Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans Prediction, 9/11/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 1

Game: Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

Date: Sunday, September 11, 2022

Location: NRG Stadium in Houston, TX

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Texans (+8.5)

Total/Over-Under: 44

The Indianapolis Colts (9-8 last year) are traveling to NRG Stadium on Sunday where they will attempt to defeat the Houston Texans (4-13 last season). Houston opens this matchup as 8.5-point dogs. The total is 44.

The Indianapolis Colts finished the year with a 9-8 record. In their last contest of last season, the Colts faced the Jaguars and took a loss by a final of 26-11. Jonathan Taylor was the leader on the ground for the Colts with 15 carries for 77 yards (5.1 yds per attempt). Michael Pittman Jr. had an average of 10.7 yards per catch by accounting for 64 yds on 6 receptions. Carson Wentz went 17/29 with 185 yds passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 74.6 and ended the contest with 1 interception. On the ground, the Colts gave up 101 yards on 31 attempts, which calculates to 3.3 yards per run allowed. Indianapolis relinquished 23 completions on 32 attempts for a total of 217 yards, and a completion percentage of 71.9%. When all was said and done, they ran 53 plays which converted into 233 yards. The Indianapolis Colts ended up running the ball 18 different times and recorded 94 yards, which is an average of 5.2 yards per attempt.

The Colts earned 5,901 total yards for last year. Indianapolis had 167 1st downs as a team, and they committed 76 penalties for 688 yds. Indianapolis earned 27 passing touchdowns and 22 rushing touchdowns. They surrendered the ball 19 different times (8 picks and 11 fumbles lost). As a team they maintained an average of 149.4 yds via the ground game, which had them sitting 2nd in the league. Regarding scoring points, the Indianapolis Colts averaged 26.5 points per contest.

The Colts were sitting in 10th in the National Football League in terms of team defense, giving up 21.5 PPG. Opposing teams ran for an average of 4.4 yards per running attempt and 109.1 yards on the ground per game for the previous year. Overall, they conceded 1,854 rushing yards through 17 outings. When talking about passing yards, the Colts conceded 3,980 yards which had them ranked 19th in the NFL. In their 17 games, they allowed 234.1 yards per contest through the air as well as surrendering a completion percentage of 65.3%. They yielded 343.2 yards per outing which ranked them 16th in the NFL. They conceded 32 touchdowns through the air in addition to 10 rushing touchdowns.

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The Texans ended the season having earned a 4-13 mark. The last time they took the field last season, the Texans took a defeat with a final score of 28-25 against the Titans. Davis Mills (3 TDs) ended the contest with 301 yds on 23/33 passing while his QB rate was 128.5. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yds per pass attempt was 9.12 yds. David Johnson carried the football 5 times for 28 yds, finishing the game with 5.6 yds per carry for Houston. Danny Amendola was featured in the passing game for the Texans, hauling in 7 footballs for 113 yds (16.1 yards per reception). Houston ran for 3.0 yards per tote, finishing with a total of 64 yards on 21 attempts. The Texans finished the game with a total of 353 yds on 56 plays (6.3 yards per play). The Texans pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 71.9%, surrendering 281 yds on 23 for 32 through the air. Houston gave up 32 attempts on the ground for 124 yds (3.9 yds per rush).

When it comes to their scoring prowess, the Texans ranked 30th in football with an average of 16.5 PPG. Last season, the Texans compiled 3,305 passing yards along with averaging 194.4 passing yards per game, ranking them 28th in the NFL. They held an average of 83.6 yards per game via the ground game and ran for 1,422 yards in total. The Houston Texans had an average of 278.1 yards/outing ranking them 32nd out of all teams in the league. The Houston offense had 978 yards of penalties on 114 violations, which had them ranked 5th in the NFL in terms of helping out the opposition. They threw 15 picks while losing 7 fumbles and they recorded 162 1st downs.

Houston yielded a total of 2,418 yards on the ground (142.2 yards/game) and 25 touchdowns via the rush throughout last year. They conceded 27 touchdowns through the air in addition to 242.2 yards/game, ranking them 23rd in football. Their defense compiled 25 turnovers (8 fumbles recovered and 17 picks) for the previous season. Over the course of the season, they gave up 452 total points. The Texans defense was on the field for 1,101 plays, which ranked them 23rd in football. The Texans surrendered 26.6 points per game, ranking them 27th of all teams in the league.

Who will win tonight's Colts/Texans NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Colts -8.5

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