees has passed for 867 yards this year. He's completed 76 throws while attempting 111 passes for a completion percentage of 68.5%. His quarterback rating this season is 109.7. He averages 11.4 yards per completion and 7.8 yards per pass attempt.
New Orleans is 30th in the NFL in points surrendered on defense with 78. They have given up a total of 1,313 yards on D, which is 31st in the league. The Saints are 31st in yards per play allowed with 6.8. Their pass defense has allowed 8.4 net yards per pass attempt, ranking them 31st in the National Football League. Opponent offenses have completed 76 throws on 104 attempts against the New Orleans Saints defense this season, ranking them 27th and 20th in the league. The New Orleans pass defense has also surrendered a total of 933 yards in the air, which is 31st overall in total pass defense. Their rushing defense has given up 83 attempts for 380 yards this season, putting them in 24th place in the NFL against the run. The Saints have had 15 penalties for 121 yards on defense this year. That places them 3rd in the league. They've allowed a score on 55.2% of possessions on defense, which is 32nd in the NFL.
Special Teams Stats
New Orleans is 30th in the NFL in punt returns with 3. They've totaled 28 punt return yards and are averaging 9.3 yards per return, which is 12th in the league. Their longest punt return this season is 16 yards. They have returned 8 kicks for 171 yards on special teams, placing them 5th in kick return yardage. The Saints average 21.4 yards per kick return and have a long of 34 yards this season. They are 7th in the National Football League in all-purpose yards with 1,356. The New Orleans Saints have tried 10 field goals this season and made 8, which is 3rd in the league. Their kickers have a FG percentage of 80.0%. New Orleans Saints kickers have made 100% of their extra points, going 7 for 7 this season. Their punters have accumulated 442 yards on 9 punts, averaging 49.1 yards per punt. That ranks them 4th in the NFL in punting average.
Useful Offensive Statistics
The Miami Dolphins have run for 141 yards as a team, which ranks 32nd in the NFL. They've run 47 times, averaging 3 yards per carry as a rushing unit. The Dolphins have been penalized on offense 13 times for 74 yards so far this season, which has them 29th in the league in penalties. They are 32nd in the NFL in points scored with 25. They have run 131 plays this season for 561 yards, which ranks them 32nd in the league in total offense. The Dolphins average 4.3 yards per play, which is 31st in the National Football League. As a team they have accumulated a total of 37 1st downs this year, placing them 32nd overall as an offensive unit. Jay Cutler averages 5.8 yards per pass attempt and 9 yards per completion. He has completed 50 passes on 77 attempts for a completion percentage of 64.9%. His quarterback rating is 83.8. He has thrown for 450 yards this season.
The Dolphins rush defense has allowed 48 attempts for 147 yards this year, putting them in 2nd place in the league against the run. Miami has committed 16 penalties for 150 yards on the defensive side of the ball this season. That ranks them 7th in the NFL. They've given up a score on 33.3% of possessions on defense, which is 13th in the league. They are 1st in the league in points allowed on defense with 37. They have surrendered a total of 703 yards on D, which is 1st in the NFL. The Miami Dolphins are ranked 29th in yards per play allowed with 6.2. Their pass defense has given up 8.6 net yards per pass attempt, placing them 32nd in the league as a unit. Opposing offenses have completed 49 passes on 62 attempts against the Miami defense this season, placing them 2nd and 1st in the National Football League. The Dolphins pass defense has also given up a total of 556 yards through the air, which is 8th overall in total pass defense.
Special Teams Stats
The Miami Dolphins have attempted 4 field goals this season and made 4, which is 21st in the National Football League. Miami kickers have made 50% of their extra points, going 1 for 2 this year. Their punters have totaled 463 yards on 10 punts, averaging 46.3 yards per punt. That places them 13th in the NFL in punting average. Miami is ranked 20th in the league in punt returns with 5. They've accumulated 34 punt return yards and average 6.8 yards per return, which is 19th in the NFL. Their longest punt return so far this year is 14 yards. They have returned 4 kicks for 86 yards on special teams, ranking 21st in kick return yardage. The Dolphins average 21.5 yards per kick return and have a long of 34 yards this year. They are 32nd in the league in all-purpose yards with 711.
Who will win tonight's Saints/Dolphins NFL game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Dolphins +1.5
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of this Weeks Free NFL picks
Get all of this Weeks 100% Profit Guaranteed Expert NFL Picks