Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, 1/30/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds AFC Championship
Game: Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs
Date: Sunday, January 30, 2022
Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO
Odds/Point Spread: Chiefs (-7)
The Cincinnati Bengals (12-7) are traveling to GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday where they will meet the Kansas City Chiefs (14-5). Kansas City opens this game as 7-point favorites from oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 53.5.
The Cincinnati Bengals come into this matchup with a record of 12-7 for this season. In their AFC Divisional game, the Bengals took the field against the Titans and walked away with a win by a score of 19-16. Joe Mixon led the offense in rushing for the Bengals with 14 carries for 54 yards (3.9 yards per carry). Ja'Marr Chase held an average of 21.8 yards per catch by totaling 109 yds on 5 catches. Joe Burrow finished 28/37 with 348 yds passing. He had a QB rating of 93.1 and walked away from the game with 1 pick. On the ground, the Bengals conceded 140 yds on 27 attempts, which averages out to 5.2 yards per run allowed. Cincinnati conceded 15 completions on 24 tries for a total of 213 yds, and a completion percentage of 62.5%. When the final whistle blew, they tallied 64 plays for 345 yds. The Cincinnati Bengals ran the football 18 different times and accrued 65 yards, earning them an average of 3.6 yds per attempt.
The Bengals have earned 6,145 total yards this season. Cincinnati has compiled 208 1st downs, and they have been flagged for 72 penalties for 620 yards. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Cincinnati has earned 36 touchdowns via the pass and 16 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 21 times (14 interceptions and 7 fumbles). Offensively they're holding an average of 102.5 yards via the ground game which has them sitting 23rd in the National Football League. Regarding scoring points, the Cincinnati Bengals are averaging 27.1 points per outing.
The Bengals are sitting in 17th in the league in relation to team defense, allowing 22.1 PPG. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.3 yards per run and 102.5 yards on the ground per contest this season. Over the course of this season, they have conceded 1,742 yards via the ground game in 17 games. Concerning yards through the air, the Bengals have allowed 4,222 yards which ranks them 26th in the league. They have allowed 248.4 yards per game through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 67.1%. In total, they are conceding 350.8 yards per contest ranking them 18th in football. They have surrendered 26 touchdowns through the air in addition to 15 touchdowns on the ground.
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The Chiefs head into this game 14-5 for this year. In the other AFC Divisional game, the Chiefs got the overtime win with a final of 42-36 when they faced the Bills. Patrick Mahomes (3 TDs) walked away from the game with 378 yards on 33/44 through the air while his QB rate was 123.1. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 8.59 yards. Clyde Edwards-Helaire carried the ball 7 times for 60 yards, finishing the contest with 8.6 yards per carry for Kansas City. Tyreek Hill had the best day in terms of receiving for the Chiefs, catching 11 throws for 150 yds (13.6 yards per catch). Kansas City ran for 6.7 yards per carry, totaling 182 yds on 27 carries. The Chiefs finished the contest with a total of 552 yards while running 73 plays (7.6 yds per play). The Chiefs pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 73.0%, relinquishing 313 yds on 27 out of 37 through the air. Kansas City gave up 24 rushing attempts for 109 yards (4.5 yards per carry).
The Kansas City Chiefs average 396.8 yards per contest which is good for 3rd in the NFL. They average 115.0 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 1,955 yards overall. The Kansas City offense has totaled 925 yards of penalties on 111 violations, which has them sitting 8th in the NFL in terms of helping out the opposition. They have thrown 13 picks while conceding 12 fumbles and they have been able to record 267 1st downs. For the year to this point, the Chiefs have thrown for a total of 4,791 yards through the air not to mention an average of 281.8 passing yards per outing, which ranks 4th in the league. When looking at the points being put on the board, the Chiefs rank 4th out of all teams in the league averaging 28.2 points per outing.
The Chiefs are conceding 21.4 points per contest, which has them sitting 8th in the NFL. Kansas City has surrendered a total of 1,999 yards rushing (117.6 yards per contest) as well as 15 touchdowns rushing for the year. They have allowed 27 touchdowns via the pass and 251.4 yards/outing, ranking them 27th in the league. The Chiefs defense has participated in 1,060 plays, which is good for 13th in the league. Overall, they have relinquished 364 total points. Their defense has tallied 29 turnovers (14 fumbles recovered and 15 picks) on the season.
Who will win tonight's Bengals/Chiefs NFL game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Bengals +7
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