Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets Prediction, 1/5/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 18

Game: Miami Dolphins at New York Jets

Date: Sunday, January 5, 2025

Location: MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ

TV: FOX

Odds-Point Spread: Jets (+2.5)

Total-Over-Under: 40.5

MetLife Stadium is the location where the New York Jets (4-12) will take on the Miami Dolphins (8-8) on Sunday. New York opens this matchup as 2.5-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 40.5.

The Miami Dolphins head into this matchup 8-8 for this year. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Dolphins played the Cleveland Browns and earned the victory with a final of 29-17. Tyler Huntley finished 22-26 with 225 yds passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rate of 115.5 and finished the game with no interceptions. Tyler Huntley led the offense in rushing for the Dolphins with 7 carries for 52 yards (7.4 yards per carry). Tyreek Hill averaged 11.7 yards per catch by recording 105 yds on 9 catches. The Miami Dolphins ran the rock 27 different times and had 74 yds, which is an average of 2.7 yds per attempt. Overall, they ran 53 plays which totaled 280 yds. Miami allowed 26 pass completions on 40 tries for a total of 293 yards, and a completion rate of 65.0%. When it came to stopping the run, the Dolphins gave up 81 yds on 18 tries, which calculates to 4.5 yds per run allowed.

Concerning scoring, the Miami Dolphins have an average of 20.3 PPG. As a team they hold an average of 103.8 yards on the ground which has them sitting 24th in the National Football League. The Dolphins have racked up 5,198 total yards over the course of this year. Miami has a total of 207 first downs as a team, and they have been flagged for 110 infractions for 894 yards. They have turned the ball over 17 times (8 interceptions and 9 fumbles). In terms of getting in the endzone, Miami has amassed 21 passing touchdowns and 11 rushing touchdowns.

Concerning yards through the air, the Dolphins have given up 3,325 yards which ranks them 9th in the NFL. They are allowing 207.8 yards per contest via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 63.9%. They have given up 18 touchdowns via the pass as well as 12 touchdowns pounding the rock. In total, they are allowing 310.6 yards per outing which puts them 4th in football. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.3 yards per run and 102.8 yards on the ground per contest for the year. The Dolphins rank 9th in the NFL concerning team defense, allowing 20.8 points per game. Overall, they have conceded 1,645 yards on the ground through 16 games.

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The Jets head into this matchup 4-12 for this season. In their last contest, the Jets went home defeated by a final of 19-9 when they played the Buffalo Bills. Aaron Rodgers finished the game with 112 yards on 12-18 through the air while his quarterback rating was 44. He threw 2 interceptions and his avg yards per attempt was 6.2 yds. Breece Hall carried the football 10 times for 45 yards, finishing the contest with 4.5 yards per carry for New York. Tyler Conklin was featured in the passing game for the Jets, bringing in 8 balls for 57 yds (7.1 yds per reception). New York ran for 5.3 yards per tote, finishing the contest with 112 yds on 21 attempts. The Jets finished the contest with 281 yds while running 53 plays (5.3 yards per play). The Jets pass defense gave up a completion rate of 73.7%, relinquishing 110 yds on 14 for 19 through the air. New York relinquished 31 rushing attempts for 132 yards (4.3 yds per rush).

The New York Jets maintain an average of 306.3 yards-outing which has them ranked 24th in the league. They maintain an average of 90.2 yards via the ground game and have run for 1,443 yards overall. The New York offense has racked up 1,099 penalty yards on 131 violations, ranking them 1st in the league in terms of helping out the other team. During the season to this point, the Jets have thrown for a total of 3,457 passing yards as well as an average of 216.1 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 17th in the NFL. In relation to this team's ability to score points, the Jets are ranking 24th in the league averaging 19.1 points per game.

The Jets are surrendering 24.0 points per game, which has them in 22nd of all teams in the NFL. They have given up 17 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 192.3 yards-game, which has them in 5th in the NFL. New York has allowed a total of 1,924 rushing yards (120.3 yards per game) as well as 21 touchdowns rushing for the season. The Jets defense has participated in 1,000 plays, which ranks them 19th in the league. Their defense has totaled 13 takeaways (8 fumbles recovered and 5 interceptions) on the campaign.

Who will win tonight's Dolphins-Jets NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Jets +2.5

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