Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints Prediction, 11/23/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 12

Game: Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

Date: Sunday, November 23, 2025

Location: Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA

TV: FOX

Odds-Point Spread: Saints (-1.5)

Total-Over-Under: 39.5

Caesars Superdome is the location where the New Orleans Saints (2-8) will attempt to beat the Atlanta Falcons (3-7) on Sunday. Atlanta opens this game as 1.5-point underdogs. The over-under is set at 39.5.

The Atlanta Falcons come into this game holding a record of 3-7 on the campaign. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Falcons stepped onto the field against the Carolina Panthers and took a loss by a score of 30-27. Bijan Robinson was the rushing leader for the Falcons with 23 carries for 104 yards (4.5 yards per carry). Drake London left with an average of 17.0 yards per reception by recording 119 yards on 7 receptions. Michael Penix finished 13-16 with 175 yards passing. He had a quarterback rating of 112.2 and ended the game with no interceptions. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Falcons gave up 67 yds on 25 attempts, which averages out to 2.7 yards per run allowed. Atlanta relinquished 31 completions on 45 tries for 419 yds, and a completion percentage of 68.9%. When the final whistle blew, they had 58 plays which gave them a total of 348 yards. The Atlanta Falcons rushed the ball a total of 28 times and totaled 125 yards, earning them an average of 4.5 yards per carry.

The Falcons currently have 3,325 yards so far this year. Atlanta has a total of 110 1st downs offensively, and they have been flagged for 55 penalties for 425 yds. If you examine scoring touchdowns, Atlanta has attained 9 touchdowns through the air and 12 touchdowns via the ground. They have surrendered the football 9 times (3 INTs and 6 fumbles lost). Collectively, they are averaging 119.9 rush yards giving them a rank of 13th in the league. When you look at getting in the endzone, the NFC members are averaging 19.5 points per outing.

When you look at yards through the air, the Falcons have granted 1,880 total yards, ranking them 4th in the league. They have surrendered 188.0 yards per game via the pass, and are conceding a completion rate of 64.3%. Overall, they have given up 1,385 yards on the ground through 10 contests on the season. They have yielded 17 touchdowns by way of the pass, along with 8 touchdowns by way of the ground game. Overall, they are allowing 326.5 yards per contest, giving them a rank of 16th in the league. The opposition is running for an average of 4.7 yds per attempt on the ground and 138.5 running yards per game for this campaign. The Falcons are ranking 19th in the league with reference to the other team scoring points, conceding 23.9 PPG.

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The Saints come into this matchup holding a record of 2-8 on the season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Saints walked away with a victory by a final of 17-7 when they faced the Carolina Panthers. Tyler Shough (2 touchdowns) ended the contest with 282 yds on 19-27 passing while his QB rating was 128.9. He kept the ball away from the defense with no interceptions and his avg yards per attempt was 10.4 yards. Chris Olave was featured in the passing game for the Saints, bringing in 5 footballs for 104 yds (20.8 yds per reception). Alvin Kamara carried the football 22 times for 83 yards, ending the contest with 3.8 yards per carry for New Orleans. The Saints ended up finishing with 388 yards on 65 plays (6.0 yards per play). New Orleans ended up running for 3.3 yards per attempt, finishing with a total of 122 yards on 37 attempts. New Orleans gave up 23 running attempts for 73 yards (3.2 yds per rush). The Saints pass defense gave up a completion rate of 68.0%, surrendering 102 yards on 17 for 25 passing.

Regarding how much they score, the Saints currently sit 30th in pro football, with 15.5 points per game. So far this year, the Saints have compiled 2,044 pass yards and average 204.4 pass yards per game, ranking this team at 20th in pro football. They average 92.8 rush yards per game, and have rushed for 928 yards. The New Orleans Saints maintain an average of 297.2 yds per game, which has them ranking 26th in football. The New Orleans offense has allowed 525 yards by way of 74 penalty flags, giving them a rank of 11th in the league when examining giving up free yards. They have tossed 8 picks while giving up 7 lost fumbles, and have tallied 99 first downs offensively.

The Saints are allowing 25.0 points per game, putting them 21st in pro football. They have surrendered 18 touchdowns via the pass along with 193.7 passing yards per game, giving them a rank of 9th in the league. New Orleans has relinquished a total of 1,238 running yds (123.8 yards per contest), in addition to 9 touchdowns to rushers for the year. The Saints defense has taken the field for 618 plays from scrimmage, giving them a rank of 11th in the league. The defense has attained 12 turnovers (7 fumbles forced and 5 interceptions) on the campaign. On the whole, they have granted 250 pts.

Who will win tonight's Falcons-Saints NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Saints -1.5

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