Detroit Lions vs New England Patriots Prediction, 10/9/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 5

Game: Detroit Lions vs New England Patriots

Date: Sunday, October 9, 2022

Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Patriots (-2)

Total/Over-Under: 44

Gillette Stadium is where the New England Patriots (1-3) will go up against the Detroit Lions (1-3) on Sunday. New England is 2-point favorites. The over/under is set at 44.

The Detroit Lions come into this matchup with a record of 1-3 this season. The last time they took the field, the Lions took on the Seahawks and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 48-45. Jared Goff went 26/39 with 378 yds passing and 4 TDs. He had a QB rate of 121.5 and walked away from the game with 1 interception. T.J. Hockenson averaged 22.4 yds per reception by accumulating 179 yards on 8 receptions. Jamaal Williams led the offense in rushing for the Lions with 19 carries for 108 yards (5.7 yards per carry). When the final whistle blew, they had 66 plays which totaled 520 yards. The Detroit Lions ran the football 25 times and recorded 145 yards, which came out to an average of 5.8 yards per tote. When it came to stopping the run, the Lions gave up 235 yds on 33 tries, which is an average of 7.1 yds per run allowed. Detroit surrendered 23 completions on 30 tries for a total of 320 yds, and a completion percentage of 76.7%.

The Lions have earned 1,747 yards in total over the course of this year. Detroit has a total of 57 1st downs as an offense, and they have committed 23 infractions for 188 yds. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Detroit has compiled 11 touchdowns through the air and 7 rushing touchdowns. They have given the ball to the opposition 4 different times (3 interceptions and 1 fumble lost). As a team they have an average of 164.0 yards rushing which has them sitting 6th in the National Football League. When talking about scoring points, the Detroit Lions are averaging 35.0 points per outing.

Concerning passing yardage, the Lions have conceded 1,117 yards which has them sitting in 30th in the NFL. They are conceding 279.3 yards per outing via the pass in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 63.8%. For the year, they have yielded 444.8 yards per outing which puts them 32nd in the NFL. They have yielded 7 touchdowns via the pass and 10 touchdowns pounding the rock. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 5.6 yards per rush and 165.5 rushing yards per contest over the course of this year. For the season, they have conceded 662 yards via the running game in 4 games. The Lions sit in 32nd in the NFL regarding their opponents scoring, conceding 35.3 points per contest.

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The Patriots step onto the field holding a record of 1-3 for this season. In their last contest, the Patriots went home defeated by a final of 27-24 when they played the Packers. Damien Harris carried the ball 18 times for 86 yds, ending the game with 4.8 yds per attempt for New England. Rhamondre Stevenson was the best receiver for the Patriots, bringing in 4 footballs for 23 yds (5.8 yards per reception). Bailey Zappe (1 TD) walked away from the game with 99 yds on 10/15 passing while his QB rating was 107.4. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his Y/A was 6.6 yds. New England surrendered 35 running attempts for 199 yds (5.7 yards per carry). The Patriots secondary allowed a completion percentage of 60.0%, relinquishing 244 yards on 21 for 35 passing. The Patriots finished with 271 yds on 58 plays (4.7 yds per play). New England ran the ball for 5.1 yards per tote, finishing with a total of 167 yds on 33 carries.

The New England Patriots average 341.3 yards per outing ranking them 18th in the NFL. They are averaging 128.5 run yards per game and have toted the ball for 514 yards in total. The New England offense has accrued 161 penalty yds on 20 violations, which ranks 26th in football in terms of making mistakes. They have given away 5 picks while conceding 4 fumbles and they have been able to earn 38 1st downs. During the season thus far, the Patriots have thrown for a total of 851 passing yards in addition to an average of 212.8 passing yards per outing, ranking them 22nd in the NFL. In relation to their ability to score points, the Patriots are 24th in the league maintaining an average of 18.5 points per game.

They have allowed 8 touchdowns from the passing game and 211.0 yards/contest, which puts them in 11th in the NFL. New England has conceded a total of 543 rushing yards (135.8 yards per outing) and 2 touchdowns by ground for the season. They have 6 turnovers (3 fumbles recovered and 3 interceptions) for the season. The Patriots defense has taken part in 247 plays, which ranks 14th in the league. Overall, they have given up 98 total points. The Patriots are giving up 24.5 points per contest, ranking them 22nd in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Lions/Patriots NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Lions +2

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