Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Picks, Odds, Week 15 Predictions 12/15/2019
Game: Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs
Date: Sunday, December 15, 2019
Location: Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO
Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City -13
Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs host the Denver Broncos at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday, December 15, 2019. Kansas City opens this contest as 13-point favorites. The total opens at 46.5. The Broncos are 5-8-0 ATS and 6-7-0 when betting on the total. The Chiefs are 7-6-0 when wagering on the over/under and 9-4-0 against the spread.
The last time they took the field, the Denver Broncos played the Houston Texans and won by a score of 38-24. Running the show from under center for the Broncos was Drew Lock who went 22/27 with 309 yards passing and completed 3 touchdowns. He gave away 1 pick during the game. Phillip Lindsay paced the team on the ground in the game. He had a long run of 8 yards and he notched 1 touchdown during the game. He ran for a total of 51 yards on 16 carries which gave him an average of 3.2 yards per carry. Noah Fant was the receiving yardage leader with a total of 113 yards on 4 catches. He earned an average of 28.3 yards per reception in the game. The Denver Broncos ran the ball a total of 27 times and added 90 yards earning them an average of 3.3 yards per attempt. On the day, the Broncos earned 22 1st downs and they had a total of 7 penalties for 50 yards. For the game, they ran 55 plays which gave them a total of 391 yards. When discussing the defense, Denver gave up 28 catches on 50 tries totaling 280 yards, and a completion percentage of 56.0%. In the running game, the Broncos gave up 134 yards on 22 carries which is an average of 6.1 yards per attempt allowed. For the game, they gave up 414 yards and earned 3 turnovers. Tony Sink has a pick for the contest between the Dolphins and Giants.
The Broncos step onto the field holding a record of 5-8 for this season. In terms of scoring, they are one of the worst in the league with an average of 18 points per contest, ranking them 27th in the league. As a team, they have an average of 107 rushing yards per game which is 9th in the conference. For total yardage, they are currently ranked 13th in the AFC and 27th in the league with 3,940 yards. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, the Broncos have compiled a total of 14 passing TDs and 9 rushing TDs. They are a low scoring offensive team in the division and they will need to step up if they want to have a good offensive output.
The Broncos have one of the best defenses in the NFL, giving up 20.1 points per contest which has them at 7th in the conference. When it comes to passing yards, the Broncos have conceded 2,807 yards. Teams are completing 64.7% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 6.0 yards per attempt. They have allowed 15 passing TDs and 9 rushing TDs. When talking about yards on the ground, Denver is allowing 115.2 yards per contest putting them 3rd in the division and 21st in the league. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.2 yards per carry which has them at 8th in the AFC and 14th in the NFL overall. In total, they have allowed 1,390 rushing yards through 13 contests.
In their last game, the Kansas City Chiefs faced the New England Patriots and earned the victory by a score of 23-16. LeSean McCoy led the team in rushing during the game. He broke a long run for 13 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He rushed for 39 yards on 11 carries which means he ran for an average of 3.5 yards per run. Travis Kelce was the leader in receiving yardage with a total of 66 yards on 7 catches. He notched an average of 9.4 yards per catch during the game. Leading the way at QB for the Chiefs was Patrick Mahomes who went 26/40 with 283 yards passing and added 1 touchdown. He walked away with 1 interception on the day. The Kansas City Chiefs ran the ball a total of 29 times and racked up a total of 75 yards giving them an average of 2.6 yards per carry. On the day, the Chiefs racked up 20 1st downs and they had 10 penalties for 136 yards. On the day, they ran 70 plays for 346 yards. When discussing the defense, Kansas City allowed 20 catches on 37 tries for a total of 184 yards, and a completion percentage of 54.0%. Overall, they gave up 278 yards and forced 1 turnover. In the running game, the Chiefs allowed 94 yards on 22 carries which is an average of 4.3 yards per carry allowed. Another matchup you may want to look into is the NFL pick ATS from Guy Bruhn on the Texans vs Titans game.
The Chiefs come into this game with a record of 9-4. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Chiefs have an offense that could be called mediocre in the NFL. When looking at their ability to score points, the Chiefs are currently ranked 1st in the AFC West and 4th out of all the teams in the league with an average of 28.5 points per contest. Kansas City needs to do more to make teams respect their running game by averaging 93 yards on the ground per contest, which has them at 27th in the league. As a team, they have compiled a total of 1,209 yards rushing through 13 games, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Chiefs average 382 yards per game overall which has them at 6th in the NFL and 2nd among AFC teams.
The Chiefs are allowing 21.6 points per contest which puts them at 3rd in the division and 14th in the NFL. Their passing defense is one of the middling groups in the league. They are allowing 227 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Chiefs are currently ranked 8th in the conference. They have conceded 19 passing touchdowns this season. In discussing points given up, they have given up 281 points in total. In terms of yards on the ground, they are conceding 138 yards per game which puts them at 28th among NFL teams and 4th in the AFC West. For 2019, they have conceded a total of 1,790 yards on the ground and 13 rushing touchdowns.
Who will win tonight's Broncos/Chiefs NFL game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Chiefs -13
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