New England Patriots vs Cleveland Browns Prediction, 10/16/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 6

Game: New England Patriots vs Cleveland Browns

Date: Sunday, October 16, 2022

Location: FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland, OH

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Browns (-3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 41.5

The Cleveland Browns (2-3) are hosting the New England Patriots (2-3) at FirstEnergy Stadium on Sunday. Cleveland opens this matchup as 3.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 41.5.

The New England Patriots come into this matchup with a record of 2-3 for this season. In their last contest, the Patriots took the field against the Lions and took home the win by a score of 29-0. Bailey Zappe went 17/21 with 188 yds through the air and 1 TD. He had a QB rating of 100 and finished the contest with 1 interception. Jakobi Meyers left with an average of 15.9 yds per catch by recording 111 yds on 7 catches. Rhamondre Stevenson was the leader on the ground for the Patriots with 25 totes for 161 yds (6.4 yds per carry). When the final whistle blew, they tallied 56 plays for 364 yards. The New England Patriots rushed the ball a total of 35 times and tallied 176 yds, which is an average of 5.0 yards per attempt. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Patriots gave up 101 yds on 27 attempts, which is 3.7 yards per run surrendered. New England relinquished 19 completions on 35 attempts for 211 yds, and a completion percentage of 54.3%.

Regarding putting the ball in the endzone, the New England Patriots hold an average of 20.6 points per game. As a unit they have an average of 138.0 yards in the run game ranking them 9th in the league. The Patriots currently have 1,729 total yards for the year. New England has recorded 49 1st downs as a team, and they have been hurt by 26 infractions for 207 yds. They have turned the football over 10 times (6 picks and 4 fumbles lost). When it comes to getting in the endzone, New England has earned 4 touchdowns through the air and 5 touchdowns on the ground.

The Patriots rank 12th in the NFL in relation to the opposition scoring, allowing 19.6 points per game. They are allowing 4.8 yards per rush and 128.8 rushing yards per game for the season. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 644 running yards through 5 games. Concerning passing yardage, the Patriots have given up 1,055 yards which has them sitting in 11th in the league. They have given up 211.0 yards per outing through the air in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 61.8%. Overall, they have relinquished 339.8 yards per contest which has them sitting 15th in the league. They have yielded 8 touchdowns through the air as well as 2 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Browns head into this matchup 2-3 for this season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Browns walked away with a loss by a score of 30-28 when they faced the Chargers. Nick Chubb ran the football 17 times for 134 yds, ending the game with 7.9 yards per carry for Cleveland. Amari Cooper was the top contributor in the passing game for the Browns, catching 7 passes for 76 yards (10.9 yds per catch). Jacoby Brissett (1 touchdown) walked away from the contest with 230 yards on 21/34 through the air while his QB rate was 79.3. He tossed 1 interception and his Y/A was 6.8 yds. Cleveland relinquished 34 rush attempts for 238 yds (7.0 yds per rush). The Browns pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 64.7%, relinquishing 227 yds on 22 for 34 passing. The Browns finished the game with a total of 443 yds while running 65 plays (6.8 yds per play). Cleveland rushed the ball for 6.9 yards per attempt, finishing with 213 yards on 31 attempts.

Concerning the points being put on the board, the Browns sit 6th in the league by scoring 26.6 points per contest. During the season so far, the Browns currently sit at 1,020 passing yards in addition to holding an average of 204.0 passing yards per contest, giving them a rank of 24th in the league. They average 192.4 yards per game via the rush and have run for 962 yards for the season. The Cleveland Browns maintain an average of 396.4 yards/outing which ranks them 4th in the league. The Cleveland offense has totaled 249 yds of penalties on 32 violations, which has them sitting 9th in the NFL in terms of giving up free yards. They have thrown 3 interceptions while surrendering 1 fumble and they have recorded 58 1st downs.

The Browns are surrendering 25.0 PPG, which has them sitting 23rd in the league. They have yielded 6 touchdowns from the passing game and 215.6 yards/game, ranking them 15th out of all teams. Over the course of the season, they have given up 125 points in total. Cleveland has allowed a total of 691 rushing yards (138.2 yards per contest) in addition to 8 touchdowns rushing for the year. The Browns defense has participated in 296 plays, ranking them 5th in football. Their defense has earned 4 turnovers (2 fumbles and 2 interceptions) on the campaign.

Who will win tonight's Patriots/Browns NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Patriots +3.5

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