Chicago Bears vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction, 9/28/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 4

Game: Chicago Bears vs Las Vegas Raiders

Date: Sunday, September 28, 2025

Location: Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV

TV: CBS

Odds-Point Spread: Raiders (+1)

Total-Over-Under: 48

Allegiant Stadium is where the Las Vegas Raiders (1-2) will compete against the Chicago Bears (1-2) on Sunday. Las Vegas opens as 1-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 48.

The Chicago Bears step onto the field holding a record of 1-2 on the year. In their last game, the Bears stepped onto the field against the Dallas Cowboys and earned the victory with a final of 31-14. Caleb Williams finished 19-28 with 298 yards passing and 4 TDs. He had a quarterback rate of 142.6 and ended the contest with no picks. Luther Burden averaged 33.7 yds per reception by accounting for 101 yds on 3 catches. D'Andre Swift was the rushing leader for the Bears with 13 carries for 33 yds (2.5 yds per attempt). When all was said and done, they tallied 57 plays which converted into 385 yds. The Chicago Bears ended up running the ball 29 different times and totaled 87 yards, which earned them an average of 3.0 yards per carry. Against the run, the Bears gave up 121 yards on 20 attempts, which is 6.1 yds per rush allowed. Chicago allowed 34 pass completions on 45 tries for 275 yds, and a completion rate of 75.6%.

If you look at scoring touchdowns, the NFC representatives are averaging 25.3 points per game. As a unit, they're averaging 113.3 rushing yards ranking this team at 15th in pro football. The Bears have collected 1,041 total yards over the course of the season. Chicago has amassed 32 first downs as a unit, and they have committed 26 penalties for 218 yards. They have surrendered the football 3 different times (1 interception and 2 fumbles lost). Regarding scoring, Chicago has attained 7 touchdowns through the air and 2 TD's via the ground game.

If you look at pass yards, the Bears have conceded 743 yards, which is good for 27th in professional football. They have conceded 247.7 yards per contest through the air, and are giving up a completion rate of 75.3%. All in all, they have conceded 418 rushing yards through 3 contests for this campaign. They have allowed 8 touchdowns through the air, and 3 touchdowns via the ground game. On the whole, they are allowing 387.0 yards per game, which ranks them 29th in the league. The opposition is running for 5.5 yds per run and 139.3 rushing yds per game so far this year. The Bears are ranking 29th in the league when you look at the other team scoring points, yielding 31.0 PPG.

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The Raiders head into this matchup 1-2 on the year. In their last contest, the Raiders took a loss by a final score of 41-24 against the Washington Commanders. Ashton Jeanty ran the ball 17 times for 63 yards, ending the contest with 3.7 yds per attempt for Las Vegas. Tre Tucker was featured in the passing game for the Raiders, snagging 8 footballs for 145 yards (18.1 yards per catch). Geno Smith (3 touchdowns) finished the game with 289 yds on 19-29 through the air while his QB rating was 132.7. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 10.0 yds. Las Vegas conceded 32 rush attempts for 201 yds (6.3 yds per rush). The Raiders secondary gave up a completion rate of 71.4%, surrendering 199 yds on 15 for 21 passing. The Raiders finished the game with 354 yards and they ran 57 plays (6.2 yards per play). Las Vegas rushed the football for 3.3 yards per carry, totaling 93 yds on 28 carries.

If you look at the points being put on the board, the Raiders currently rank 26th in pro football, by tallying 17.7 points per game. Over the course of this season, the Raiders have compiled 744 yards via the pass and hold an average of 248.0 yards via the pass per contest, which has them sitting 6th in pro football. They maintain an average of 72.3 rushing yds per game, and have carried the ball for 217 yards. The Las Vegas Raiders maintain an average of 320.3 yards per game, which ranks them 16th in the league. The Las Vegas offense has surrendered 178 yds by way of 20 penalties, putting them 18th in the NFL if you look at helping out the opposition. They have compiled 4 INTs while giving up 0 fumbles lost, and have obtained 37 first downs as a unit.

They have surrendered 4 touchdowns through the air as well as 237.0 passing yds per game, which ranks them 24th in football. Las Vegas has surrendered a total of 342 rushing yds (114.0 yds per game), in addition to 3 touchdowns on the ground so far this year. The D has amassed 3 turnovers (2 fumbles forced and 1 interception) over the course of this year. In total, they have allowed 74 total points. The Raiders defense has been on the field for 177 plays from the line of scrimmage, which is good for 10th in professional football. The Raiders are giving up 24.7 points per outing, putting them 21st in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Bears-Raiders NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Bears -1

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