Washington Commanders vs New Orleans Saints Prediction, 12/15/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 15

Game: Washington Commanders at New Orleans Saints

Date: Sunday, December 15, 2024

Location: Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA

TV: Fox

Odds/Point Spread: Saints (+7.0)

Total/Over-Under: 43.5

The New Orleans Saints (5-8) are welcoming the Washington Commanders (8-5) at Caesars Superdome on Sunday. Washington opens this contest as 7.0-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 43.5.

The Washington Commanders head into this game 8-5 for this year. In their last contest, the Commanders stepped onto the field against the Tennessee Titans and walked away with a win by a score of 42-19. Brian Robinson Jr. was the rushing leader for the Commanders with 16 carries for 103 yds (6.4 yards per attempt). Terry McLaurin left with an average of 9.1 yds per reception by accumulating 73 yards on 8 receptions. Jayden Daniels finished 25/30 with 206 yards through the air and 3 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rate of 114.7 and walked away from the contest with 1 interception. When it came to stopping the run, the Commanders gave up 35 yards on 11 attempts, which is 3.2 yards per run allowed. Washington gave up 18 pass completions on 37 tries for 210 yds, and a completion rate of 48.6%. Once the final whistle blew, they ran 75 plays which converted into 463 yards. The Washington Commanders ended up rushing 45 times and totaled 267 yards, which had them averaging 5.9 yds per carry.

The Commanders have tallied 4,909 total yards for the season. Washington has tallied 144 1st downs offensively, and they have committed 78 infractions for 620 yards. In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, Washington has totaled 17 passing touchdowns and 23 touchdowns via the ground. They have turned the football over 9 times (6 picks and 3 fumbles). As a unit they have an average of 156.9 yards on the ground which is 3rd in the NFL. When talking about putting points on the board, the Washington Commanders have an average of 28.9 points per game.

The Commanders rank 17th in the National Football League when it comes to team defense, allowing 22.8 points per contest. They are allowing an average of 4.8 yards per rushing attempt and 137.0 rushing yards per contest this season. Overall, they have given up 1,781 yards via the running game in 13 games. Concerning passing yardage, the Commanders have allowed 2,479 yards which has them sitting in 5th in football. They have conceded 190.7 yards per contest via the pass in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 64.9%. Overall, they are giving up 327.7 yards/outing which puts them 12th in the NFL. They have yielded 21 touchdowns through the air in addition to 13 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Saints head into this game 5-8 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Saints took home the win by a final score of 14-11 against the New York Giants. Derek Carr (1 TD) finished the contest with 219 yards on 20/31 passing while his QB rating was 82.6. He tossed 1 pick and his average yards per pass attempt was 7.1 yards. Alvin Kamara carried the rock 17 times for 44 yds, finishing the game with 2.6 yds per attempt for New Orleans. Marquez Valdes-Scantling was featured in the passing game for the Saints, snagging 4 throws for 51 yds (12.8 yds per catch). New Orleans rushed the football for 2.8 yds per attempt, finishing the game with 92 yards on 33 carries. The Saints finished with a total of 292 yds while running 64 plays (4.6 yds per play). The Saints passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 42.9%, surrendering 213 yards on 21 for 49 through the air. New Orleans relinquished 23 rushing attempts for 112 yds (4.9 yards per rush).

When looking at their scoring prowess, the Saints sit 17th in the league maintaining an average of 22.3 points per game. During this campaign so far, the Saints have thrown for a total of 2,767 passing yards together with holding an average of 212.8 passing yards per game, giving them a rank of 19th in the league. They have an average of 128.7 yards per game on the ground and have toted the ball for 1,673 yards overall. The New Orleans Saints maintain an average of 341.5 yards/game which is good for 14th in the NFL. The New Orleans offense has 765 yards of penalties on 81 violations, which is good for 17th in football in terms of hurting your team.

The Saints are surrendering 22.5 points per game, which has them sitting 15th of all teams in the NFL. They have surrendered 12 touchdowns through the air in addition to 246.3 yards per contest, which has them sitting 28th in the NFL. New Orleans has conceded a total of 1,744 yards rushing (134.2 yards per contest) and 16 touchdowns via the rush for the year. The Saints defense has taken part in 838 plays, which has them ranked 26th in football. Their defense has 16 takeaways (3 fumbles recovered and 13 picks) on the campaign.

Who will win tonight's Commanders/Saints NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Saints +7.0

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