Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction, 11/16/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 11

Game: Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons

Date: Sunday, November 16, 2025

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA

TV: FOX

Odds-Point Spread: Falcons (-3.5)

Total-Over-Under: 42.5

The Atlanta Falcons (3-6) will go up against the Carolina Panthers (5-5) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday. Carolina opens this game as 3.5-point underdogs. The total is set at 42.5.

The Carolina Panthers step on the gridiron 5-5 over the course of the season. The last time they took the field, the Panthers faced the New Orleans Saints and ended up losing by a score of 17-7. Bryce Young went 17-25 with 124 yards through the air. He had a quarterback rating of 62.7 and finished the contest with 1 pick. Jalen Coker had an average of 7.0 yards per catch by accumulating 21 yards on 3 catches. Rico Dowdle led the offense in rushing for the Panthers with 18 attempts for 53 yds (2.9 yds per carry). When all was said and done, they tallied 48 plays for 175 yards. The Carolina Panthers ran the football 23 different times and accounted for 73 yards, earning them an average of 3.2 yds per attempt. Against the run, the Panthers gave up 122 yds on 37 tries, which calculates to 3.3 yds per run surrendered. Carolina surrendered 19 pass completions on 28 attempts for a total of 266 yards, and a completion rate of 67.9%.

If you analyze scoring touchdowns, the Carolina Panthers average 17.7 points per game. As a team, they are averaging 133.1 running yards which ranks them at 8th in football. The Panthers have recorded 2,971 total yards over the course of the season. Carolina has recorded 101 first downs, and they have been hurt by 52 penalties for 414 total yards. They have given the ball away 15 times (8 INTs and 7 fumbles). When it comes to putting points on the board, Carolina has amassed 12 touchdowns via the pass and 7 TD's via the ground game.

The Panthers sit 12th in the league with reference to their defensive abilities, allowing 22.2 points per game. They are giving up an average of 4.4 yds per attempt on the ground and 111.9 running yards per outing over the course of the season. When analyzing passing yds, the Panthers have allowed 2,118 total yards, which has them ranking 21st in the league. They have allowed 211.8 yds per outing through the air, and are giving up a completion rate of 64.7%. All in all, they are granting 323.7 yards per outing, which has them sitting 16th in football. They have yielded 13 touchdowns by way of the pass, and 10 touchdowns to rushers. All in all, they have conceded 1,119 yards on the ground through 10 games on the campaign.

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The Falcons come into this matchup holding a record of 3-6 for the year. In their last contest, the Falcons went home defeated by a final of 31-25 when they faced the Indianapolis Colts. Bijan Robinson carried the rock 17 times for 84 yds, finishing the game with 4.9 yds per attempt for Atlanta. Drake London was a featured target for the Falcons, grabbing 6 footballs for 104 yds (17.3 yards per catch). Michael Penix (1 TD) walked away from the game with 177 yds on 12-28 through the air while his QB rating was 76. He didn't throw any interceptions and his Y-A was 6.3 yds. Atlanta surrendered 41 run attempts for 323 yards (7.9 yds per rush). The Falcons passing defense gave up a completion rate of 73.1%, surrendering 196 yds on 19 out of 26 through the air. The Falcons finished the game with a total of 290 yards and they ran 57 plays (5.1 yards per play). Atlanta rushed for 4.8 yds per carry, totaling 140 yards on 29 attempts.

If you analyze the points being put on the board, the Falcons are 27th in football, scoring 18.7 points per contest. In this season, the Falcons have thrown for a total of 1,903 yards through the air and hold an average of 211.4 yards through the air per contest, which ranks them at 16th in pro football. They hold an average of 119.3 running yards per game, and have run for 1,074 total yards. The Atlanta Falcons average 330.8 yds per outing, which has them sitting 16th in the NFL. The Atlanta offense has surrendered 381 total yards by way of 49 infractions, which ranks them at 30th in the NFL concerning hurting your team. They have a total of 3 INTs while surrendering 5 fumbles, and have obtained 99 first downs.

The Falcons are surrendering 23.2 points per contest, which ranks them at 16th in football. They have allowed 14 touchdowns by way of the pass along with 162.3 pass yards per outing, which ranks them at 1st in football. Atlanta has surrendered a total of 1,318 rush yds (146.4 total yards per contest), along with 8 touchdowns via the rush over the course of this season. The Falcons defense has been on the field for 535 plays, which has them ranking 7th in the league. Their defense has recorded 13 takeaways (5 forced fumbles and 8 picks) for the year. All in all, they have allowed 209 total points.

Who will win tonight's Panthers-Falcons NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Panthers +3.5

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