Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills Pick, Odds, Week 12 Prediction 11/24/2019
Game: Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills
Date: Sunday, November 24, 2019
Location: New Era Field in Orchard Park, NY
Odds/Point Spread: Buffalo -5.5
New Era Field is the site where Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills will play the Denver Broncos on Sunday. The odds on this game have Buffalo as 5.5-point favorites. The O/U has been set at 35. The Broncos are 3-7-0 ATS and 4-6-0 when betting on the total. The Bills are 3-7-0 when wagering on the over/under and 7-3-0 against the spread.
In their last game, the Denver Broncos faced the Minnesota Vikings and took the defeat by a score of 27-23. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Broncos was Brandon Allen who went 17/39 with 240 yards through the air and completed 1 touchdown. He walked away with 1 interception on the day. Phillip Lindsay led the team on the ground in the game. He broke a long run for 11 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He ran for a total of 67 yards via 16 carries which means he ran for an average of 4.2 yards per run. Courtland Sutton was the receiving yardage leader by racking up 113 yards on 5 receptions. He earned an average of 22.6 yards per reception in the game. The Denver Broncos ran the ball a total of 33 times and generated 124 yards giving them an average of 3.8 yards per carry. For the game, they ran 75 plays for 394 yards. For the game, the Broncos had a total of 20 1st downs and they had a total of 6 penalties for 35 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Denver gave up 29 completions on 35 attempts totaling 284 yards, and a completion percentage of 83.0%. For the game, they gave up a total of 321 yards and forced 2 turnovers. On the ground, the Broncos gave up 37 yards on 18 attempts which gave them an average of 2.1 yards per carry allowed. Another prediction you may want to look into is the free pick against the spread from Parlays Pundit on the Giants vs Bears game.
Broncos Worsen Their Mark to 3-7 After Loss
The Broncos head into this matchup 3-7 for the 2019 season. In terms of scoring, they are one of the worst in the league averaging 17 points per contest, which has them at 27th among all NFL teams. As a unit, they have an average of 113 yards on the ground per contest which is 9th among AFC teams. For total yards, they rank 11th in the AFC and 25th among all NFL teams with 3,197 yards. When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Broncos currently have a total of 9 passing TDs and 8 rushing touchdowns. They are a team that struggles to put points on the board in the division and they will need to step up if they want to have a good offensive output.
The Broncos have one of the best defenses in the NFL, giving up 19.7 points per contest putting them 5th among AFC teams. When it comes to yards through the air, the Broncos have conceded 2,103 yards. Teams are completing 66.0% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 6.0 yards per attempt. They have conceded 10 passing TDs and 7 rushing touchdowns. When it comes to yards rushing, Denver is allowing 100.5 yards per game which has them at 1st in the division and 11th among NFL teams. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.9 yards per carry which has them at 3rd in the AFC and 7th in the league overall. Overall, they have conceded 1,131 yards rushing through 10 games.
The last time they took the field, the Buffalo Bills played the Miami Dolphins and earned the victory by a score of 37-20. Running the show from under center for the Bills was Josh Allen who went 21/33 with 256 yards through the air and completed 3 touchdowns. He walked away with no picks. Devin Singletary paced the team on the ground for the game. He tore off a long run of 22 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He scurried for 75 yards via 15 carries which gave him an average of 5.0 yards per tote. John Brown led the team in receiving yardage by earning 137 yards on 9 receptions. He notched an average of 15.2 yards per reception for the game. The Buffalo Bills ran the ball 34 times and racked up 168 yards which had them averaging 4.9 yards per rush. On the day, the Bills racked up 22 1st downs and they had a total of 5 infractions for 50 yards. For the game, they ran 67 plays which gave them a total of 424 yards. When discussing the defense, Buffalo gave up 32 catches on 45 attempts for a total of 280 yards, and a completion percentage of 71.0%. Overall, they allowed a total of 303 yards and earned 1 turnover. On the ground, the Bills gave up 23 yards on 13 runs which gave them an average of 1.8 yards per rushing attempt allowed. Guy Bruhn has a free NFL pick ATS for the contest between the Steelers and Bengals.
Bills Rise to 7-3 After Win
The Bills head into this matchup 7-3. Buffalo has built a respectable ground game this year by averaging 129 yards on the ground per contest, putting them 8th in the NFL. As a team, they have a total of 1,287 yards rushing through 10 contests, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Bills average 346 yards per contest overall which has them at 19th among NFL teams and 8th in the AFC. When looking at their ability to score points, the Bills currently sit at 2nd among AFC East teams and 20th out of all the teams in the league averaging 21.1 points per contest.
The Bills are allowing 17.0 points per game which puts them at 2nd in the division and 3rd in the NFL. When talking about points given up, they have given up 170 points in total. When talking about rushing yards, they are conceding 106 yards per game ranking them 18th in the NFL and 3rd among AFC East teams. This year, they have given up a total of 1,063 rushing yards and 11 rushing TDs. Their passing defense is one of the most dominate groups in the league. They are giving up 198 passing yards per game. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Bills currently sit at 2nd in the conference. They have allowed 7 passing touchdowns for this season.
Who will win tonight's Broncos/Bills NFL game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Broncos +5.5
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