Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, 12/21/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 16

Game: Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins

Date: Sunday, December 21, 2025

Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL

TV: NBC

Odds-Point Spread: Dolphins (+4.5)

Total-Over-Under: 47.5

Hard Rock Stadium is the location where the Miami Dolphins (6-8) will attempt to defeat the Cincinnati Bengals (4-10) on Sunday. Cincinnati opens this matchup as 4.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is set at 47.5.

The Cincinnati Bengals step on the gridiron 4-10 on the campaign. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Bengals played against the Baltimore Ravens and went home with a loss by a final score of 24-0. Joe Burrow went 25-39 with 225 yds through the air. He had a quarterback rating of 58.2 and finished the game with 2 picks. Ja'Marr Chase held an average of 13.2 yards per catch by earning 132 yards on 10 catches. Chase Brown led the offense in rushing for the Bengals with 13 carries for 53 yards (4.1 yds per carry). At the end of the game, they had 68 plays which totaled 298 yards. The Cincinnati Bengals rushed the ball a total of 29 different times and totaled 100 yds, which is an average of 3.4 yds per carry. Against the run, the Bengals conceded 189 yards on 24 attempts, which is an average of 7.9 yds per run surrendered. Cincinnati gave up 8 completions on 12 attempts for 128 yds, and a completion rate of 66.7%.

The Bengals have notched 4,396 total yards on the season. Cincinnati has attained 164 1st downs, and they have been hurt by 75 penalties for 545 yds. When you look at scoring touchdowns, Cincinnati currently has 27 passing TD's and 6 running touchdowns. They have surrendered the football 22 times (16 INTs and 6 fumbles lost). As a team, they are sitting at 87.4 rushing yards giving them a rank of 31st in the league. If you're looking at getting the ball into the endzone, the squad from Cincinnati are sitting at 22.4 points per outing.

The Bengals are ranking 32nd in football when analyzing their defensive abilities, relinquishing 31.2 PPG. Opposing teams are running for an average of 5.3 yards per tote and 157.9 rushing yards per contest on the year. When examining yards via the pass, the Bengals have relinquished 3,442 yds, giving them a rank of 28th in the league. They have relinquished 245.9 yards per contest via the pass, and are granting a completion rate of 66.5%. Altogether, they are relinquishing 403.8 total yards per contest, giving them a rank of 32nd in football. They have given up 31 touchdowns through the air, in addition to 15 touchdowns via the ground game. Overall, they have allowed 2,211 running yards through 14 contests on the season.

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The Dolphins come into this matchup holding a record of 6-8 this year. In their last game, the Dolphins took a defeat with a final score of 28-15 when they faced the Pittsburgh Steelers. Tua Tagovailoa (2 TDs) finished the contest with 253 yards on 22-28 through the air while his quarterback rating was 113.2. He threw 1 interception and his average yards per pass attempt was 9.0 yds. Darren Waller was the top contributor in the passing game for the Dolphins, catching 7 balls for 66 yards (9.4 yds per catch). De'Von Achane ran the ball 12 times for 60 yards, finishing the contest with 5.0 yds per carry for Miami. The Dolphins finished the game with a total of 285 yds on 44 plays (6.5 yds per play). Miami ran for 3.9 yards per attempt, finishing with a total of 63 yards on 16 attempts. Miami gave up 32 run attempts for 135 yards (4.2 yards per rush). The Dolphins secondary allowed a completion percentage of 85.2%, relinquishing 201 yds on 23 out of 27 through the air.

The Miami Dolphins have an average of 303.2 yds per contest, which is good for 25th in the league. They have an average of 121.9 rushing yards per contest, and have carried the ball for 1,707 yds. They have thrown 15 picks while granting 4 fumbles lost, and have been able to earn 147 first downs as a team. The Miami offense has conceded 662 yards on 81 penalties, which has them ranked 27th in professional football with reference to helping out the opposition. On the campaign, the Dolphins have earned 2,538 passing yards and have an average of 181.3 passing yards per contest, which is good for 26th in the league. Concerning their ability to score points, the Dolphins are ranking 23rd in football, scoring 21.1 PPG.

They have relinquished 22 touchdowns via the pass and 202.5 pass yds per contest, which has them ranked 13th in professional football. Miami has relinquished a total of 1,850 running yds (132.1 yds per outing), in addition to 12 touchdowns by way of the ground game this year. The defense has accumulated 17 turnovers (10 fumbles forced and 7 INTs) on the campaign. Altogether, they have given up 324 pts. The Dolphins defense has been on the field for 843 plays, which is good for 10th in the league. The Dolphins are relinquishing 23.1 points per game, which ranks 17th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Bengals-Dolphins NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Bengals -4.5

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