Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders Prediction, 10/13/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 6

Game: Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders

Date: Monday, October 13, 2025

Location: Northwest Stadium in Landover, MD

TV: ABC

Odds-Point Spread: Commanders (-4.5)

Total-Over-Under: 50

Northwest Stadium is the place where the Washington Commanders (3-2) will meet the Chicago Bears (2-2) on Monday. Chicago opens as 4.5-point dogs from oddsmakers. The over-under has been set at 50.

The Chicago Bears step on the gridiron 2-2 for the year. In their last contest, the Bears took on the Las Vegas Raiders and earned the victory with a final of 25-24. D'Andre Swift led the offense in rushing for the Bears with 14 attempts for 38 yds (2.7 yards per carry). Olamide Zaccheaus held an average of 8.2 yards per reception by earning 41 yards on 5 receptions. Caleb Williams went 22-37 with 212 yds passing and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rating of 73.3 and finished the contest with 1 interception. In the running game, the Bears gave up 240 yds on 31 tries, which averages out to 7.7 yards per rush allowed. Chicago conceded 14 completions on 21 tries for 117 yards, and a completion percentage of 66.7%. In the game, they ran 63 plays which converted into 271 yds. The Chicago Bears rushed the ball a total of 26 times and totaled 69 yds, which came out to an average of 2.7 yards per carry.

If you look at scoring, the NFC representatives are sitting at 25.3 points per game. Offensively, they hold an average of 102.3 rushing yds ranking them 24th in the NFL. The Bears have accrued 1,312 yds for the year. Chicago currently has 42 first downs, and they have been called for 34 penalties for 278 yds. They have coughed up the ball 4 times (2 picks and 2 lost fumbles). With reference to putting the ball in the endzone, Chicago currently has 8 touchdowns through the air and 3 touchdowns on the ground.

If you look at yards through the air, the Bears have yielded 860 total yards, which has them sitting 5th in professional football. They have granted 215.0 yards per game via the pass, and are yielding a completion rate of 73.7%. Overall, they have conceded 658 yards on the ground through 4 outings for the year. They have conceded 10 touchdowns by way of the pass, and 4 touchdowns by way of the ground game. Overall, they are granting 379.5 total yards per outing, which ranks 27th in pro football. They are giving up an average of 6.1 yds per run and 164.5 running yds per contest over the course of the season. The Bears currently sit 28th in pro football when analyzing their defensive prowess, granting 29.3 PPG.

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The Commanders come into this matchup holding a record of 3-2 for the year. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Commanders walked away with a victory by a final of 27-10 against the Los Angeles Chargers. Jayden Daniels (1 TD) ended the contest with 231 yds on 15-26 passing while his quarterback rating was 100. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 8.9 yards. Deebo Samuel was featured in the passing game for the Commanders, catching 8 footballs for 96 yds (12.0 yards per catch). Jacory Croskey-Merritt carried the football 14 times for 111 yards, ending the contest with 7.9 yds per attempt for Washington. The Commanders finished the contest with a total of 389 yds and they ran 54 plays (7.2 yards per play). Washington ran the ball for 5.8 yds per carry, totaling 163 yds on 28 attempts. Washington conceded 27 rushing attempts for 155 yds (5.7 yds per carry). The Commanders pass defense gave up a completion rate of 75.8%, relinquishing 181 yds on 25 for 33 passing.

The Washington Commanders hold an average of 349.0 yds per outing, putting them 13th in pro football. They have an average of 156.4 running yards per game, and have carried the ball for 782 yds. They have allowed 1 interception while surrendering 2 fumbles lost, and have earned 45 1st downs as a team. The Washington offense has conceded 271 total yards by way of 37 infractions, ranking them 14th in the NFL when you look at making mistakes. Over the course of this season, the Commanders have thrown for a total of 963 pass yards and are averaging 192.6 pass yards per outing, which is 23rd in football. If you analyze their ability to score points, the Commanders currently rank 8th in the NFL, with 26.8 points per contest.

The Commanders are allowing 20.2 PPG, putting them 9th in pro football. They have conceded 8 touchdowns through the air as well as 235.0 pass yards per outing, which is 23rd in football. Washington has granted a total of 585 rushing yds (117.0 total yards per contest), plus 3 touchdowns via the ground game so far this season. The Commanders defense has been on the field for 316 plays from scrimmage, giving them a rank of 24th in football. Their defense has produced 3 turnovers (1 fumble and 2 picks) for the year. Altogether, they have relinquished 101 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Bears-Commanders NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Bears +4.5

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