Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets Prediction, 11/24/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 12

Game: Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets

Date: Friday, November 24, 2023

Location: MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ

TV: PRIME VIDEO

Odds/Point Spread: Jets (+10)

Total/Over-Under: 40

The New York Jets (4-6) are welcoming the Miami Dolphins (7-3) at MetLife Stadium on Friday. Miami opens this game as 10-point favorites. The total comes in at 40.

The Miami Dolphins head into this matchup 7-3 for this season. When they last stepped on the football field, the Dolphins stepped onto the field against the Raiders and earned the victory with a final of 20-13. Raheem Mostert led the offense in rushing for the Dolphins with 22 carries for 86 yds (3.9 yds per carry). Tyreek Hill had an average of 14.6 yds per catch by totaling 146 yards on 10 receptions. Tua Tagovailoa went 28/39 with 325 yards passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 103 and ended the game with 1 interception. On the ground, the Dolphins gave up 36 yards on 16 attempts, which is an average of 2.3 yds per run allowed. Miami surrendered 24 pass completions on 41 attempts for 260 yards, and a completion percentage of 58.5%. When the final whistle blew, they had 68 plays which converted into 422 yds. The Miami Dolphins ran the ball 28 times and had 99 yards, which is an average of 3.5 yards per carry.

In terms of getting in the endzone, the Miami Dolphins have an average of 30.5 points per outing. As a team they average 143.0 yards in the run game which is 2nd in the league. The Dolphins have earned 4,340 total yards this season. Miami has amassed 143 first downs as a team, and they have been called for 59 infractions for 489 yards. They have turned the ball over 16 times (9 interceptions and 7 fumbles). With reference to getting in the endzone, Miami has amassed 22 touchdowns via the pass and 17 touchdowns via the ground.

Regarding yards through the air, the Dolphins have given up 2,206 yards which ranks them 11th in the National Football League. They have given up 220.6 yards per outing via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 67.9%. For the year, they have surrendered 319.8 yards/game putting them at 12th in the NFL. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.8 yards per attempt on the ground and 99.2 rushing yards per contest over the course of this year. In total, they have conceded 992 running yards through 10 games. The Dolphins sit in 24th in the league concerning their opponents scoring, allowing 23.8 PPG.

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The Jets head into this matchup 4-6 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Jets took a loss by a final score of 32-6 against the Bills. Zach Wilson (1 touchdown) finished the game with 81 yards on 7/15 through the air while his QB rating was 57.9. He tossed 1 pick and his average yards per pass attempt was 5.4 yards. Breece Hall ran the football 10 times for 23 yds, ending the game with 2.3 yards per attempt for New York. Breece Hall was featured in the passing game for the Jets, grabbing 5 throws for 50 yards (10.0 yds per reception). New York ended up running for 3.5 yds per carry, finishing with a total of 63 yds on 18 carries. The Jets finished the contest with 155 yds while they ran 54 plays (2.9 yards per play). The Jets passing defense conceded a completion rate of 62.5%, surrendering 263 yards on 20 out of 32 through the air. New York allowed 38 rushing attempts for 130 yds (3.4 yards per rush).

The New York Jets maintain an average of 270.3 yards/outing which is good for 30th in the NFL. They hold an average of 99.8 yards per game via the rush and have run for 998 yards overall. They have thrown 8 interceptions while losing 10 fumbles and they have been able to tally 89 1st downs. The New York offense has compiled 478 yds of penalties on 65 violations, which has them sitting 14th in football in terms of giving up free yards. Over the course of the season to this point, the Jets have a total of 1,705 passing yards along with an average of 170.5 throwing yards per outing, ranking them 30th out of all NFL teams. In relation to putting points on the board, the Jets are sitting 30th in the league with an average of 15.0 points per outing.

They have surrendered 12 touchdowns through the air and 178.7 yards per contest, which puts them in 5th in football. New York has conceded a total of 1,376 yards on the ground (137.6 yards per game) and 5 touchdowns by ground this season. Over the course of the season, they have conceded 204 total points. They have earned 16 turnovers (6 fumbles and 10 picks) over the course of the season. The Jets defense taken the field for 671 plays, which ranks them 21st in football. The Jets are conceding 20.4 points per game, which puts them in 12th in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Dolphins/Jets NFL game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Jets +10 and over 40 total points

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