Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction, 1/5/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 18

Game: Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys

Date: Sunday, January 5, 2025

Location: AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX

TV: FOX

Odds-Point Spread: Cowboys (+2.5)

Total-Over-Under: 45.5

The Washington Commanders (11-5) are on their way to AT&T Stadium on Sunday where they will attempt to beat the Dallas Cowboys (7-9). Washington opens as 2.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 45.5.

The Washington Commanders head into this matchup 11-5 for this season. In their last game, the Commanders played the Atlanta Falcons and notched a win by a score of 36-33. Jayden Daniels went 24-36 with 227 yds passing and 3 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 100.1 and finished the contest with 1 pick. Olamide Zaccheaus left with an average of 10.6 yds per catch by notching 85 yds on 8 receptions. Jayden Daniels led the offense in rushing for the Commanders with 16 carries for 127 yds (7.9 yards per attempt). Once the final whistle blew, they tallied 72 plays which gave them a total of 412 yds. The Washington Commanders rushed the ball a total of 36 different times and accrued 216 yds, which came out to an average of 6.0 yds per carry. On the ground, the Commanders gave up 211 yards on 39 attempts, which is an average of 5.4 yards per rush surrendered. Washington allowed 15 pass completions on 28 attempts for a total of 127 yds, and a completion rate of 53.6%.

The Commanders currently have 6,015 total yards for the year. Washington has amassed 181 1st downs, and they have been hurt by 106 penalties for 905 yards. When it comes to scoring, Washington has amassed 27 touchdowns via the pass and 24 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 15 different times (9 interceptions and 6 fumbles). As a team they maintain an average of 156.6 yards on the ground which is 3rd in the league. When it comes to scoring points, the Washington Commanders have an average of 28.9 points per game.

The Commanders rank 19th in the National Football League concerning team defense, allowing 23.3 PPG. The opposition is running for an average of 4.8 yards per running attempt and 136.7 rushing yards per game this year. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 2,187 running yards through 16 games. Concerning yards through the air, the Commanders have conceded 2,993 yards which puts them in 4th in the NFL. They have given up 187.1 yards per contest via the pass in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 62.1%. For the year, they are allowing 323.8 yards per outing which has them sitting 9th in football. They have surrendered 25 touchdowns by air in addition to 17 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Cowboys step onto the field holding a record of 7-9 this year. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Cowboys walked away with a victory by a final of 26-24 when they faced the Philadelphia Eagles. Cooper Rush (1 TD) finished the game with 147 yards on 15-28 through the air while his QB rating was 50.7. He tossed 2 interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 5.3 yds. Brandin Cooks was a featured target for the Cowboys, hauling in 4 passes for 52 yards (13.0 yards per reception). Rico Dowdle carried the ball 23 times for 104 yards, ending the contest with 4.5 yards per attempt for Dallas. The Cowboys finished the game with a total of 268 yds while they ran 59 plays (4.5 yards per play). Dallas ran for 4.2 yds per carry, finishing with a total of 127 yds on 30 carries. Dallas conceded 23 attempts on the ground for 134 yds (5.8 yds per rush). The Cowboys pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 72.1%, relinquishing 276 yds on 31 out of 43 passing.

When discussing their ability to score points, the Cowboys are 21st in football with an average of 20.7 points per game. During this campaign thus far, the Cowboys have compiled 3,634 passing yards as well as holding an average of 227.1 throwing yards per game, ranking them 11th in the league. They average 97.2 run yards per game and have toted the ball for 1,555 yards overall. The Dallas Cowboys have an average of 324.3 yards per contest which is good for 19th in football. The Dallas offense has totaled 854 yds of penalties on 117 infractions, ranking them 4th in the NFL in terms of helping out the opposition.

They have allowed 26 touchdowns through the air and 222.0 yards per contest, which has them sitting 20th in the league. Dallas has surrendered a total of 2,218 yards rushing (138.6 yards per contest) in addition to 24 touchdowns by ground this season. They have tallied 21 takeaways (8 fumbles and 13 interceptions) on the year. The Cowboys defense has been on the field for 991 plays, which ranks 17th in the NFL. The Cowboys are giving up 27.8 points per game, which has them sitting 31st in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Commanders-Cowboys NFL game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Cowboys +2.5 and over 45.5 total points

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