Cleveland Browns vs New England Patriots Prediction, 10/26/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 8

Game: Cleveland Browns vs New England Patriots

Date: Sunday, October 26, 2025

Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA

TV: FOX

Odds-Point Spread: Patriots (-7)

Total-Over-Under: 40.5

Gillette Stadium is the location where the New England Patriots (5-2) will take on the Cleveland Browns (2-5) on Sunday. Cleveland opens this matchup as 7-point dogs. The over-under is 40.5.

The Cleveland Browns head into this matchup 2-5 for the year. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Browns faced the Miami Dolphins and notched a win by a score of 31-6. Quinshon Judkins was the best rusher for the Browns with 25 attempts for 84 yards (3.4 yds per attempt). Malachi Corley held an average of 8.5 yards per reception by earning 17 yards on 2 catches. Dillon Gabriel connected on 13-18 with 116 yds passing. He had a quarterback rating of 89.1 and finished the game with no picks. Against the run, the Browns gave up 99 yards on 22 tries, which is 4.5 yards per run allowed. Cleveland relinquished 17 pass completions on 31 attempts for 120 yds, and a completion percentage of 54.8%. On the day, they tallied 51 plays for 206 yds. The Cleveland Browns ran the ball a total of 33 different times and accrued 104 yds, which had them averaging 3.2 yds per carry.

When you look at scoring touchdowns, the team from Cleveland have an average of 16.1 PPG. As a unit, they're maintaining an average of 92.6 running yards which has them ranking 28th in the league. The Browns have accumulated 1,895 yds on the season. Cleveland has collected 63 first downs, and they have committed 48 infractions for 388 yds. They have surrendered the football 8 different times (6 picks and 2 fumbles lost). Regarding notching touchdowns, Cleveland has collected 5 passing touchdowns and 6 TD's on the ground.

When analyzing pass yds, the Browns have given up 1,216 yds, ranking them 5th in the league. They have given up 173.7 yds per game through the air, and are allowing a completion% of 65.5%. In total, they have given up 577 yards via the running game in 7 contests over the course of this season. They have given up 12 touchdowns through the air, as well as 3 touchdowns to rushers. On the whole, they are allowing 256.1 yards per contest, which has them ranking 1st in the league. They are allowing an average of 3.3 yds per rush and 82.4 running yards per contest so far this year. The Browns sit 14th in the league when talking about opponents scoring, relinquishing 21.7 PPG.

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The Patriots come into this matchup holding a record of 5-2 for the year. The last time they took the field, the Patriots went home victorious with a score of 31-13 when they played the Tennessee Titans. Rhamondre Stevenson carried the rock 18 times for 88 yds, ending the game with 4.9 yds per carry for New England. Kayshon Boutte was the best receiver for the Patriots, grabbing 2 passes for 55 yards (27.5 yards per reception). Drake Maye (2 TDs) finished the contest with 222 yards on 21-23 passing while his QB rating was 135.9. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his Y-A was 9.7 yds. New England conceded 12 rushing attempts for 39 yds (3.3 yds per carry). The Patriots secondary conceded a completion percentage of 73.5%, relinquishing 216 yards on 25 for 34 through the air. The Patriots finished the game with a total of 387 yds and they ran 60 plays (6.5 yds per play). New England ran the ball for 4.9 yards per tote, finishing the contest with 175 yds on 36 attempts.

The New England Patriots average 343.3 yards per contest, which has them ranking 15th in the league. They maintain an average of 103.4 running yards per outing, and have carried the football for 724 total yards. They have recorded 2 INTs while relinquishing 5 lost fumbles, and have been able to record 83 1st downs. The New England offense has conceded 447 yds by way of 58 penalties, which is 4th in pro football if you're looking at helping out the opposition. In this campaign, the Patriots have racked up 1,679 pass yds and are sitting at 239.9 pass yds per contest, which ranks them 8th in professional football. When analyzing how much they score, the Patriots are ranked 8th in the NFL, by tallying 25.9 PPG.

The Patriots are granting 19.0 PPG, which is good for 5th in football. They have given up 10 touchdowns through the air and 235.7 pass yds per game, ranking them 24th in the league. New England has allowed a total of 540 running yards (77.1 yards per outing), as well as 3 touchdowns via the ground game on the season. The Patriots defense has taken part in 391 plays, which has them sitting 8th in football. The D has recorded 9 takeaways (4 fumbles forced and 5 INTs) for the year. Altogether, they have given up 133 total points.

Who will win tonight's Browns-Patriots NFL game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Patriots -7 and over 40.5 total points

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