2019 Washington Redskins Odds to win the Super Bowl with Expert Betting Predictions
The Washington Redskins last won a playoff game in 2005, back in the third year of the second Joe Gibbs era. And they have made the playoffs only three times since then. Jay Gruden was crushed by the Packers as a wild card team in his second year, and he has gone 22-25-1 in the three seasons since. It's very hard to figure out how he still has a job - especially when it's not like there are any particular reasons to believe that he is about to turn things around this year. The worst owner in football - I say that with apologies to Mark Davis - is doing what he does best by continuing to run a great franchise into a wall. Then backing up and doing it again. And again. And again and again.
Washington Redskins Coaching
Gruden is 35-44-1 with the Redskins, and three of the five seasons have been losing ones. It's tough to make any argument other than this one - he's just not great at coaching. And, to be fair, he hasn't had a ton to work with. He hasn't lifted his team up, but it's not like he has grossly underperformed, either. Gruden obviously doesn't feel too panicked, because he didn't make wholesale coaching changes - something coaches on the brink often do. The lone move of significance was just a reshuffling. Matt Cavanaugh was offensive coordinator last year but has been demoted to senior offensive assistant this year. Kevin O'Connell was quarterback and passing game coordinator last year and has been named offensive coordinator now. And Tim Rattay, the longtime NFL backup, has taken over as QB coach after coaching at Louisiana Tech, his alma mater, the last six years. It's more a shuffling of the deck chairs on the Titanic than anything else, but at least it should modernize the offense a bit - which is a positive with a young new QB on board.
Washington Redskins Quarterback Situation
Last year was a train wreck of injuries and problems at quarterback, and that was after the team had already changed so much at the position. So, they are forced to all but start over again. Colt McCoy has been with the Redskins for all five of Gruden's years, and he started two games last year, so he is the veteran presence on the team. Case Keenum was traded to the team this year after a fairly underwhelming season with the Broncos last year in which he started every game. He was much better the year before in Minnesota, but that was with a better team than this one. But the gem, of course, is Dwayne Haskins, the first-round pick from Ohio State, who was a steal at 15th overall. His arm is superhuman, and he certainly had success as a college starter.
How The Washington Redskins Improved
Beyond Haskins, the team had a solid enough draft, though aside from linebacker Montez Sweat they aren't likely to get a lot of immediate starts from the group. Running back Derrius Guice was a high-value second-round pick last year, but he tore his ACL in his first preseason game and missed the season. He's back this year, though, and provides a strong boost behind the ancient Adrian Peterson.
How The Washington Redskins Got Worse
The Redskins were always known as a team with a strong offensive line. It's what they did. The last two years, though, they have had a really tough time protecting quarterbacks and opening gaps. This really needed to change - especially after investing in a new QB. But it's hard to believe that they have done enough. They drafted two linemen, but not until late in the fourth round, so they can't expect an immediate impact there. And while they added a couple of free agents, neither are difference-makers, either. Ereck Flowers was released by the Giants after 2017 and was picked up late last year by the Jaguars as an injury replacement. He's here on a one-year deal and isn't exactly a superstar. And Donald Penn missed most of last year with a groin injury and then was cut by the Raiders. Neither guy is more than a replacement level guy, and the Redskins needed more than that.
Washington Redskins Schedule Analysis
They open at Philadelphia then against Dallas and Chicago, so it feels quite likely that they are going to open up at 0-3. That is going to make things tough for this regime. They host New England and San Francisco and visit Minnesota in the first half, too, so there is a good chance they are going to be in a dark place by the midway point of the season. The second half if perhaps a touch easier, but still has three or four very tough games. This schedule does them no favors at all.
2019-20 Washington Redskins Betting Odds and Trends
At +10000 to win the Super Bowl, they are the second longest shot on the board, ahead of only the Dolphins. They are tied with the Cardinals as the longest shot to win the NFC at +5000. At +800 to win the NFC East, though, they are only the third choice - ahead of the Giants at +1000. The season win total is obviously set too high at 6.5, because the under is the overwhelming favorite at -165. The Redskins are +450 to make the playoffs and -600 to miss them. They are +15000 to have the best record in the league and are among a group as the second choice to have the worst record at +800. Haskins is the second choice to be named offensive rookie of the year at +700 and is a serious long shot to be named MVP at +15000. Sweat is a serious contender to be defensive rookie of the year at +1200. Derrius Guice is at +1600 to be comeback player of the year. Gruden is the +400 favorite to be the first coach fired and a serious +5000 long shot to be named coach of the year. Haskins is at +15000 to lead the league in passing yards and the same price for touchdowns. He's at +1600 to lead in interceptions. Adrian Peterson is at +5000 to lead the league in rushing touchdowns and +8000 in rushing yards.
2019-20 Washington Redskins Predictions and NFL Picks
The team is going to lose a whole lot of games, and Gruden isn't going to make it to the end of the season. I like Haskins as a long-term option, but he'll take time, and he doesn't have the support around him he needs at this point. It's going to be an ugly year in Washington. The season win total is far too high, but the price sadly doesn't make it attractively playable.
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