Green Bay Packers vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, 8/25/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Preseason Week 3

Game: Green Bay Packers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Date: Thursday, August 25, 2022

Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: NFL League Pass/NFL Network

Odds/Point Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 39.5

The Green Bay Packers (13-4 last year) are traveling to GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Thursday where they will attempt to defeat the Kansas City Chiefs (12-5 last season). Green Bay opens as 4.5-point dogs. The over/under has been set at 39.5.

The Green Bay Packers wrapped up their season with a 13-4 record. In their last contest of last season, the Packers took on the 49ers and took a loss by a score of 13-10. Aaron Rodgers went 20/29 with 225 yards passing. He had a QB rate of 91.9 and finished the game with no interceptions. Davante Adams averaged 10.0 yds per catch by earning 90 yards on 9 receptions. Aaron Jones was the leader on the ground for the Packers with 12 totes for 41 yards (3.4 yards per carry). In all, they ran 54 plays which gave them a total of 263 yds. The Green Bay Packers rushed the ball a total of 20 times and totaled 67 yds, earning them an average of 3.4 yards per carry. In the running game, the Packers conceded 106 yds on 29 tries, which is 3.7 yards per run allowed. Green Bay allowed 11 completions on 19 tries for 106 yds, and a completion percentage of 57.9%.

Regarding putting the ball in the endzone, the Green Bay Packers held an average of 26.5 points per game. As a unit they averaged 111.8 yards rushing, which ranked them 18th in the National Football League. The Packers racked up 6,215 total yards over the course of last season. Green Bay accumulated 235 1st downs offensively, and they committed 69 penalties for 683 yards. They surrendered the ball 13 different times (7 picks and 6 fumbles). Green Bay totaled 39 touchdowns through the air and 13 touchdowns via the ground.

When talking about passing yards, the Packers gave up 3,724 yards which put them in 10th in the league. In their 17 games played, they yielded 219.1 yards per contest through the air in addition to relinquishing a completion percentage of 62.9%. They gave up 328.2 yards per game putting them 9th in the National Football League. They surrendered 31 passing touchdowns as well as 13 rushing touchdowns. The opposition ran for 4.7 yards per rushing attempt and 109.1 rushing yards per contest for the previous season. Over the course of last year, they gave up 1,855 yards on the ground in 17 games. The Packers sat in 13th in the NFL in terms of team defense, allowing 21.8 points per game.

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The Chiefs wrapped up their season with a 12-5 record. When they last stepped on the field last year, the Chiefs took a loss by a final score of 27-24 when they faced the Bengals. Jerick McKinnon ran the football 12 times for 65 yds, finishing the game with 5.4 yds per carry for Kansas City. Travis Kelce was the best receiver for the Chiefs, catching 10 footballs for 95 yds (9.5 yds per catch). Patrick Mahomes (3 touchdowns) walked away from the game with 275 yds on 26/39 passing while his quarterback rate was 91.3. He threw 2 interceptions and his avg yards per attempt was 7.05 yds. Kansas City gave up 27 rush attempts for 116 yds (4.3 yards per carry). The Chiefs pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 60.5%, relinquishing 243 yards on 23 out of 38 passing. The Chiefs finished with 375 yds and they ran 67 plays (5.6 yards per play). Kansas City ran the ball for 5.8 yards per attempt, finishing the contest with 139 yards on 24 attempts.

The Kansas City Chiefs held an average of 396.8 yards per game which had them ranked 3rd in the NFL. They maintained an average of 115.0 run yards per game and ran for 1,955 yards for the season. The Kansas City offense accrued 925 penalty yds on 111 violations, which ranked 8th in the league in terms of giving up free yards. They gave away 13 picks while losing 12 fumbles and they tallied 267 1st downs. Last season, the Chiefs threw for a total of 4,791 yards through the air in addition to an average of 281.8 passing yards per outing, which had them ranked 4th in the league. When it comes to the points being put on the board, the Chiefs were 4th out of all teams in the NFL scoring 28.2 points per contest.

Kansas City gave up a total of 1,999 rushing yards (117.6 yards/game) and 15 touchdowns by way of the ground game last year. They surrendered 27 touchdowns via the pass as well as 251.4 yards per outing, which had them in 27th in the league. Their defense tallied 29 takeaways (14 fumbles and 15 picks) for the previous season. In total, they relinquished 364 total points. The Chiefs defense took part in 1,060 plays, which ranked them 13th in football. The Chiefs conceded 21.4 PPG, which put them in 8th in football.

Who will win tonight's Packers/Chiefs NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Packers +4.5

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