New England Patriots vs Houston Texans Pick, Odds, Week 13 Prediction 12/1/2019
Game: New England Patriots vs Houston Texans
Date: Sunday, December 1, 2019
Location: NRG Stadium in Houston, TX
Odds/Point Spread: Houston +4.5
Deshaun Watson and the Houston Texans host the New England Patriots at NRG Stadium on Sunday, December 1, 2019. The line on this matchup has New England as 4.5-point favorites. The O/U is set at 44.5. The Patriots are 10-1-0 ATS and 3-8-0 when betting on the total. The Texans are 4-7-0 when wagering on the over/under and 7-4-0 against the spread.
In their last outing, the New England Patriots faced the Dallas Cowboys and notched a win by a score of 13-9. Sony Michel paced the team on the ground for that game. He had a long run of 17 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He rushed for 85 yards on 20 carries which means he ran for an average of 4.3 yards per run. Julian Edelman was the leader in receiving yardage with a tally of 93 yards on 8 receptions. He earned an average of 11.6 yards per reception for that game. Leading the way at QB for the Patriots was Tom Brady who went 17/37 with 190 yards passing and added 1 TD. He ended the game with no interceptions. The New England Patriots ran the ball a total of 27 times and earned 101 yards which had them averaging 3.7 yards per attempt. Overall, they ran 66 plays which gave them a total of 282 yards. Overall, the Patriots earned a total of 17 1st downs and they totaled 6 penalties for 56 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, New England conceded 19 completions on 33 throws for a total of 212 yards, and a completion percentage of 58.0%. On the ground, the Patriots conceded 109 yards on 26 attempts which is an average of 4.2 yards per attempt allowed. For this contest, they allowed 321 yards and earned 1 takeaway. Another prediction you may want to look into is the NFL pick ATS from Tony Sink on the Vikings vs Seahawks game.
Patriots Now 10-1 After Win
The Patriots come into this game with a record of 10-1 this season. They are a team that has the capability to score points in the AFC East and I wouldn't expect it to change too much in this matchup. For total yardage, they are currently ranked 8th among AFC teams and 17th in the NFL with 3,881 yards. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, the Patriots currently have a total of 16 passing touchdowns and 13 rushing TDs. In terms of scoring, they are one of the marginal teams in the league averaging 27 points per contest, ranking them 5th in the NFL. As a unit, they have an average of 92 yards on the ground per game which is 11th among AFC teams.
The Patriots have one of the top tier defenses in the NFL, allowing 10.6 points per game which has them at 1st among AFC teams. In terms of yards rushing, New England is allowing 98.4 yards per contest putting them 2nd in the division and 9th in the NFL. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.6 yards per carry ranking them 10th in the AFC and 23rd among NFL teams overall. In total, they have conceded 1,082 yards rushing through 11 contests. When it comes to passing yards, the Patriots have allowed 1,738 yards. Opponents are completing 53.9% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 4.3 yards per try. They have allowed 4 passing touchdowns and 5 rushing TDs.
In their last contest, the Houston Texans played the Indianapolis Colts and earned the win by a score of 20-17. Leading the way at QB for the Texans was Deshaun Watson who went 19/30 with 298 yards through the air and added 2 TD's. He gave away 1 interception on the day. Carlos Hyde paced the team in rushing for the game. He broke a long run for 33 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He rushed for a total of 67 yards by way of 16 carries which meant he averaged 4.2 yards per carry. Will Fuller V led the team in receiving yardage with a tally of 140 yards on 7 catches. He had an average of 20.0 yards per reception for the game. The Houston Texans ran the football 24 times and racked up 99 yards which earned them an average of 4.1 yards per attempt. For the game, they ran 55 plays for a total of 396 yards. On the day, the Texans earned 16 first downs and they totaled 4 penalties for 27 yards. When discussing the defense, Houston allowed 16 completions on 25 tries totaling 128 yards, and a completion percentage of 64.0%. In the running game, the Texans allowed 168 yards on 40 attempts which gave them an average of 4.2 yards per run allowed. For this contest, they gave up 296 yards but weren't able to force a turnover. Tony Sink has a NFL prediction for the contest between the Bears and Lions.
Texans Improve Their Record to 7-4 After Win
The Texans head into this matchup 7-4. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Texans have one of the middle tier offenses in the NFL. When looking at their ability to score points, the Texans currently sit at 1st among AFC South teams and 10th out of all the teams in the league with an average of 24.1 points per game. Houston is making teams consider moving more up into the box by averaging 137 yards on the ground per game, which has them at 6th in the league. As a unit, they have a total of 1,506 yards rushing through 11 contests, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the league. The Texans average 382 yards per game overall putting them 7th in the NFL and 3rd in the AFC.
The Texans are giving up 22.6 points per game ranking them 3rd in the division and 17th in the league. In regard to points allowed, they have allowed 249 total points. In terms of yards rushing, they are giving up 108 yards per game which puts them at 17th among NFL teams and 3rd among AFC South teams. For this year, they have given up a total of 1,189 yards on the ground and 6 rushing touchdowns. Their passing defense is one of the middle of the road units in the league. They are conceding 259 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Texans currently sit at 15th in the AFC. They have allowed 22 passing touchdowns for the 2019 season.
Who will win tonight's Patriots/Texans NFL game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Patriots -4.5
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