Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction, 8/27/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 3

Game: Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons

Date: Saturday, August 27, 2022

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA

TV: NFL League Pass/NFL Network

Odds/Point Spread: Falcons (-2)

Total/Over-Under: 39

The Jacksonville Jaguars (3-14 last year) are hitting the road to Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Saturday where they will attempt to defeat the Atlanta Falcons (7-10 last season). Jacksonville opens as 2-point dogs. The total is 39.

The Jacksonville Jaguars ended the season holding a 3-14 mark. In their last game of last year, the Jaguars took the field against the Colts and took home the win by a score of 26-11. Trevor Lawrence finished 23/32 with 223 yds through the air and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 111.8 and ended the game with no interceptions. Ryquell Armstead was the leader on the ground for the Jaguars with 9 carries for 52 yards (5.8 yards per attempt). Marvin Jones averaged 12.6 yds per reception by accumulating 88 yards on 7 receptions. The Jacksonville Jaguars ran the football 31 times and compiled 101 yards, which had them averaging 3.3 yds per attempt. For the game, they ran 64 plays which converted into 318 yds. Jacksonville relinquished 17 pass completions on 29 tries for a total of 139 yds, and a completion percentage of 58.6%. In the running game, the Jaguars conceded 94 yards on 18 attempts, which is an average of 5.2 yds per run allowed.

The Jaguars had 5,191 total yards for the prior campaign. Jacksonville compiled 178 1st downs as a team, and they were hurt by 104 penalties for 856 yds. Jacksonville totaled 12 touchdowns through the air and 13 rushing touchdowns. They turned the football over 29 times (17 interceptions and 12 fumbles lost). As a team they averaged 103.2 yards on the ground, ranking them 22nd in the National Football League. When it comes to scoring points, the Jacksonville Jaguars averaged 14.9 points per outing.

When talking about passing yardage, the Jaguars gave up 3,875 yards which put them in 17th in the league. Over the course of their 17 games played last year, they allowed 227.9 yards per outing via the pass as well as allowing a completion percentage of 69.4%. They allowed 353.1 yards/contest putting them 20th in the NFL. They surrendered 24 touchdowns via the pass and 22 touchdowns on the ground. They allowed teams to run for an average of 4.3 yards per run and 125.1 rushing yards per game for the previous season. For the year, they allowed 2,127 running yards through 17 contests. The Jaguars were ranked 28th in the NFL in terms of team defense, allowing 26.9 points per game.

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The Falcons wrapped up their season having earned a 7-10 record. For their last game of last season, the Falcons walked away with a loss by a score of 30-20 against the Saints. Mike Davis ran the football 6 times for 30 yards, finishing the contest with 5.0 yds per carry for Atlanta. Russell Gage was one of the featured targets for the Falcons, grabbing 9 throws for 126 yards (14.0 yds per catch). Matt Ryan (1 TD) finished the game with 216 yds on 20/33 passing while his QB rate was 77.3. He had 1 interception and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.55 yds. Atlanta gave up 46 attempts on the ground for 195 yards (4.2 yards per rush). The Falcons passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 66.7%, surrendering 174 yds on 16 out of 24 through the air. The Falcons ended up finishing with 257 yds and they ran 48 plays (5.4 yards per play). Atlanta ran the football for 5.2 yards per carry, finishing with 62 yds on 12 attempts.

The Atlanta Falcons held an average of 303.8 yards per outing which ranked them 29th in football. They maintained an average of 85.4 rushing yards per game and ran for 1,451 yards for the year. The Atlanta offense totaled 753 penalty yds on 92 violations, which had them sitting 25th in the league in terms of making mistakes. They tossed 15 interceptions while surrendering 11 fumbles and they obtained 196 first downs. Last year, the Falcons compiled 3,713 passing yards as well as averaging 218.4 passing yards per game, ranking them 16th out of all NFL teams. Regarding their ability to score points, the Falcons were 26th in the league maintaining an average of 18.4 points per game.

Atlanta yielded a total of 2,242 yards rushing (131.9 yards per game) and 19 touchdowns on the ground throughout last season. They allowed the opposition 31 touchdowns via the pass and 232.5 yards per outing, which had them ranked 18th out of all teams. Their defense tallied 20 turnovers (8 fumbles and 12 interceptions) for the previous season. Overall, they surrendered 459 total points. The Falcons defense took part in 1,114 plays, which had them ranked 26th in the NFL. The Falcons allowed 27.0 points per contest, which had them sitting 29th in football.

Who will win tonight's Jaguars/Falcons NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Falcons -2

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