Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, 11/9/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 10

Game: Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins

Date: Sunday, November 9, 2025

Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL

TV: CBS

Odds-Point Spread: Dolphins (+9.5)

Total-Over-Under: 50

The Miami Dolphins (2-7) will play the Buffalo Bills (6-2) at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday. Buffalo opens this contest as 9.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The total is set at 50.

The Buffalo Bills step on the gridiron 6-2 over the course of this year. In their last game, the Bills took the field against the Kansas City Chiefs and earned the victory with a final of 28-21. James Cook was the best rusher for the Bills with 27 totes for 114 yds (4.2 yds per carry). Khalil Shakir averaged 6.1 yards per catch by earning 43 yds on 7 receptions. Josh Allen went 23-26 with 273 yds passing and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rate of 123.2 and ended the game with no picks. Against the rush, the Bills gave up 79 yds on 20 tries, which is an average of 4.0 yards per run allowed. Buffalo allowed 15 completions on 34 attempts for a total of 226 yards, and a completion rate of 44.1%. Overall, they tallied 61 plays which totaled 404 yds. The Buffalo Bills ran the football 35 times and totaled 141 yds, which earned them an average of 4.0 yards per tote.

The Bills have attained 3,084 total yards over the course of the season. Buffalo has accumulated 96 1st downs, and they have committed 55 penalties for 451 total yards. If you're looking at scoring touchdowns, Buffalo has accumulated 13 passing touchdowns and 16 ground TD's. They have surrendered the ball 6 different times (4 INTs and 2 fumbles lost). As a team, they are sitting at 161.5 rushing yds which ranks them 1st in the league. In terms of scoring, the team repping Buffalo are averaging 29.4 points per contest.

The Bills are ranked 9th in football when analyzing the other team scoring points, conceding 20.9 PPG. Opposing teams are running for an average of 5.4 yds per attempt on the ground and 141.4 running yards per outing on the season. When examining yards via the pass, the Bills have surrendered 1,359 total yards, ranking this team at 2nd in the NFL. They have relinquished 169.9 yards per contest by way of the pass, and are giving up a completion rate of 61.4%. Overall, they are surrendering 311.3 total yards per outing, which ranks them at 12th in football. They have relinquished 7 touchdowns by way of the pass, and 12 touchdowns via the ground game. On the whole, they have given up 1,131 yards via the running game in 8 matchups this season.

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The Dolphins step onto the field with a record of 2-7 on the season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Dolphins took a loss by a final score of 28-6 against the Baltimore Ravens. De'Von Achane carried the ball 14 times for 67 yds, ending the game with 4.8 yds per carry for Miami. De'Von Achane was one of the featured targets for the Dolphins, snagging 6 footballs for 39 yards (6.5 yds per catch). Tua Tagovailoa walked away from the contest with 261 yds on 25-40 through the air while his QB rating was 70.9. He tossed 1 pick and his avg yards per attempt was 6.5 yds. Miami relinquished 31 rush attempts for 150 yds (4.8 yds per rush). The Dolphins pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 78.3%, surrendering 188 yards on 18 for 23 through the air. The Dolphins finished the game with a total of 332 yds on 60 plays (5.5 yds per play). Miami ran for 4.4 yards per carry, finishing the game with 87 yards on 20 carries.

The Miami Dolphins average 291.4 yds per contest, giving them a rank of 27th in the NFL. They average 97.2 rushing yds per outing, and have rushed for 875 yards. They have recorded 11 picks while allowing 4 fumbles lost, and have been able to obtain 99 first downs as a unit. The Miami offense has yielded 488 total yards on 58 infractions, ranking this team at 14th in the NFL when talking about helping out the other team. On the year, the Dolphins have racked up 1,748 pass yards and average 194.2 pass yards per outing, which ranks them at 23rd in the NFL. In terms of their ability to score points, the Dolphins are ranked 26th in football, maintaining an average of 20.0 PPG.

They have conceded 15 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 198.1 yards via the pass per contest, giving them a rank of 10th in the NFL. Miami has conceded a total of 1,310 running yards (145.6 yds per contest), in addition to 10 touchdowns to rushers over the course of this year. Their defense has accumulated 7 takeaways (6 fumbles forced and 1 interception) over the course of the season. Altogether, they have conceded 243 pts. The Dolphins defense has been on the field for 526 plays from the line of scrimmage, which has them sitting 21st in the NFL. The Dolphins are yielding 27.0 points per game, which has them sitting 26th in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Bills-Dolphins NFL game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Dolphins +9.5 and over 50 total points

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