Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, 1/24/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, AFC Championship

Game: Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

Date: Sunday, January 24, 2021

Location: Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City -3

Total/Over-Under: 53

Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs (15-2) host the Buffalo Bills (15-3) at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday, January 24, 2021 in the AFC Championship. The odds on this game have Kansas City as 3-point favorites. The over/under opens at 53.

The Buffalo Bills come into this matchup with a record of 15-3 for this season. In the Divisional round they played the Baltimore Ravens and won by a score of 17-3. Josh Allen went 23/37 with 206 yards passing and completed 1 TD. He ended the game with no interceptions. Devin Singletary led the team on the ground in the game. He had a long run of 12 yards but he wasn't able to run one in for a touchdown. He ran for a total of 25 yards by way of 7 carries which meant he averaged 3.6 yards per carry. Stefon Diggs was the leader in receiving yardage by racking up 106 yards on 8 catches. He had an average of 13.3 yards per catch in the game. The Buffalo Bills ended up running the ball 16 times and totaled 32 yards earning them an average of 2.0 yards per attempt. In all, they ran 55 plays which gave them a total of 220 yards. For the contest, the Bills earned a total of 17 first downs and they had a total of 2 penalties for 11 yards. In terms of defense, Buffalo gave up 20 completions on 37 tries for a total of 190 yards, and a completion percentage of 54.0%. On the ground, the Bills gave up 150 yards on 32 attempts which is an average of 4.7 yards per run allowed. On the day, they allowed a total of 340 yards and earned 1 takeaway.

Concerning putting points on the board, the Buffalo Bills are sitting at 31.3 points per contest. Offensively they are averaging 107.7 yards on the ground ranking them 20th in the league. The Bills have earned 6,343 total yards for this campaign. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Buffalo has earned 40 passing touchdowns and 16 rushing touchdowns. When talking about yards through the air, the Bills have allowed 3,726 yards which puts them in 13th in the NFL. During this campaign, they have yielded 352.5 yards/game ranking them 14th in the league. The Bills are ranked 16th in the National Football League concerning team defense, giving up 23.4 points per contest. They are giving up 4.6 yards per rushing attempt and 119.6 rushing yards per contest this season. During their 16 games played this year, they are giving up 232.9 yards per contest via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 64.4%. Overall, they have allowed 1,914 rushing yards through 16 contests.

The Chiefs come into this matchup with a record of 15-2 this year. In the Divisional round they played the Cleveland Browns and won 22-17. Darrel Williams paced the team in rushing for the game. He broke a long run for 16 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He rushed for 78 yards on 13 carries which gave him an average of 6.0 yards per run. Tyreek Hill was the receiving yardage leader by racking up 110 yards on 8 catches. He averaged 13.8 yards per reception for the game. Patrick Mahomes went 21/30 with 255 yards through the air and tossed 1 touchdown. He finished the game without throwing an interception. The Kansas City Chiefs ended up rushing 24 times and totaled 123 yards which gave them an average of 5.1 yards per run. On the day, the Chiefs totaled 24 first downs and they had 7 infractions for 55 yards. Overall, they ran 63 plays which added up to 438 yards. In terms of defense, Kansas City gave up 23 catches on 37 throws for a total of 196 yards, and a completion percentage of 62.0%. In the game, they gave up a total of 308 yards and earned 2 turnovers. On the ground, the Chiefs gave up 112 yards on 22 tries which gave them an average of 5.1 yards per run allowed.

When it comes to the points being put on the board, the Chiefs are 6th in football averaging 29.6 points per outing. During this campaign so far, the Chiefs have a total of 4,854 yards through the air in addition to holding an average of 303.4 passing yards per contest, which ranks 1st in football. They average 112.4 run yards per game and have rushed for 1,799 yards for the season. The Kansas City Chiefs are averaging 415.8 yards/contest which ranks them 1st out of all teams in the league. The Chiefs are ranked 11th in the league regarding team defense, allowing 22.6 points per game. The opposition is running for an average of 4.5 yards per run and 122.1 yards on the ground per contest this season. Over the course of this season, they have given up 1,954 running yards through 16 contests. Concerning yards via the pass, the Chiefs have conceded 3,779 yards which has them sitting in 14th in the NFL. During their 16 games played this year, they have surrendered 236.2 yards per outing through the air in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 62.7%. Overall, they are surrendering 358.3 yards per contest which puts them 16th in football.

Who will win tonight's Bills/Chiefs NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Chiefs -3

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