Baker Mayfield Player Prop Bets Thursday vs Atlanta Falcons 12/11/2025
Game: Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Pass Yards Prop: 229 - Over (+105) Under (-135)
Completions Prop: 22 - Over (-118) Under (-104)
Pass Attempts Prop: 33 - Over (-135) Under (+105)
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Baker Mayfield are going to be shown on Prime Video on Thursday, December 11, 2025 where they will play the Atlanta Falcons. Props open at 22 passing completions, 33 passing attempts, and 229 yards passing for Mayfield.
Baker Mayfield Season Stats
Mayfield has had a total of 285 yards in the run game and averages 209.4 pass yds per contest, ranking him 61st in professional football. Baker Mayfield averages 32.1 passing attempts per outing. With a rank of 6th in the league, Baker Mayfield holds an average of 61.6% regarding passing for completions. The quarterback has had a total of 2,722 pass yds. Mayfield has been mid-tier when talking about TD passes, with a rank of 27th in pro football with a 4.8% touchdown rate. Mayfield averages 19.8 passing completions per outing, is throwing a pick on 1.4% of his passes, and has collected 20 passing touchdowns. He has been weak regarding ability to use his feet, holding an average of 3.3 rushing attempts and 1.5 touchdowns through the air per outing.

Baker Mayfield Last 5 Games
As well as earning 1 rushing TD, Baker holds an average of 160.6 yards via the pass per contest. Baker holds an average of 17.0 passing completions per outing and has had a total of 148 passing attempts, in addition to tossing a touchdown on 4.7% of his throws. The quarterback is throwing an INT on 2.7% of his pass attempts while holding an average of 12.1 passing 1st downs per game. The QB has been impressive when analyzing throwing for first downs, compiling 61 1st downs via the pass. Baker has been around league average when analyzing ability to hit a receiver en route to a score, having had a total of 7 touchdowns via the pass while averaging 0.8 picks per game.
| Opponent | Pass Yards | Completions | Pass Attempts |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOR | 122 | 14 | 30 |
| ARI | 194 | 18 | 28 |
| LAR | 41 | 9 | 19 |
| BUF | 173 | 16 | 28 |
| NWE | 273 | 28 | 43 |
Baker Mayfield Last 10 Games
Baker is throwing a pick on 1.9% of his passes while earning an average of 5.7% for getting tackled behind the line of scrimmage in his last ten outings. The QB has accumulated 14 touchdowns through the air if you look at ability to hit a receiver en route to a score and accrued 130 throwing 1st downs. Baker Mayfield has collected 196 passing completions. He has been mid-tier when talking about ability to hit a receiver en route to a score, with an average of 1.4 touchdowns via the pass and 210.7 pass yards per contest. Baker Mayfield has an average of 19.6 passing completions per outing and has earned 6 picks. Mayfield holds an average of 61.6% regarding passing for completions.
Baker Mayfield Career Stats
Baker has been impressive when analyzing getting completions, completing 63.3% of his attempted passes while averaging 5.0% on TD throws. Mayfield has tallied 11 touchdowns via the run when talking about ability to run. Along with getting sacked on 7.2% of his passing attempts, Baker has compiled 3,812 attempted passes and amassed 96 picks. Baker Mayfield has an average of 231.5 passing yards per outing so far in his NFL career. The QB averages 2.5% in terms of throwing interceptions, in addition to totaling 191 passing touchdowns.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offense
Along with compiling 1,497 rushing yds, the Buccaneers are sitting 17th in pro football when analyzing TD% with 4.6%. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers hold an average of 33.2 attempted passes over the course of this season and 315.0 total yards per game. The Buccaneers are averaging 199.8 yards through the air per outing on the season. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have had a total of 4,095 total team yards on the season. Tampa Bay has an average of 115.2 rushing yds per game and has produced 265 pass completions. Ranking 28th in professional football, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are averaging 1.4% in terms of throwing interceptions.
Atlanta Falcons Defense
This year, the Falcons are ranked 12th in professional football with reference to pick rate allowed with 2.6%. Atlanta is yielding 1.6 touchdowns through the air per outing. When talking about stopping touchdowns via the pass, the Falcons are around league average, granting 21. The squad repping Atlanta surrender 0.8 running touchdowns when talking about limiting averaged and 28.8 run attempts per contest. The team who plays in the NFC South give up 191.5 passing yards per outing and have yielded 1,703 rushing yds, which has them sitting 24th in football. The Atlanta Falcons are yielding 64.2% with reference to deterring the other team from completing passes.
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take the Over Pass Attempts (-135)
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