Basic Strategy Teasers: Best Week 15 NFL Betting Options
The final Thursday night game of the season between the Los Angeles Chargers and the Kansas City Chiefs lived up to its billing of the "AFC Game of the Season". Or did it? I completely understand if you think it did, considering the Chargers came back from a 28-14 hole with just over six minutes left to play in the game, to pull off a miraculous 29-28 win.
However, the game was extremely sloppy. The two teams combined for 17 penalties, seven sacks, and six punts. Both teams fumbled the ball twice but luckily recovered their own fumble each time. If this game would have been played on a Sunday - like any other week - we would have likely gotten to see a healthier version of Tyreek Hill, likely Spencer Ware and likely Melvin Gordon.
If you want your star players to stay healthy and perform to their full potential, then these short week showdowns between two powerhouse teams have got to stop. It's not good for the players' safety. And despite the box score showing a last-second win for the Chargers, it wasn't a great football game. But we move on from it and focus on this weekend's action.
As for last week's Basic Strategy Teaser, the Saints held up their part of the deal, but the Patriots did not. I won't rehash what happened in Miami with the "Miami Miracle", but that's a game that the Patriots have absolutely no business losing. But I digress. Our teaser record now sits at 7-5 through Week 13.
Remember, a Basic Strategy Teaser is a two-team wagering option that allows you to adjust the spread six, 6.5 or seven points to get a favorable spread. At Doc's Sports, we only recommend using six-point teasers and moving spreads through key numbers such as three and seven. If you would like more information on how Basic Strategy Teasers work, click here .
Best Two-Team, Six-Point Teaser for Week 13. Lines courtesy of Bovada.
Oakland +7.5 & Minnesota -1 (-120)
Risk: $100 to win $83.33
The first part of this two-team, six-point teaser will rely on the Oakland Raiders. Writing that sentence nearly made me sick. The Oakland Raiders are a dumpster fire of an organization - that we already know. However, you have to give them credit for not giving up. They are competing hard and 2-2 in their last four games, beating the Cardinals and Steelers and losing to the Ravens and Chiefs. Those aren't the worst teams to lose to. Imagine if Jon Gruden hadn't had a fire sale and got rid of Khalil Mack and Amari Cooper? This team could be more like a four- or five-win team instead of a three-win team. I really like how the defense showed up last week to slow the Steelers offense down. They limited Pittsburgh to just 340 yards of offense and just 40 rushing yards. I also like how Derek Carr has responded after being the brunt of some much-deserved criticism. He threw for 322 yards and two touchdowns against Pittsburgh. Now he gets a juicy matchup against a Bengals team that is much worse than the Raiders - on both sides of the ball (and that's hard to do).
The Bengals are essentially a dead team walking as half their defense is in the infirmary, and the same can be said with the offense. Marvin Lewis needs to be let go at the end of the season if the Bengals want any chance at rebuilding the right way and get back to the playoffs. This team is just playing out the string right now, and we don't believe they have what it takes to lay more than a touchdown favorite (teased spread) against anyone, including the Raiders. I understand that the Raiders are a West Coast team traveling East for a 1 p.m. start, but the Raiders will want this game more. I just have a feeling.
The second leg of this two-team, six-point teaser will rely on the Minnesota Vikings. That sentence also made me sick to my stomach. Look, I understand the desire to hate this Vikings team, but this team is far too talented to suck for this long. We all rag on Kirk Cousins for being awful, but maybe it was the play caller? That was the case in Cleveland, and apparently in Green Bay. So now it's Cousins' turn to prove to us that the play calling was off, but he does need to make better decisions with the football. The Vikings are 4-2 on their home field and now get to face off against a Miami team that will certainly have a letdown after pulling off a miraculous win against a division rival in New England. The Vikings are also fighting for the final wild-card spot, so they know how important this game is to them. I believe they won't let me down. Laying more than a touchdown with them could deter some bettors away based on recency bias. However, if you tease them down, you can get them at less than a field goal, essentially meaning that they just have to win the game. Against a hobbled Miami QB and with their backs against the wall, the Vikings seem like the best teaser play of the week.
Baltimore - The Ravens are currently 7.5-point favorites against the Bucs. Teasing them down will make them favorites by less than a field goal, and we can see them covering that adjusted spread. They are coming off a heartbreaking loss to the Chiefs, so I will forgive them if they come out a little sluggish in this one. However, they should be able to move the ball on the Bucs defense and ride their own defensive unit to a much-needed win. The Bucs are playing out the string . And on a cold day in Baltimore, we could see them packing up shop early if things aren't going their way.
Pittsburgh - Not sure how you can trust the Steelers right now, but if you tease them up, you can grab them at more than a touchdown underdog. Against a Patriots team that is reeling off a brutal loss last week, grabbing as many points in this matchup seems like a great idea. You also have to consider the fact that the Steelers are at home and are a much different team on their home field. This one is bigger for the Steelers than the Patriots, so we can see the home team keeping this game close.
Tennessee - The Titans are currently 2.5-point underdogs to the Giants, but I'm buying into the way the Giants are playing, so I don't recommend this selection. If you want a case to back the Titans, just look at their run game, which has been dominant of late -- and the fact that the Giants are still better off losing to get a better draft pick.
Dallas - The Cowboys are currently 2.5-point road underdogs to the Colts this week. Teasing them up would bring them to +8.5, and grabbing as many points as possible could be ideal against a Colts team that is playing for the playoff life and will need to win this game. If Ezekiel Elliott plays and the Cowboys can run the ball effectively and shorten the game, that will leave Luck with few opportunities to move the ball on a decent Dallas defense. However, the Colts are good at home, but they don't normally blow teams out.
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