2019 New York Giants Odds to win the Super Bowl with Expert Betting Predictions
It's one of the great mysteries in sports that teams in the biggest city in the country, aside from the Yankees, mostly suck. Consistently, and despite all efforts. The Knicks are such an embarrassment that they couldn't attract a free agent despite a bottomless bank account this summer. The Mets are the Mets - and that's not a compliment. The Rangers are in a funk, and the Islanders haven't been relevant since the early '80s. Then there is the Giants. They won a Super Bowl in 2011 but have found new ways to embarrass themselves each year since. They have won eight games the last two years, then followed it up with one of the most laughably bad offseasons we have seen in a long while. A city as great as New York is deserves better.
New York Giants Coaching
Ben McAdoo went 11-5 in his first year but didn't even make it through his second season after starting 2-10. So, Pat Shurmur should be nervous since he started out at 5-11 in his first season. But he's not panicking yet. His offensive staff returns completely intact, and the core of his defensive staff is back as well. Offensive coordinator Mike Shula made big progress in his time with the Panthers in his last stop. He improved each year and was named offensive coordinator of the year in his third season. He'll need to show similar progress here to save Shurmur's job.
New York Giants Quarterback Situation
Eli Manning is the old guy who the team has shown more loyalty to than he deserves at this point, and Daniel Jones is the young QB who they invested far too much draft equity in at a point at which they can't afford to blow a pick given the rebuilding job ahead of them. It's going to be a race to watch - and not just because it has a good chance to be an epic train wreck. The duel is a subject of plenty of head-to-head odds. Manning is very heavily favored at -1200 to start the first game of the year compared to Jones at +900. Manning is also favored at -150 to +110 to start more games, but both guys are at -120 to lead the team in passing touchdowns, and Jones is favored to lead in passing yards -140 to +100. Also in the QB room to start the preseason are Kyle Lauletta, last year's fourth-round pick who appeared briefly in two games last year, and Alex Tanney, who was with the team last year and is with his eighth NFL team with only 14 pass attempts to his credit.
How The New York Giants Improved
They took steps to move on from Manning, which is very much a positive. They picked Jones way higher than they needed to in doing so and may not have made the best choice of the guys available, but at least it's something. And they had a solid draft beyond that, getting DT Dexter Lawrence and corner Deandre Baker in the first round as well - both picks with much more value than Jones had.
How The New York Giants Got Worse
The list here could be long. Trading away Odell Beckham Jr. is an almost indefensible move. They added Golden Tate to try to replace him, but he's out for the first four games due to a suspension. Trading away Olivier Vernon is a huge loss, too. Jabril Peppers will be an excellent safety for the team, and Kevin Zeitler will start at guard, but the return just doesn't justify the moves. This defense is now young and unproven, and the offense is now more one-dimensional than ever, with Saquon Barkley carrying far too much of the load.
New York Giants Schedule Analysis
An opening game at the Cowboys will be tough, but then the next three are about as soft as a team can get - Buffalo, at Tampa, and Washington. If they lose a majority of those games, then they are really in trouble - more, even, than I already imagine them to be in. They follow that by hosting Minnesota then visiting the Patriots, which is not going to go well at all. It's not the toughest schedule overall by any means, but there are still eight games that they are very likely to lose - and it's not like they are going to win all the other games.
2019-20 New York Giants Betting Odds and Trends
The Giants are a dismal +6600 to win the Super Bowl, which puts them ahead of just four teams. They are the 12th choice to win the NFC at +2800, which seems very generous. They are, though, the longest shot on the board to win the NFC East at +1000. The season win total is low at 6, but that obviously isn't low enough - the "under" is at -140. The Giants are +400 to make the playoffs and -500 to miss them. At +25000, they have the second longest odds to have the best record in the league. Logically, they have the second lowest odds to have the worst record at +800. Jones is a longer shot to win the offensive rookie of the year at +3300, while Manning is at +10000 to be named MVP. Somehow Manning is at +3300 to be comeback player of the year, though I really can't figure out what he is coming back from other than frustrating incompetence and old age. Baker is at +2800 to be defensive rookie of the year, with Lawrence a longer shot at +3300 despite being a higher draft pick. Shurmur is the second choice to be the first coach fired at +700, trailing only Jay Gruden. He's the longest shot on the board to be named coach of the year at +5000. Jones and Manning are both at +25000 to lead the league in passing yards. Manning is at +10000 to lead in passing touchdowns, with Jones at +50000. Jones is at +3300 to lead in interceptions thrown, and Manning isn't listed. Saquon Barkley is favored to lead the league in rushing yards at +450 and in yards from scrimmage at +500. He's the +900 third choice to be tops in rushing touchdowns.
2019-20 New York Giants Predictions and NFL Picks
Barkley is a freak, but he's going to struggle to hold up under the massive strain he'll face this season as the focus of this offense. And beyond him there are so few strengths on this team right now. The defense is going to have issues, and the schedule doesn't do them enough favors to overcome the problems. I don't believe in this team at all and like the under on the season win total - comfortably. I like Shurmur as the first coach to be fired, too.
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