Green Bay Packers vs Washington Commanders Prediction, 10/23/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 7

Game: Green Bay Packers vs Washington Commanders

Date: Sunday, October 23, 2022

Location: FedExField in Landover, MD

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Commanders (+5.5)

Total/Over-Under: 43.5

The Washington Commanders (2-4) are hosting the Green Bay Packers (3-3) at FedExField on Sunday. Washington opens this game as 5.5-point dogs. The over/under is set at 43.5.

The Green Bay Packers head into this matchup 3-3 this season. The last time they took the field, the Packers played the Jets and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 27-10. Aaron Rodgers connected on 26/41 with 246 yds passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rate of 88.1 and finished the contest with no picks. Robert Tonyan had an average of 9.0 yards per catch by totaling 90 yards on 10 receptions. AJ Dillon was the best rusher for the Packers with 10 attempts for 41 yards (4.1 yards per carry). On the day, they had 69 plays which converted into 278 yards. The Green Bay Packers ended up running the ball 20 different times and accounted for 60 yds, which earned them an average of 3.0 yds per attempt. In the running game, the Packers gave up 179 yds on 33 attempts, which calculates to 5.4 yards per rush surrendered. Green Bay allowed 10 completions on 18 tries for a total of 99 yards, and a completion rate of 55.6%.

The Packers currently have 2,089 total yards this year. Green Bay has earned 70 1st downs as an offense, and they have committed 31 infractions for 219 yds. When it comes to scoring, Green Bay has compiled 9 touchdowns through the air and 3 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 8 different times (3 interceptions and 5 fumbles). Offensively they're averaging 122.3 yards rushing which is 13th in the NFL. When it comes to putting points on the board, the Green Bay Packers hold an average of 17.8 PPG.

The Packers are sitting in 15th in the league in terms of the opposition scoring, giving up 20.5 PPG. They are allowing 4.9 yards per rush and 135.2 rushing yards per game over the course of this year. Over the course of this year, they have given up 811 yards via the ground game in 6 games. Regarding passing yardage, the Packers have conceded 984 yards which has them sitting in 1st in the National Football League. They have conceded 164.0 yards per game through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 70.9%. During the season, they have allowed 299.2 yards/outing ranking them 5th in the National Football League. They have conceded 4 touchdowns via the pass as well as 7 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Commanders come into this game with a record of 2-4 this season. In their last game, the Commanders walked away with a victory by a final of 12-7 against the Bears. Brian Robinson Jr. carried the football 17 times for 60 yards, ending the contest with 3.5 yds per attempt for Washington. Terry McLaurin was the top contributor in the passing game for the Commanders, hauling in 3 footballs for 41 yards (13.7 yards per catch). Carson Wentz finished the game with 99 yds on 12/22 through the air while his QB rating was 66.3. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 4.5 yards. Washington conceded 37 attempts on the ground for 238 yds (6.4 yards per carry). The Commanders passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 51.9%, relinquishing 154 yds on 14 for 27 through the air. The Commanders finished the game with 214 yards while they ran 53 plays (4.0 yards per play). Washington ran the football for 4.6 yds per carry, totaling 128 yds on 28 attempts.

In relation to this team's ability to score points, the Commanders rank 29th in the league holding an average of 17.0 PPG. Over the course of the season thus far, the Commanders have compiled 1,349 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 224.8 throwing yards per outing, putting them at 18th in the NFL. They average 95.5 run yards per game and have toted the ball for 573 yards for this season. The Washington Commanders maintain an average of 320.3 yards per contest which has them sitting 24th out of all teams in the NFL. The Washington offense has totaled 371 yds of penalties on 39 violations, which ranks 8th in the league in terms of helping out the other team. They have thrown 6 interceptions while letting opponents recover 2 fumbles and they have been able to tally 68 first downs.

The Commanders are conceding 22.5 points per contest, which has them ranked 18th in the NFL. They have given up 12 touchdowns from the passing game and 221.5 yards per outing, which has them in 15th in football. In total, they have relinquished 135 points in total. Washington has allowed a total of 791 rushing yards (131.8 yards per outing) as well as 3 touchdowns rushing this season. The Commanders defense has participated in 379 plays, ranking them 20th in the league. Their defense has totaled 3 turnovers (1 fumble and 2 interceptions) this season.

Who will win tonight's Packers/Commanders NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Commanders +5.5

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